2023-05-13 10:04:21
■ Stars on Earth
[Intermediate adjustment]Last year’s Ouka Sho won the Oaks and achieved two mare crowns. After that, he finished 3rd in the Shukasho and 2nd in the Osaka Hai, which was his first match once morest an old horse, but it had been a long time since his legs were not smooth, and the start and the road were disadvantageous. All of them have race content that is strong even if they lose, and it can be said that they are among the strongest active middle-distance routes regardless of whether they are male or female. Since there was no noticeable damage following the Osaka Cup, it was decided to advance to the Victoria Mile immediately.
◆[Victoria Mile 2023 Forecast / Chasing Diagnosis]High evaluation of “A” exceeding the songline “Is the long-cherished GI caught here?”
After short-term grazing at the Yamamoto training center, they returned to Miho in late April and are making adjustments. On the 23rd, he completed a slope 14-14, and on the 27th, he immediately joined in a wood, where he put his heart and soul into cornering the lead horse. There seems to be none. In May 4th, one week ahead, he was a little unfriendly in the early stages, but when he was attacked, he showed a spectacular growth. He was up front early and was able to pick up a few more gears as he was closing in on him.
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[Final overtaking]In the overtaking of the race week, C. Lemaire jockeyed and performed a joint horse with a wood. This time, he grabbed the opponent who was ahead of him with corner work and made him endure it. When the opponent who was set first tried to move forward, he finally loosened the reins and accelerated. In the end, I raised one more gear at the very end and achieved the first arrival by half a horse length with overwhelming response.
[Opinion]It was a perfect move a week before, but the offense for the week of the race is to change the timing of gearing up once morest the same horse as the week before. Whether the horse had grasped the intent of the main battle or not, he kept his legs until the very end. It seems to be in a good mental state where it seems that it can move from anywhere. Of course, there is no problem with physical aspects such as leg handling and anxiety functions. The crowning of the new Mile Queen is just around the corner.
Comprehensive evaluation “S”
◆[Victoria Mile 2023 Predictions/Data Strategy]Two 4-year-old horses with a narrow defeat win GI for the first time with “100% betting ticket rate” and “one-of-a-kind chance”
▼ Other, catch-up diagnosis
◆[Catch-up Diagnosis]The highest rating of “S” surpassing Sodashi “The seat of the new mile queen is imminent”
◆[Catch-up Diagnosis]High evaluation “A” approaching Stars on Earth “First win and lose”
◆[Catch-up diagnosis]Unexpected dissatisfaction with GI horses “B” evaluation “I can’t deny that one skin is thick”
◆[Catch-up diagnosis]High evaluation of “A” exceeding the song line “Is the long-awaited GI caught here?”
Victoria Mile 2023 prediction column list
▼ Data strategy
◆[Data capture]”2.1.1.0″ for a popular GI horse The stage where stamina is questioned is also a tailwind
◆[Data capture]Two 4-year-old horses with narrow losses win GI for the first time with two “100% betting ticket rate” and “one-of-a-kind chance”
◆[Data capture]Over 80% of the betting ticket rate below the assumed “8 popularity” Course x Beware of rushing with instantaneous power
◆[Data capture]”75% winning rate” for talented horses who are falling in popularity Again a first-come-first-served opportunity for Stars on Earth
◆[WIN5 forecast]The main is Sodashi “Erase” and 3 carefully selected horses including ambush Kyoto 11R is a GI experienced horse “One point breakthrough”
▼Anuma Predictions
◆[Dangerous popular horse]Mile GI horse is evaluated as “erased” Two concerns are “This time it will come out as bad”
▼ Pedigree trend
◆[Pedigree trend]This time, the single recovery value exceeds “500” under the best conditions, and the GI horse aiming for revenge is assumed to have “double-digit” odds.
[Pedigree trend]Signs of full-scale progress around the assumed “10 popularity” Double recovery value “250” is proof of advancing to the top
▼Other data trends for the past 10 years
◆[Batch order]The two most popular horses will be challenged with a 0% winning rate.
◆[Previous race Rote]Hanshin Himba S Group, with a record of 4 wins, pays attention to horses that finish 2nd and below, and beware of “thugs” aiming to come back
◆[Tendency of leg quality]Stars on Earth depends on the position of the four corners.
◆[Popularity trend]A “yellow light” for Sodashi’s consecutive victory The axis candidate is a middle hole in the betting ticket for 10 consecutive years
Author profile
Takeki Nishimura (freelance writer)
A freelance writer who specializes in overtaking evaluations of racehorses and continues to write mainly for online media. Currently, he writes and is in charge of weekly reports on all the horses that run in the graded prize at UMAJIN.net “Horse Racing Salon”. He is also involved in the professional wrestling industry and has contributed articles to weekly professional wrestling publications and books.
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