Will the Nobel Peace Prize be Awarded in 2023? Examining the Possible Scenarios

2023-10-06 04:18:20
FREDRIK SANDBERG / AFP 51 years ago, the Nobel Peace Prize had not been awarded. A scenario that could happen again, almost half a century later.

FREDRIK SANDBERG / AFP

51 years ago, the Nobel Peace Prize had not been awarded. A scenario that could happen again, almost half a century later.

INTERNATIONAL – What if the Norwegian Nobel Committee passed its turn in 2023? While the distribution of the Nobel Prizes began on Monday, the Peace Prize is expected this Friday, October 6 at the end of the morning. A few more hours of patience, therefore, to discover the successor(s) of the Belarusian opponent Ales Bialiatski and the human rights NGOs Memorial (Russia) and Center for Civil Liberties (Ukraine), the three winners in 2022.

But this year, the Norwegian Nobel Committee could however abstain. A decision that seems more logical than it seems.

It must be said that in view of the international context, the contenders are not really obvious this year, between an international community in decline and without any real direction in the face of climate change which is accelerating, a war in Ukraine which is dragging on and an increasingly worrying migration crisis.

The 2023 Nobel Prizes

Throughout the history of the Nobel Peace Prize, imagined by the Swedish inventor Alfred Nobel, this scenario has already arisen several times since 1901. Quite logically, the years of world war were conducive to the lack of reward for peace. This was particularly the case in 1914, 1915, 1916 and 1918 as well as during the period 1939-1943.

But some years, the absence of “ suitable living candidate » led the Norwegian committee to abstain. A scenario that the Nobel committee has been confronted with 19 times, including the years of world war. However, there has not been a year without a Nobel Peace Prize since 1972.

351 applications in 2023

“I wouldn’t say it’s impossible (but) the world really needs something that can put it on the right track.”he says. “I therefore think it is really necessary that the Nobel Peace Prize be awarded, even this year.”

This year, however, the five members of the committee received 351 nominations, the second highest number of nominations received in the history of the Nobel Peace Prize. Among them, we count 259 individuals and 92 organizations. And if the list of applications must normally remain secret for half a century, many sponsors have already revealed the applications they submitted in Oslo, which is their right.

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Among those already filed, The evening cites Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, future former NATO boss Jens Stoltenberg, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and even Russian political opponent Alexeï Navalny and his fellow journalist Vladimir Kara-Mourza.

The fight against climate change (finally) in the spotlight?

If the option of a year without a Nobel Peace Prize is ultimately not retained, several names come up insistently. This is particularly the case for Iranian women, engaged in a “societal revolution” triggered by the death of Mahsa Amini in September 2022. Two names are also mentioned: those of Narges Mohammadi and Masih Alinejad, two journalists and activists.

The other major cause that should deserve the attention of the Norwegian Nobel Committee is that of climate change. Especially after a year marked by repeated climatic disasters in the four corners of the globe and by a stifling summer, hottest ever measured on Earthaccording to the European Copernicus Observatory.

A solution which would shed light on this fight, which has been largely under-represented in recent years, with the exception of 2007 when the IPCC and the former candidate for the American election Al Gore were rewarded ” for their efforts to acquire and disseminate better knowledge about human-caused climate change ».

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