VIOLATION OF THE HUMANITARIAN TRUCE: Sudan facing its destiny!

2023-04-27 00:08:36

The 72-hour humanitarian truce in force since April 25 has not even come to an end when fighting has resumed in Sudan, more specifically in Khartoum and Darfur. How can it be otherwise when we know that this ceasefire did not come regarding as a result of direct negotiations between the warring parties but that it was practically wrested with forceps by the United States, which weighed with all their weight to bring the protagonists to observe this temporary suspension of combat? Still, the truce was relatively well observed and was also used to evacuate foreign nationals. The lull also allowed some residents who had been living in cloisters since the beginning of the clashes, to stock up on food and other basic necessities. But the situation was still very volatile. Especially in Khartoum, the capital, where we observed at times, pockets of fighting. Anything that did not bode well for a lasting cessation of hostilities. This is to say if Sudan finds itself facing its destiny. Clearly, the resumption of fighting reflects the failure of the international community, which not only failed to hold the ceasefire over time, but also failed to use it to bring the protagonists to embark on the path of a negotiated settlement of the conflict.

As long as godfathers continue to pull the strings in the shadows, it must be believed that Sudan will never know peace

And in the present case, it is a situation which should call for an examination of conscience on the part of this same international community, mainly the African Union (AU) and the Arab League which have failed to grasp the desirability of this truce, if only to send emissaries to the bedside of Sudan. However, more than anyone else, it is an issue that concerns them at the highest level, with regard to the place that Sudan occupies within these two international entities. While waiting for hypotheses for negotiations to emerge, there is reason to fear for Sudan in view of the particularly belligerent attitude of the two Generals who seem to be engaged in a fight to the death for power, and who have up to now preferred to dialogue, the language of arms. This fear is all the more justified since the truce will have favored the evacuation of foreign nationals and allowed the resident populations to respond to certain contingencies, as much as it will have allowed the belligerents to reorganize militarily in order to strengthen their respective positions. In this game, it is the Sudanese people who are most to be pitied. He who is trapped in this fratricidal war for power, which seems to respond, beyond the two rival Generals, to economic but also geostrategic issues in which certain foreign powers are engaged. And as long as the godfathers continue to pull the strings in the shadows through the underground support given to one party to the detriment of the other, we have to believe that Sudan will never know peace.

Sudan runs the risk of a « Libyanisation» of his conflict

Because, not only the soldiers who cling to power in Khartoum, do not want to lose their privileges, but also everything leads to believe that beyond their people, there are many other hidden interests. Which interests have led certain foreign powers to support the military to the detriment of the democratic aspirations of the Sudanese people, following the fall of the former dictator Omar el Bashir. It is undoubtedly all of this that contributes to making the resolution of the Sudanese conflict even more complex. At this rate, there is reason to fear a stalemate in the conflict which might be long-lasting, especially if it is to tend towards a balance of forces on the ground. This means that Sudan runs the risk of a « Libyanisation» of its conflict, which risks further compromising the putting back of the political process on the rails, as well as democracy and the return to constitutional order which has always been the struggle of the Sudanese. In any case, if for one reason or another, the bet of the international community is to let the conflict die out by itself, it does not seem less risky. Because, not only no one can say how long it might take, but it would be even more difficult to assess the number of Sudanese who might pay with their lives, this struggle for power between two generals who care regarding civilians as well. a jinx. This is why the international community must maintain its efforts to pull Sudan out of the quagmire into which its lost sons of the Republic are dragging.

” The country “

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