Discussing foreign affairs / Dr. Wiwat Setchuay
It’s almost unbelievable that The First War Crisis “President Joe Biden” instead of facing China but had to convert to Russia
During the Second World War The United States and the Soviet Union fought as allies once morest the Axis powers. However, the relationship between the two countries at that time did not go smoothly Because Americans are still wary of communism. because the Soviets had a dictatorship
And then in 1989, it appeared that the Soviet influence in Eastern Europe had weakened. until November of that year The Berlin Wall, the symbol of the Cold War, was destroyed, and by 1991 the Soviet Union was falling apart. It means that the Cold War is over!!!
Ukraine, one of the Soviet Union’s eastern European borders with Russia, also declared independence. Use Ukrainian as the official language. and use Russian as a second language It now has a population of over 43 million people.
After Ukraine declared its independence, The US decided to establish diplomatic ties with Ukraine that same year.
Ukraine has a president as head of the country. To be in office for a term of 5 years and the Prime Minister is the head of government!!!
The United States values Ukraine’s independence as a bold statement of secession from the Soviet Union. and is also a popular country in democracy
The United States has continued to offer economic aid to Ukraine, for example, between 2014 and 2019 the United States delivered $1.5 billion in aid to Ukraine, and in 2021 it increased its aid. to $2.5 billion
And while Ukraine has turned to build good relations with the United States. It seems that Ukraine has taken an anti-Russian stance as well.
This made the Russians uncomfortable in a way that might not be swallowed. Never spit, resist, endure, endure all the time.
Over time, the United States hopes and intends for Ukraine to join NATO.
With the US wanting Ukraine to become a member of NATO, it means that the US can’t go backwards. but must move forward
And do not forget that the next two years in the year 2024 will be a new election of Russia. And it is unlikely that President Vladimir Putin will be forced to step down. And it would be a time when President Putin had to play an important role. to want to stay in power In the past, we have been hearing a lot regarding President Putin’s political wounds.
He served as President for the first and second terms from 1999-2008 and the third to the fourth term from 1999 to 2008. 2012 continues to the present
However, President Putin’s position as a dictator has been in power for a long time until he has a wealth of wealth. His financial status remains a mystery. with a rough assessment that He might even have more than 200 billion dollars!!!
For this reason, there have been many speculations that President Putin may not step down. Because he was afraid that there would be an attack on the origin of his enormous wealth?
Now the main issue is that If President Putin does not decide what to do It was as if he agreed to allow Ukraine to become a member of NATO. And if that’s really the case The Russians would probably look at that. President Putin has become a weak leader. Because they agree to let the US threaten to come close to the border!!!
Looking back at the United States, President Joe’s approval rating is now Biden had dropped to only 41%, and he had no choice but to express his aggression. by announcing threats that “If President Putin wants to invade Ukraine The United States, along with its NATO members, cannot agree.”
And from the latest poll by the famous polling agency Morning Consult and Politico on Monday. has come out to reveal similarly that More than 57% of Americans support President Joe Biden to resolve the diplomatic conflict.
As for the issue of whether to support the US to send troops to Ukraine or not. There were 48% of those who agreed and 33% of those opposed.
However, US intelligence agencies have come out to say that if a war really breaks out. It might cost 50,000 civilians deaths.
Incidentally, on January 19, 2022, President Joe Biden had predicted that Russia to move troops to Ukraine
In addition, President Joe Biden also said that If Russia invades Ukraine, it will seriously affect the Russian economy.
and looking to the side of Russia Instead, the Russian people still gave President Putin a very high approval rating of 65%.
It has been analyzed that If Russia invaded Ukraine would not annex Ukraine but may be confined to territories where Russian-speaking populations only
And while Ukraine is in the middle of a tense crisis. It appears that President Putin made a subtle visit to Beijing on February 4, 2022.
As for France, the issue of Russian aggression in Ukraine Has created a fear that has become a matter of debate in the political circles that are not less hot Due to the upcoming French presidential election in April. On Monday, February 8, 2022, President Emmanuel Macron met with President Putin.
Meanwhile, German Chancellor Olaf Jabsch left for Washington. to meet with President Joe Biden too!!!
Incidentally, “President Emmanuel Macron” has focused on diplomacy in solving problems with Ukraine. He has held talks to find a way to make peace with President Putin. last december 2021, five times, five times together
All in all, the aforementioned crisis remains only a prediction. President Putin has said that He was happy to find a way to negotiate. which will inevitably be good for world peace because of President Joe Biden has firmly stated that The US is ready to deal with Russia. And from such threats, President Putin may have to sit and think many times. and if this crisis can avoid war It should be given special credit to Kaojai “President Emmanuel Macron”.
