US Election Update: Democrats Stronger Than Expected – Election Outcome Still Open

2022-11-09 08:00:00

The US election update in the followingnoon: Democrats stronger than expected – election outcome still open

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Polls had predicted a so-called red wave for Republicans in the US midterms. But it might be that the Democrats hold their ground much better than expected. The preliminary results at a glance.

A powerful wave of success for the Republicans was expected during the “midterms” in the USA, but they were too early to celebrate. The crucial question of who will call the shots in Congress in the future still depends on a few close races. Is a long hanging game imminent?

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Despite high inflation and poor poll numbers, President Joe Biden and his Democrats fared much better than expected in the US midterm elections. A clear victory for the Republicans, as predicted in the polls, did not materialize. Even the day following the vote, it was still unclear who would achieve the majorities in the two chambers of Congress. It was initially unclear how long it would take to count the results. Ex-President Donald Trump put a damper on the election.

The Key Races – and a possible runoff in Georgia

A tight race is ahead in the Senate. So far, the Democrats and Republicans are tied with 48 seats each. Four races are still to come (as of 12:00 p.m.). Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Wisconsin are crucial. While Arizona is forecasting a victory for the Democrats, Nevada and Wisconsin are leaning towards the Republicans.

But in Georgia, the blues are currently just a few votes ahead of the reds – incumbent Raphael Warnock of the Democrats ahead of his challenger Herschel Walker. The state is completely open. The lead changed back and forth between the two several times during the ongoing count and a winner would have to get more than 50 percent of the votes due to a special rule of the state to avert a runoff election on December 6 for the seat.

It was also unclear which party would occupy the senator posts in Nevada and Arizona in the future. However, many votes have not yet been counted. Experience has shown that votes cast on election day are more likely to go in favor of the Republicans. Postal votes for the Democrats. Especially in Nevada, the latter might still lead to a comeback of the currently behind democratic candidate.

In these four states, the result is still open – these are the forecasts (as of 3 p.m.):

Arizona

Kelly (Democrat): 51.9 percent (107,000 votes ahead) Masters (Republican): 45.9 percent 68 percent of the vote counted

Georgia

Warnock (Democrat): 49.2 percent (18,000) Walker (Republican): 48.7 percent 96 percent of the vote counted

Nevada

Laxait (Republican): 49.9 percent (22,600) Cortez Masto (Democrat): 47.2 percent 80 percent of the vote counted

Wisconsin

Johnson (Republican): 50.5 percent (31,700) Barnes (Democrat): 49.3 percent 94 percent of votes counted

50 seats is the threshold for an absolute majority. However, only 35 seats will be re-elected. The rest were determined two years ago.

These states went to the Democrats:

Colorado
Connecticut
Hawaii
Illinois
Kalifornien
Maryland
New Hampshire
New York
Oregon
Pennsylvania
Washington State

These states went to the Republicans:

Alabama Alaska Arkansas Florida Idaho Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Missouri North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma South Carolina South Dakota Utah

The results in the House of Representatives

Here, the Republicans have so far led 197 seats to 172 (as of 11:45 a.m.). Several seats are up for grabs per state, depending on its size.

In these states, the Democrats clearly lead:

Colorado
Delaware
Kalifornien
Illinois
Maine
Massachusetts
Maryland
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New York
North Carolina
Rhode Island
Washington State
Vermont

In these states, Republicans clearly lead:

Alabama Akaska Arkansas Florida Georgia Kentucky Ohio Indiana Louisiana Montana Nebraska North Dakota Tennessee Texas South Dakota West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming Utah

Gubernatorial elections: Republicans re-elected in Texas, Florida and Alabama

In the US state of Florida, Republican Ron DeSantis has already achieved great success for himself and his party: The 44-year-old was convincingly re-elected governor. Within the party, DeSantis is considered the biggest rival of ex-President Donald Trump. Ex-President Trump threatened DeSantis on Tuesday if he entered the race for the White House in 2024. The other results of the governor elections (as of 11:30 a.m.):

These Democrats will win the gubernatorial election:

Kalifornien: Newsom
Hawaii: Green
Maine: Janet Mills
Maryland: Moore
Massachusetts: Healy
Michigan: Whitmer
Minnesota: Walz
New Mexiko: Lujan Grisham
New York: Hochul
Pennsylvania: Shapiro
Rhode Island: McKee
Wisconsin: Evers

These Republicans will win the gubernatorial election:

Florida: Ron DeSantis
Georgia: Brian Kemp
Idaho: Little
Iowa: Reynolds
Oklahoma: Stitt
Michigan: Whitmer
Nebraska: Pillen
Texas: Abbott
South Dakota: Noem
South Carolina: McMaster
Wyoming; Gordon

The “midterms” in the middle of President Joe Biden’s four-year term will see all 435 seats in the House of Representatives up for grabs and 35 of the 100 seats in the Senate, the second chamber of the US House of Representatives. Republicans would need to gain a net Senate seat and five House seats to have a majority in both houses. In the House of Representatives, Republicans have a much better chance of reversing their current 212-220 deficit. Numerous governorships and other important offices in the states are also voted on in the elections.

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