US consumer confidence Uni Michigan better than expected

The US consumer confidence for the month of October (1st release) just released by the University of Michigan came in better than expected at 59.8 points (forecast 59; previous month was 58.6).

The assessment of the current situation is 65.3 (previous month was 59.7)

Consumer expectation is 56.2 (previous month was 58.0)

Inflation expectations:
1 year: 5.1% (previous month was 5.7%)
5 years: 2.9% (previous month was 2.7%)

Joanne Hsu, who is responsible for the survey:

Consumer sentiment is essentially unchanged at 1.2 index points above September, in spite of a 23% improvement in current buying conditions for durables owing to an easing in supply constraints. Sentiment is now 9.8 points above the all-time low reached in June, but this improvement remains tentative, as the expectations index declined by 3% from last month. Continued uncertainty over the future trajectory of prices, economies, and financial markets around the world indicate a bumpy road ahead for consumers.

The median expected year-ahead inflation rate rose to 5.1%, with increases reported across age, income, and education. Last month, long run inflation expectations fell below the narrow 2.9-3.1% range for the first time since July 2021, but since then expectations have returned to that range at 2.9%. After 3 months of expecting minimal increases in gas prices in the year ahead, both short and longer run expectations rebounded in October.


source: tradingeconomics.com

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