As we enter Week 11, the clarity surrounding team strengths and weaknesses has heightened, making it essential to strategically leverage matchups when devising daily fantasy sports (DFS) strategies. By examining all available data, I am committed to guiding you toward optimal DFS choices with my Week 11 NFL DFS picks. This includes insights into my top stack options, standout value plays, GPP recommendations, and players to avoid.
Additionally, don’t forget to utilize our NFL DFS Projections and DFS Pick’em Tool for enhanced decision-making. If you’re also interested in college DFS, we have comprehensive projections available.
Top NFL DFS Stack For Week 11
San Francisco 49ers
The models at Paydirt have identified several ideal QB+2 stacking options for the upcoming slate. Among these, the San Francisco 49ers clearly stand out as a formidable choice.
Without diving too deep into the specifics, it’s clear why the 49ers are a must-play. All three of their QB+2 combos rank within the top five for the slate when analyzed through both median projections and ceiling outputs.
With a robust team total of 29.00 points, the 49ers boast the second-best market expectation for the week, and each stacking option comes in under $20,000. This pricing is particularly significant this week, given the widespread scarcity of value across various positions; thus, securing value with our stack is crucial. The 49ers’ QB+2 stacks not only exhibit strong performances but their 3x and 4x rates are the second highest on the slate, trailing only behind stacks from New England.
Moreover, the return of Christian McCaffrey is likely to keep his ownership percentage lower while simultaneously attracting attention toward him. This sets up an excellent opportunity to gain value and leverage the field by pivoting to the passing game.
In the grand scheme, although both the San Francisco and Baltimore stacks demonstrate potential, I lean towards the 49ers, thanks to their impressive team total and favorable game dynamics.
NFL DFS Value Plays For Week 11
QB: Drake Maye
I initially considered Brock Purdy for this segment due to his exceptional value as a quarterback this week, but I’ll redirect my focus to Drake Maye, who brings with him an impressive second-best 4x rate on the slate along with some noteworthy baselines that we can exploit.
While not widely discussed, Maye is quite elusive and possesses the third-highest scramble rate in the NFL at 12%. Over his six games, he has accumulated 233 rushing yards at an average of 9.3 yards per attempt, along with one rushing touchdown. This impressive rushing floor is hard to find at this price, particularly because New England should push the pace this week.
Maye stands out as an intriguing option for large-field GPPs, especially when he is paired in a QB+1 stack.
WR: Jakobi Meyers
Jakobi Meyers presents a compelling value play due to his WR1 role since Week 3, with his pricing still lagging behind his output. Averaging 15.6 PPR points and commanding a significant 30% share of targets and 37% of air yards, he provides an appealingly high floor combined with considerable upside.
Although subpar quarterback performance and a low team total may inhibit his overall ceiling, his affordable price mitigates these concerns effectively. With a median projection of 15.22 points and a ceiling projection of 33.02, along with the highest 4x rate among wide receivers at 19.30%, Meyers delivers an excellent mix of safety and upside.
TE: Jonnu Smith
The Dolphins find themselves in an excellent position this week against the struggling Raiders, and among their lineup, Smith stands out as the most attractive value option, making him a top priority.
As previously noted in the stacking section, value is tough to come by this week. Thus, we should direct our focus toward players at positions like TE and DST that often feature lower ceilings. Smith has consistently held a solid role this season, displaying a target share between 15% and 25%, along with roughly 20% of the air yards. With four games yielding at least 9.6 PPR points under his belt, he hasn’t registered endzone targets; however, this shortcoming is primarily due to the Dolphins’ offensive struggles and limited red-zone opportunities. Smith offers great value on this slate and makes for a strong stacking piece alongside Tua and Tyreek.
Week 11 NFL DFS GPP Plays
RB: Kyren Williams
While it’s understandable that a fully healthy Rams team could dilute scoring opportunities, Kyren Williams is frequently overlooked in this matchup. Facing off against New England, which allows 5.4 PPR points above average to opposing running backs and an aggregate of 24.6 PPR points to the position, is a dream scenario for Williams this week. The healthy Rams roster may split scoring chances, but it also enhances efficiency, leading to increased touchdown opportunities. Williams stands out among all RBs in the league for his usage rate within the five-yard line.
With a median projection and ceiling of 18.56 and 34.67, respectively, and an expected ownership around 10%, Williams presents a compelling value opportunity for GPPs.
