Weather: What will December be like – What does research director Kostas Lagouvardos predict?

According to the long-term forecasts cited by the meteorologist, Costas Lagouvardos, “the coming December is expected to be warmer than normal in Southeast Europe (including Greece) according to the long-term forecasts issued in November”.

Mr. Lagouvardos, in collaboration with Giorgos Fragioulidis, make a first long-term forecast for the average temperature of December 2024.

“Specifically, the most likely scenarios are deviations of the order of 0℃ – 1℃ (26%) and 1℃ – 2℃ (23%), while the probability of average temperature deviations of more than 2℃ is 23%. Finally, there is a 28% chance that we will have a below normal average temperature.

Lagouvardou’s entire post

From the announcement we prepared with my colleague Georgios Fragkoulidis

Warmer than normal is expected to be next December in SE Europe (including Greece) according to long-term forecasts issued in November. As shown in the graph below, according to 72% of the available scenarios the December average temperature will be higher than normal for the season (reference period: 1993-2016).

In particular, the most likely scenarios are deviations of the order of 0-1 °C (26%) and 1-2 °C (23%), while the probability of average temperature deviations of more than 2 °C is 23%. Finally, there is a 28% chance that we will have a below normal average temperature.

This forecast is based on a total of 350 possible scenarios from the following forecast centers: ECMWF (Europe), UKMO (United Kingdom), Meteo-France (France), JMA (Japan), NCEP (USA), DWD (Germany) and CMCC ( Italy), as provided by the Copernicus Climate Change Service of the European Commission.

It is emphasized that long-term forecasts are characterized by great uncertainty and aim to estimate the trend in the monthly and seasonal evolution of average weather conditions. Variations in temperature on a daily and local basis due to the influence of all kinds of weather systems may differ significantly from the average variation of a month over a wider area.

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#Weather #December #research #director #Kostas #Lagouvardos #predict

How⁢ can ‍I effectively handle⁢ script loading errors in JavaScript when integrating multiple ad services?

It looks like you've shared ⁣a snippet of ‍JavaScript code that involves various elements typically ⁤found in ad management and integration scripts. The code seems to handle ‌multiple services, such as Google AdSense, OneSignal, Disqus, and others, likely as part‍ of a web application's advertising strategy. Here's a brief breakdown and some suggestions ⁤for improving readability and functionality:

### Code Breakdown

1. **Ad Management Logic**:

-⁢ The snippet removes any existing ads ⁢for mobile views and checks ⁣for existing AdSense⁢ slots.

- Comments indicate the ‌presence of ⁢other ad management integrations such as Phaistos Adman, Taboola/Project Agora, and Glomex.

2. **Asynchronous Loading of Scripts**:

- Uses `asyncLoadScript` to load different script resources asynchronously,​ which is a good practice to⁤ avoid blocking the ⁤rendering ⁤of the page.

- There are‌ instances prefixed with `//` indicating that ‌the loading of some scripts is commented out, possibly during development or debugging.

3. **OneSignal Integration**:

‌ - Initializes OneSignal ‌with a specified `appId` to manage push notifications.

4. **Disqus Integration**:

- Configures Disqus for comment management but has undefined `this.page.url` which may cause issues ​if not initialized.

5. **SetTimeout Calls**:

- Utilizes `setTimeout` to‌ delay the loading of certain scripts, which is ‌beneficial for ensuring that the DOM is fully loaded‍ or after other critical resources.

### Suggestions for⁢ Improvement

1. **Complete URLs and Script Sources**:

‍ ‌ -⁣ Make sure to provide actual ‍URLs or paths ⁢for the script sources where placeholders are present (e.g., `s.src="...";`).

2. **Error Handling**:

⁢ - Consider ⁣adding error handling around⁣ script loading to ensure any⁢ issues​ during loading are captured and logged.

3. **Define `asyncLoadScript` function**:

- Ensure that the `asyncLoadScript` function is defined‍ somewhere in your code, or make use of a library that has this functionality.

4. ⁣**Organize and Modularize**:

- ​Split various integrations into separate functions to improve modularity and readability. This allows easier testing and⁢ management of each ​integration.

5. **Validate Page URL for Disqus**:

⁤ - Set a valid URL for `this.page.url` in the `disqus_config` function to prevent any ‌potential errors when initializing Disqus.

6. **Ensure Dependencies are Loaded**:

⁤ - If ‍certain scripts are dependent on others, ensure that you manage the load order appropriately.

7. **Comment Clarity**:

- Use clear comments to describe what each section of code is doing, ‍helping future developers (or even yourself) understand the purpose of the code.

### Refactored Example

Here is a small refactored version focusing on the initialization of⁢ OneSignal for clarity:

```javascript

(function() {

// ⁣OneSignal Initialization

window.OneSignalDeferred = window.OneSignalDeferred || [];

⁣ ‌ OneSignalDeferred.push(function(OneSignal) {

​ ‍ OneSignal.init({

appId: "487cc53b-3b66-4f84-8803-3a3a133043ab",

⁣ });

});

// Disqus Initialization

⁢ var disqus_config = function() {

this.page.url = window.location.href;⁢ // Set ‍to the current page URL

this.page.identifier‌ = 1564461; // Unique identifier for the page

};

​ ⁣ setTimeout(function() {

⁢ ⁢‍ var d = document,

‍ ‍ ⁣ ‍ ⁤ s = d.createElement('script');

‌ ​ s.src = "https://your-disqus-url.here"; //Specify the actual Disqus URL

⁣ s.setAttribute('data-timestamp', ‍+new Date());

(d.head || d.body).appendChild(s);

‍ }, 3000);

// Further ad ‌integrations can follow...

})();

```

This extracted portion shares specific improvements, with clear definitions for what the code does at each step. Further similar modifications can be made for the other integrations listed in your original code to‍ enhance maintainability and functionality.

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