The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China is regarding to unfold, and the dynamics of the leader of the Communist Party of China, Xi Jinping, have attracted attention. The picture shows Xi Jinping, Li Keqiang, Li Zhanshu, Wang Yang, Wang Huning, Zhao Leji, Han Zheng, Wang Qishan and others participating in the activities of the Chinese Martyrs’ Remembrance Day. Figure: Reprinted from Xinhuanet (file photo)
The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China is regarding to start, and the current leader of the Communist Party of China, Xi Jinping, is preparing for his third term, and the number of personnel in the Standing Committee and the Politburo will change, and the outside world will wait and see. Foreign media analyzed the “six indicators” of the 20th National Congress to weigh Xi Jinping’s wins and losses.
According to Bloomberg, the six metrics are:
First, “Whether Xi’s cronies account for the majority of the Standing Committee?”According to the CCP’s “seven ups and eight downs” shallow rules, the current 7 In addition to Xi Jinping himself, there are at least some members of the Standing Committee. 2 people retire, and Xi Jinping needs at least 3 Only one ally can ensure the majority of the Standing Committee.
If Xi wins, Xi’s cronies such as Ding Xuexiang, Cai Qi, Chen Min’er or Li Qiang will be stationed. Experts also believe that Ding Xuexiang may be in charge of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection; if Xi loses, Li Keqiang and Wang Yang may stay in office and Hu Chunhua will be promoted to the next post. Hu Chunhua, known as “Xiao Hu”, is still young enough to be Xi Jinping’s possible successor.
Second, “Who will be the Prime Minister”? Traditionally, the prime minister has been the second and third figures in the CCP, but the current Li Keqiang has announced that he will no longer hold the post. The media believe that if Xi wins, it will be because Xi has the ability to let his crony Li Qiang take office, which will also show that Xi has little resistance in the personnel arrangement within the party, because Li Qiang once closed Shanghai for two months during the epidemic, which was controversial; Losing, if Wang Yang or Hu Chunhua are promoted to prime minister, because they are not considered close to Xi, may indicate that Xi’s power will be checked.
Third, “How many cronies of Xi can enter the Politburo?”Apart from 7 outside the Standing Committee, 25 Other members of the Politburo 18 members, there are 9 People are regarding to retire, and the authorities have introduced “cadres who can go up and down the law”, all of which make the selection of positions within the party appear chaotic.Experts estimate that there may be 2/3 There may be new faces in the people, and it remains to be seen how many people Xi can promote this time.
Fourth, “Has Xi received the title of ‘people’s leader'”? Recently, the official media has named Xi a “people’s leader,” a title that Mao Zedong had never used before. Xi wins, and gets this title on par with Mao Zedong, which sets Xi apart from other ordinary party members; if Xi loses, if he doesn’t, it may be that Xi faces resistance in the aspect of the personality cult, which has been around since the reform of Deng Xiaoping’s system to prevent it. Prohibited.
Fifth, “how many official titles can Xi retain?” Xi currently holds three official titles: General Secretary, State President and Chairman of the Military Commission. After the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, whether it can continue to be owned will have a huge impact. Xi wins, if Xi obtains the defunct title of “Party Chairman”, he will have supremacy within the party, the last “Party Chairman” was Mao Zedong, who has veto power over the decisions of the Standing Committee; Xi loses, abandons the current One of the titles, possibly representing that power has been dispersed.
Sixth, “Whether ‘Xi Jinping Thought’ is written into the Party Constitution?” The revision of the party constitution shows the line within the party, and five years ago, Xi Jinping wrote his “Xi Jinping Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era” into the party constitution. If Xi wins, he will have Xi’s thought written in parallel with Mao Zedong’s thought; if Xi loses, if he fails to be written into the party constitution, it may show that he is being questioned by the party.
Li Linyi, a current political commentator of The Epoch Times, believes that if Xi is re-elected at this meeting and gains more power, it will actually be a prelude to the dissolution of the CCP. From the perspective of the past decade, the CCP has been isolated from the West and is facing great economic and political pressure. Now the CCP’s policy has little room to change. It is expected that China’s economic downturn and the CCP’s international predicament will intensify. If the conflicts within the CCP or between the CCP and the people may reach a critical point in the future, and great turmoil breaks out, it may lead to the dissolution of the CCP.
The 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China is regarding to start, and the current leader of the Communist Party of China, Xi Jinping, is preparing for his third term
The number of personnel in the Standing Committee Bureau and the Political Bureau will change, and the outside world is still watching the changes.
Foreign media analyzed the “six indicators” of the 20th National Congress to weigh Xi Jinping’s wins and losses.
Chinese leader Xi Jinping. Photo: Retrieved from the official website of Hainan Returned Overseas Chinese Federation (file photo)
Chinese Communist leader Xi Jinping’s book “Xi Jinping: The Governance of the Country”. Figure: Reprinted from Xinhuanet (file photo)