Nov 11, 2024; Inglewood, California, USA; Los Angeles Rams running back Kyren Williams (23) carries the ball against the Miami Dolphins in the second half at SoFi Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
WR: Jameson Williams
Regrettably, just as I began crafting this section, Sam LaPorta was ruled out, which will likely result in a surge of ownership for Williams. Nevertheless, he remains an enticing option in this game environment, even if his ownership spikes to around 20%.
The Lions boast an impressive team total of 31 points—the highest on the slate—offering abundant opportunities for anyone in the offense with touchdown potential.
Furthermore, their matchup against the Jaguars is more favorable for wide receiver ceilings than for running back ceilings, exhibiting increases of 5.2 PPR points and 35 receiving yards over average. Jameson Williams is underpriced when considering this game environment, matchups, and his expanded role due to LaPorta’s absence.
TE: Travis Kelce
Despite a slow start this season, Kelce has ramped up his performance significantly in the last three weeks and now stands out as a top midrange option for Week 11. He has surpassed 20+ PPR points in three consecutive games, boasting a target share above 30% and commanding over 40% of the Chiefs’ air yards. Kelce has amassed five games with a Utilization Score of 9.0 or higher in his last six appearances.
In terms of wide receiver metrics, he would rank as the WR9 overall based on median projections, yet his price point lags approximately $1,000 behind expectations. He is a prime candidate for a pay-up play at tight end and a strong flex option this week.
Player To Avoid in Week 11 NFL DFS
There’s no need for a display image for this warning, but it’s important to steer clear of Kayshon Boutte at 20% ownership—especially as a standalone play.
Boutte has managed to score over 10 PPR points just once this season, and there appears to be little indication that he has a ceiling exceeding 15 PPR points. His pricing reflects this lack of potential. Ownership is rising solely due to tight pricing across the slate, and that should never justify forcing in a poor play.
Consider him only as part of a QB+1 stack with Drake Maye; otherwise, avoid him across all formats.
For further insights on the Week 11 DFS slate, be sure to check out our comprehensive NFL DFS Projections!
DFS Projections For Week 11
How important is player matchup analysis in shaping your DFS strategy for this week?
**Interview with DFS Expert on Week 11 NFL Strategy**
**Editor:** Welcome back to our weekly DFS segment! Today, we have a very special Alex Reed, a renowned expert in daily fantasy sports strategy. Thank you for joining us!
**Expert:** Thank you for having me! It’s always a pleasure to discuss strategies that can help players succeed in DFS.
**Editor:** As we head into Week 11, you mentioned heightened clarity on team strengths and weaknesses. How does that influence your DFS strategy for this week?
**Expert:** Absolutely! As we get deeper into the season, the data becomes more reliable. It’s crucial to analyze not just individual player performances but also how they interact with the matchups. This week, I’m focusing on leveraging those matchups strategically, particularly with the San Francisco 49ers.
**Editor:** The 49ers seem to be a focal point for your picks. What makes them a standout choice this week?
**Expert:** Their QB+2 stack options rank among the top five for potential this slate. With a team total of 29 points, they have the second-best expectations for the week. The pricing for these stacks is incredibly attractive, especially in a week with limited value. Plus, the return of Christian McCaffrey may lower his ownership, providing an interesting opportunity to pivot to the passing game instead.
**Editor:** That sounds promising! Switching gears to value plays, can you elaborate on some standout players?
**Expert:** Certainly! Drake Maye is a notable quarterback option this week. He has an impressive rushing floor, which is rare at his price point. Additionally, Jakobi Meyers at wide receiver offers great value due to his role and target share, despite some concerns with quarterback performance.
**Editor:** It seems like value is key this week, particularly at positions where it might be challenging to find it. Are there other players you’d recommend as solid GPP plays?
**Expert:** Yes, I’m particularly interested in Kyren Williams. Despite some uncertainty with the Rams’ lineup, he faces a favorable matchup against New England, known for giving up points to running backs. Similarly, Jameson Williams looks enticing with the Lions’ high team total. He may see increased ownership, but the potential upside remains high.
**Editor:** Before we wrap up, any final tips for our listeners as they prepare their DFS lineups for Week 11?
**Expert:** Don’t forget to utilize tools like our NFL DFS Projections and DFS Pick’em Tool! They provide essential data to enhance decision-making. And remember, keeping an eye on matchups and ownership levels as the week progresses can help you make effective pivots if needed.
**Editor:** Great advice! Thank you for sharing your insights and strategies. Best of luck in Week 11!
**Expert:** Thank you! Good luck to everyone out there!
