Cuban meteorologist Dr. José Rubiera shared on his YouTube channel an update on a tropical wave that is currently moving westward in the western Caribbean, southeast of Cuba, and that could have a cyclonic development at the end of this week .
This system, specifically located south of the Dominican Republic and Haiti, has generated an extensive area of showers and thunderstorms.
In his observations, Rubiera highlighted that the region shows environmental conditions that could favor the formation of a cyclonic system in the coming days, particularly in areas near Central America. For this, this tropical wave would move westward and with medium potential for its development.
According to Rubiera, it is a “new area of attention in the Caribbean”
Rubiera explained that the warm water on the surface of the western Caribbean, the low intensity of winds at altitude and the high moisture content in the atmosphere are factors that could contribute to the development of this tropical wave into a depression or tropical cyclone towards the end. of the week.
“Conditions in the western Caribbean are conducive to cyclonic formation: there is warm water, weak winds and high humidity,” Rubiera noted in his report. Emphasizing the possibility that the system has some cyclonic development.
In his video, the meteorologist also shared satellite images that show how the rain system gradually advances, generating showers in the central and western Caribbean.
In addition, Rubiera warned that the influence of this tropical wave extends to parts of Cuba, the Dominican Republic, Haiti and Puerto Rico, regions that could also experience moderate to heavy rains in the coming days.
NHC outlook on cyclonic activity in the Caribbean
This information coincides with the most recent reports from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) of the United States, previously published by Cuban Directorywhich has highlighted two areas of attention in the Caribbean.
In a previous note, the NHC warned about the possible formation of two cyclonic systems, one of them associated with the same tropical wave that Rubiera mentions. The probability of development of this tropical wave in 48 hours is low, close to 10%, but increases to 50% in the next 7 days, according to the NHC.
A week after Hurricane Rafael passed through western Cuba, which left considerable damage, both Rubiera and the NHC recommend closely monitoring the evolution of this tropical wave.
The Cuban meteorologist stressed that he will be updating the situation daily and highlighted that the Western Caribbean will remain under observation, since this season could still bring more cyclonic activity.
Weather and wave conditions
In his update, Rubiera also detailed the wave conditions in the region. Light swells are expected on the northern coast of the Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico and the Lesser Antilles, while in the western Caribbean the swell will be more moderate, with waves between 0.5 and 1 meter high.
Dr. Rubiera anticipates a week of continuous monitoring of this tropical system that is moving towards Central America.
The combination of favorable conditions in the Western Caribbean increases the possibility of this system evolving, so citizens and authorities are urged to stay informed through official updates and reliable media.
“We are going to continue carefully observing the western Caribbean Sea with this new tropical wave due to the possibilities it has for development by the end of this week,” Rubiera concluded.
#follow #meteorological #situation #carefully
**Interviewer:** Welcome to our show, Dr. José Rubiera. Thank you for joining us today to discuss the current tropical wave in the Caribbean. Can you start by giving our listeners an overview of this system and its potential impact?
**Dr. Rubiera:** Thank you for having me. Currently, there’s a tropical wave moving westward in the western Caribbean, southeast of Cuba. This system, located south of the Dominican Republic and Haiti, is generating significant showers and thunderstorms. We are observing environmental conditions favorable for the formation of a tropical cyclone, particularly as this wave progresses into Central America at the end of the week.
**Interviewer:** You mentioned certain environmental factors contributing to the potential development of this system. Could you elaborate on those?
**Dr. Rubiera:** Absolutely. The warm surface water in the western Caribbean is a critical factor, along with low wind intensity at higher altitudes and high humidity in the atmosphere. These conditions are ideal for cyclonic formation. In essence, we have the right ingredients for this tropical wave to develop further into a depression or possibly a tropical storm.
**Interviewer:** As the situation evolves, what regions should be on alert, and what kind of weather can they expect?
**Dr. Rubiera:** The influence of this tropical wave extends to regions such as Cuba, the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Puerto Rico. These areas should prepare for moderate to heavy rains in the coming days, which might lead to flooding in vulnerable regions. It’s vital for residents to remain informed and take precautions as necessary.
**Interviewer:** It sounds like a situation that requires close monitoring. How confident are you in the forecast for this system becoming a more organized cyclone?
**Dr. Rubiera:** While the current conditions are conducive to development, cyclone formation can be unpredictable. We will continue to monitor the system closely, and I encourage everyone to stay updated through reliable sources, including weather agencies and my social media channels. We’re preparing for the possibility, but the outcomes can vary.
**Interviewer:** Thank you for that insight, Dr. Rubiera. Is there any final message you’d like to share with our audience regarding preparedness?
**Dr. Rubiera:** Yes, my final message would be to stay vigilant and prepared. Make sure you have emergency supplies ready, stay informed about weather updates, and have a plan in place should the situation escalate. Preparedness is key to minimizing the impact of severe weather events.
**Interviewer:** Thank you, Dr. Rubiera, for your valuable expertise today. We appreciate your time and insights.
**Dr. Rubiera:** Thank you for having me. Stay safe, everyone!
