“The position is paradoxically solid but also fragile, because it can explode under pressure“, which would constitute, according to him, “a disaster perhaps decisive for the fate of the Russian expeditionary force in Ukraine“.
Natalia Goumenyuk, the spokeswoman for the Ukrainian army in the South, bets that the soldiers from Moscow “just looking to surrender“, but also that “their logistics routes were significantly damaged“.
For months, the kyiv forces have been bombarding enemy ammunition warehouses, but also the infrastructures allowing Moscow to supply its troops.
Kherson is the long-term goal, but it cannot be reached before winter, including winter
The Crimean Bridge, which, according to Ms. Goumenyuk, provided “75% of Kherson region (military) supply” was thus partially destroyed on Saturday in an attack not claimed by kyiv.
“The Russians don’t have any supply problems yet“, sweeps away the French expert Pierre Grasser. If the situation were “critique“, they would proceed to”many more airborne deliveries“, he judges.
And to add: “Kherson is the long-term goal, but it cannot be reached before winter, including winter“.
What will become of Kherson next? Storming the city would mean heavy casualties on both sides, and intense destruction.
If Pierre Grasser imagines a “barter“between kyiv and Moscow, the former abandoning their claims to the Donbass in the spring in exchange for a returned city of Kherson”in good condition“, George Barros only conceives of a total Ukrainian victory.
“The Russians have already lost the war“, he assures.