Will programmers be replaced by artificial intelligence? 2024-02-21 09:59:09

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AI writes the code: Will programmers be replaced by artificial intelligence?

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This text comes from the Frankfurter Allgemeine Sonntagszeitung.

The fact that the next wave is coming has a lot to do with artificial intelligence. The justification is that it is often said that work now needs to be done on other products – no longer on the old ones, but on artificial intelligence. SAP boss Christian Klein explicitly justified the group’s restructuring by saying that the company wants to turn more to AI. Thousands more employees will keep their jobs, but will be retrained in AI skills. Meta and Google have also realigned their priorities towards AI in the past year. According to a report by the Bloomberg news agency, around 4,600 jobs that were cut in the USA between May 2023 and January 2024 explicitly fell victim to artificial intelligence. The vast majority of these, more than 4,000, came from the tech industry.

Programming from kindergarten onwards

But the strategic reorientation of companies is the one reason why programmers have to fear for their jobs. The other is the AI’s ability to take on simple programming tasks directly itself. According to a study by Open AI and the University of Pennsylvania, generative AI models such as Open AI’s ChatGPT or Google’s Gemini will change at least 10 percent of the tasks for 80 percent of employees. Programming is one of the activities that is particularly exposed to change. Not only can the AI write code itself and correct errors in it, which increases productivity. She simply takes on many tasks herself, without any code. She receives instructions in natural language.

This means that a lot has shifted in the labor market. The boom in the tech industry and digitalization once created plenty of jobs for those who are sometimes disrespectfully referred to as “code monkeys” – people who carry out relatively stupid programming tasks without any higher intellectual demands. The last decade was therefore under the motto: “Learn to code!” Programming was seen as a panacea for structural change in industrialized nations. US President Joe Biden once recommended that miners who feared losing their jobs should try programming instead. It couldn’t be that difficult.

You couldn’t start programming early enough, ideally in kindergarten. So-called coding boot camps are springing up everywhere, which teach computer languages such as Python or HTML to newcomers in a crash course. The graduates were able to justify the four- to five-figure costs because even mediocre programmers had a high salary.

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