The Brussels Region is seeing the reformers taking the lead, with the PTB holding a candle for them. In Wallonia, the PS is close to their 2019 election result with 25.5% of voting intentions, followed closely by the MR at 18.5% and the PTB at 17.6%. Ecolo and Engagés come in at 12.8% and 11.1%, respectively, while DéFI is at 4.9%. In Brussels, the MR’s voting intentions have improved to 19.8%, followed closely by the PTB at 19.4%. The PS and Ecolo come in behind at 16.8% and 15.7%. In Flanders, 25% of respondents opted for the extreme right Vlaams Belang, surpassing the N-VA at 21.6%. The CD&V, Open Vld, PVDA, and Groen trail behind. The poll’s margin of error is +/- 3.1 in Wallonia and Flanders, and +/- 4.0 in Brussels.
The reformers, on the other hand, are leading the dance in the Brussels Region, where the PTB holds them a candle. The extreme right would attract one Fleming in four.
With 25.5% of voting intentions in Wallonia, the PS is close to its result in the 2019 elections, widening the gap with the MR (18.5%), itself closely followed by the PTB (17.6 %). Ecolo and Engagés follow at 12.8% and 11.1%, while DéFI is close to 5% (4.9).
In Brussels, the MR would collect 19.8% of voting intentions, improving its score for 2019 (+2.3). The PTB follows it closely (19.4%), while the PS and Ecolo are somewhat behind (16.8% and 15.7%). DéFI (10.2%) and Les Engagés (5.1%) bring up the rear.
In Flanders, no less than a quarter of respondents opted for the extreme right. With 25% of the intentions, the Vlaams Belang overflows the N-VA (21.6%), without the addition of the two not exceeding 50%. Only Vooruit (15.5%) seems to hold the road behind this duo. The CD&V (11.8%), the Open Vld (9.2%), the PVDA (8%) and Groen (7.4%) pick up the crumbs.
Withdrawn from national political life for nearly a year, former Prime Minister Sophie Wilmès (MR) would remain the first choice of French speakers, ahead of Prime Minister Alexander De Croo (Open Vld). PS President Paul Magnette occupies 3rd place in Wallonia, while the new Minister of Foreign Affairs Hadja Lahbib seizes this position in Brussels. In Flanders, Bart De Wever (N-VA) is in the lead, ahead of Conner Rousseau (Vooruit) and Alexander De Croo.
The poll’s margin of error is not small: +/- 3.1 in Wallonia and Flanders, +/- 4.0 in Brussels.
These polling results highlight the political landscape in Belgium as we head into the next election cycle. While the PS maintains a strong position in Wallonia and the MR sees improvement in Brussels, the rise of the extreme right in Flanders cannot be ignored. It’s interesting to see the popularity rankings of various political figures, with former Prime Minister Sophie Wilmès holding on to her lead among French speakers and Bart De Wever leading in Flanders. As always, we must keep in mind the margin of error when interpreting these results. It will be fascinating to see how the political climate evolves over the coming months.