According to the long-term forecasts cited by the meteorologist, Costas Lagouvardos, “the coming December is expected to be warmer than normal in Southeast Europe (including Greece) according to the long-term forecasts issued in November”.
Mr. Lagouvardos in collaboration with Giorgos Fragioulides, make a first long-term forecast for the average temperature of December 2024.
“Specifically, the most likely scenarios are deviations of the order of 0℃ – 1℃ (26%) and 1℃ – 2℃ (23%), while the probability of average temperature deviations of more than 2℃ is 23%. Finally, there is a 28% chance that we will have a below normal average temperature.
Lagouvardou’s entire post
From the announcement we prepared with my colleague Georgios Fragkoulidis
Warmer than normal is expected to be next December in SE Europe (including Greece) according to long-term forecasts issued in November. As shown in the graph below, according to 72% of the available scenarios the December average temperature will be higher than normal for the season (reference period: 1993-2016).
In particular, the most likely scenarios are deviations of the order of 0-1 °C (26%) and 1-2 °C (23%), while the probability of average temperature deviations of more than 2 °C is 23%. Finally, there is a 28% chance that we will have a below normal average temperature.
This forecast is based on a total of 350 possible scenarios from the following forecast centers: ECMWF (Europe), UKMO (United Kingdom), Meteo-France (France), JMA (Japan), NCEP (USA), DWD (Germany) and CMCC ( Italy), as provided by the Copernicus Climate Change Service of the European Commission.
It is emphasized that long-term forecasts are characterized by great uncertainty and aim to estimate the trend in the monthly and seasonal evolution of average weather conditions. Variations in temperature on a daily and local basis due to the influence of all kinds of weather systems may differ significantly from the average variation of a month over a wider area.
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#Weather #December #research #director #Kostas #Lagouvardos #predict
What are the best practices for loading external scripts securely in JavaScript?
It seems you have pasted a snippet of JavaScript code that includes various functions related to advertising and user engagement. This code uses different third-party ad services like Google AdSense, OneSignal for push notifications, and Disqus for comments. Additionally, there are placeholders for loading external scripts and managing ad slots.
Here are a few improvements or clarifications that could be made:
1. **Improper Script Loading**: The `asyncLoadScript` function calls are incomplete. The actual URLs for the scripts are missing. Ensure that you properly provide the URLs to load the scripts.
2. **Error Handling**: Consider adding error handling when loading asynchronous scripts. This could help gracefully handle scenarios where a script fails to load.
3. **Secure Script Loading**: If you are using external scripts, make sure to load them over HTTPS to avoid mixed content issues and enhance security.
4. **Performance Considerations**: If many ads and scripts need to be loaded, consider loading them conditionally or lazily to improve the initial load performance of your page.
5. **Variable Declarations**: Ensure that any variables used are properly declared (e.g., using `var`, `let`, or `const`) to avoid polluting the global scope.
6. **Code Documentation**: Including comments or documentation would help others (or future you) understand the purpose of each section of the code.
7. **Placeholder Clean Up**: Remove or replace any placeholders in the code (like `put-your-callback-macro-here` or incomplete strings) before deploying.
Here's an example of a potential refactoring of part of your code for clarity and functionality:
```javascript
// Function to asynchronously load scripts
function asyncLoadScript(src) {
return new Promise((resolve, reject) => {
const script = document.createElement('script');
script.src = src;
script.onload = () => resolve();
script.onerror = () => reject(new Error(`Script load error for ${src}`));
document.head.appendChild(script);
});
}
// Example usage for OneSignal
window.OneSignalDeferred = window.OneSignalDeferred || [];
OneSignalDeferred.push(function(OneSignal) {
OneSignal.init({
appId: "487cc53b-3b66-4f84-8803-3a3a133043ab",
});
});
// Load Disqus if needed
if (shouldLoadDisqus) {
var disqus_config = function() {
this.page.url = window.location.href; // Replace with your page's canonical URL variable
this.page.identifier = 1564461; // Replace with your page's unique identifier variable
};
setTimeout(() => {
asyncLoadScript('https://your_disqus_script_url.js').catch(error => {
console.error(error);
});
}, 3000);
}
// Example for loading ads asynchronously
const adSenseSlots = document.querySelectorAll('.adsbygoogle');
if (adSenseSlots.length) {
asyncLoadScript('https://your_adsense_script_url.js').catch(error => {
console.error(error);
});
}
```
Remember to replace placeholders and incomplete sections with actual implementations relevant to your application or website.