War in Ukraine and debt: the S&P agency lowers kyiv’s rating, putting it one notch from “default”

Credit rating agency S&P on Friday lowered Ukraine’s rating, which is now labeled “SD”, or “selective” default, the last notch before default, due to the moratorium on its external debt obtained on Wednesday .

“Given the announced terms and conditions of the restructuring, and in accordance with our criteria, we consider this transaction to be (…) equivalent to a default,” S&P said in a statement.

Ukraine has obtained from its international creditors a two-year moratorium on its foreign debt, valued at 20 billion dollars

Long-term and short-term debt ratings in foreign currencies are downgraded from CC/C to SD. The agency does not accompany it, as is the case for other ratings, with an outlook indicating whether it plans to raise or lower it, or to maintain it.

A country is considered in default of payment when it is unable to honor its financial commitments to its creditors, which may be States, financial institutions (International Monetary Fund, World Bank, etc.) or investors in the financial markets. . The default is qualified as partial when the State does not reimburse part of its obligations.

A group of Western creditors including France, the United States, Germany, Japan and the United Kingdom had agreed on July 20 to a postponement of interest payments on the Ukrainian debt after a request from kyiv, urging other bondholders to do the same.

Ukraine’s economy has collapsed since the start of the war with Russia launched on February 24 and could see its GDP plunge by 45% this year, according to the latest World Bank estimates from June.

Measures to defer Ukraine’s payment of its bonds could save it at least $3 billion over two years, according to calculations by the Bloomberg agency.

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