2024-03-03 18:57:19
Stefan Hartung, head of the German engineering company Bosch Automotive Supplies, estimates that cars powered by internal combustion engines will remain in demand for at least 35 years before land transportation is fully electrified.
In statements published by “The Pioneer” portal on Sunday, Hartung said that if all of the current annual vehicle production, which amounts to 90 million vehicles, were suddenly converted to fully electric cars, it would take 16 years to replace all vehicles currently powered by internal combustion engines with electric vehicles. .
Hartung believes that the production of combustion engines will in fact continue, and they will then have to be replaced, noting that “twice that time, at least 30 to 35 years, will be needed to convert all the cars in the world to electricity.”
Ultimately, he said, it may not be possible to electrify some vehicles, and that combustion technology will have to continue to be produced in Germany. “You can’t force customers outside Europe not to use it,” he said.
Hartung draws attention to the need for innovations that have not yet appeared, and he gave an example of this with agricultural vehicles.
He explains that agricultural harvesters work up to 12 hours a day with a production power ranging between 250 and 300 kilowatts. He said, “If the battery required for this is provided, it is possible that the harvester will sink into the ground (due to the weight of the battery in this case).”
Hartung cautions that vehicle electrification is essentially a growth market, but automakers now say the conversion process will take longer than previously expected.
At the same time, Hartung denies that the European Union hastened to set this goal, and said, “With climate goals, it was primarily important that we set this goal.”
Global electric car sales
Global electric car sales have witnessed a tremendous growth spurt over the past years in light of fierce competition between China, the United States, and Europe, jumping from 700,000 units in 2016, to exceed two million units in 2018, then to 3 million units in 2020, according to data from the International Energy Agency.
Sales of electric vehicles also continued their major jumps in 2021, reaching 6.5 million units, then jumping to 13.9 million units globally in 2023.
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