United States | Growth revised upwards to 5.2% in the 3rd quarter

2023-11-29 14:09:37

(Washington) Growth in the United States was stronger in the third quarter than initially announced, at 5.2% annualized, according to the Commerce Department’s second estimate, published Wednesday.


The first estimate showed gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 4.9%, a doubling compared to the previous quarter.

This revision is even stronger than expected, since analysts were counting on 5.0%, according to the MarketWatch consensus.

Growth was surprising with its strength in the third quarter. Households continued to spend, fueling the main engine of the American economy.

However, they had to devote a large part of their budget to expenses for electricity, health care and medicines, financial services and insurance.

They had also purchased computer equipment and traveled.

The United States favors growth at an annualized rate, that is to say the growth that would be achieved over the entire year at this rate.

Other advanced economies simply compare each quarter to the previous one, which gives 1.3% for the United States in 3e quarter (compared to 1.2% published during the first estimate).

But growth in the United States might slow down in 2024, due to measures taken by the American central bank (Fed) to curb high inflation.

Because the full effects of rate increases take time to be fully felt in the real economy.

Rates are currently in the 5.25-5.50% range, since July. The Fed left them at this level during its September and November meetings, so as not to weigh too heavily on economic activity.

The next meeting will take place on December 12 and 13, and a further maintenance of rates at this level is mostly expected at this stage.

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