which are the disputed states –

Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are neck and neck in key swing states, according to a new poll from the Cook Political Report and the bipartisan team at BSG and GS Strategy Group, published by The New York Times. The polls, conducted July 26 through August 2, show Harris leading or tied among likely voters in six of the seven states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Trump is leading by a slim margin in Nevada.

That’s a marked shift from the same polls in May, which showed Trump leading by a solid margin or tied in all seven swing states. The turnaround in North Carolina is especially stark, the NYT notes. In May, Trump had one of his biggest leads in that state, and now the candidates are neck and neck. The new polls also suggest that third-party candidates may be less of a factor. The inclusion of candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the independent candidate, and Jill Stein, the Green Party candidate, did not change the overall results in key swing states. The results are similar to recent New York Times/Siena College polls showing Harris with a narrow lead in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, and are another indicator of how the presidential race has reopened in just a few weeks. Cook polls, conducted shortly after Joe Biden dropped out of the race, show Harris’s favorability increasing by 13 percentage points as voters began to recognize her as the Democratic Party’s new nominee. The poll also adds that undecided voters, a relatively small segment of the electorate, trust Trump more on economic policy and border security and are more concerned about inflation than the general electorate.