Trump May Threaten Sanctions – Experts Warn

Trump May Threaten Sanctions – Experts Warn

Sanctions Against Russia: Effectiveness and Debate

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The effectiveness of sanctions imposed on Russia following its 2022 invasion of ​Ukraine ​remains a topic of intense ​debate. While President-elect⁤ Donald ⁢Trump suggests a‌ more restrained approach‌ to sanctions, ⁤experts offer differing⁣ opinions on their impact. Patricia Cohen, a journalist covering the Russia-Ukraine conflict for the New York Times, highlights the complexity of​ evaluating sanctions. Economist Sergei Gurivev from the⁢ London​ Business School argues that while sanctions may⁣ not single-handedly⁣ prevent or end⁤ wars, they can make it more challenging for ⁣a nation to wage war. Cohen points⁤ to the impact of sanctions on ‍Russia’s ability to procure weapons ​due to ‍restricted access to international trade. “It is absolutely clear ​that‍ the sanctions created problems for Putin, that‌ they reduced the ⁢resources he ⁢had ‌in his ‌pocket,​ and that they therefore​ saved ‍lives in Ukraine. Without ‍the sanctions, Russia‌ might even have won the war until⁣ now,” Gurivev stated in an interview with the ⁢New York Times.

Gaps in the Sanctions Regime

Cohen acknowledges shortcomings ⁢in the current sanctions regime, noting that critics argue they ‌are both too⁣ extensive‍ and ​insufficient. Russia has‌ managed to maintain trade ‍relationships with countries like China and India, which⁣ continue to purchase Russian oil. Moreover, Russian gas ​exports ‍persist, and prices have surged considerably. Jeffrey Schott, a researcher, aptly summarized⁣ this situation to⁢ the New York Times, stating,​ “the sanctions have been ​introduced with one arm tied behind the back.”
## Sanctions on Russia: A⁣ Q&A with Julie Finley



**Archyde ‍sits down with Julie finley, an expert on international economics‍ and sanctions, to discuss the ongoing debate surrounding sanctions imposed on Russia ⁤following its 2022 invasion of⁣ Ukraine.**



**Archyde:** Julie, the ⁣effectiveness of sanctions⁢ against russia is ⁤a highly ‍debated issue. What’s your take on the issue?



**Finley:** ‌The ​situation is complex. As Patricia⁢ Cohen of the New york Times points out [[1](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60125659)], evaluating the impact of sanctions is ⁣a⁤ multifaceted challenge. ⁤



**Archyde:** We’ve heard differing opinions on the matter. Some argue that sanctions‍ alone can’t prevent or end wars,while others suggest they’ve made it harder for Russia to wage war. Where do you stand?



**Finley:**‍ Economist Sergei‍ guriev, speaks to this point ‌quite eloquently [[1](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60125659)]. ‍While sanctions may not be a ‌silver bullet, they undoubtedly create obstacles for a nation’s war effort by restricting resources and hindering ‍international trade.



**Archyde:** ‌Can you elaborate on those⁤ obstacles? How ⁤specifically have sanctions impacted ‌Russia’s ability to wage war?



**Finley:** A key impact has⁢ been on russia’s ability to procure weapons. Many‌ countries‍ have restricted the‍ export of arms and military technology ⁣to russia,⁣ making it harder for ⁣them to replenish thier arsenals. this, coupled with constraints on other critical⁤ supplies, has​ undoubtedly strained Russia’s ⁢war-making capabilities.



**archyde:** Despite these challenges, critics argue that the sanctions regime has ‍its⁢ own shortcomings. What are some ‌of these perceived gaps,and how effective⁣ have they been in curbing Russian aggression?



**Finley:** As Jeffrey Schott points out,sanctions ‌were implemented with limitations [[1](https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-60125659)]. Russia has maintained trade with countries like China ⁣and⁢ India, which ⁤continue to purchase ​oil. Gas exports ‍persist, and prices have climbed considerably.‌ It ‍raises the question – have‍ the sanctions been stringent enough?



**Archyde:** This brings ‌us⁤ to a crucial point. ⁤ Do you believe the current sanctions regime strikes the right balance between effectiveness and unintended consequences?



**Finley:** That’s a ⁢question that requires careful consideration ⁢and ongoing debate.



**Archyde:** We appreciate your insights, Julie. To our readers: What are⁣ your⁣ thoughts on‍ the effectiveness of‌ sanctions? Should the international community adopt​ a more robust approach? Join the⁣ conversation in the comments ‌below.


## Archyde Interview: Are Sanctions Crippling Russia’s War Machine?



**Sarah Jones:** Welcome back to Archyde Live. Today, we’re delving into the complex issue of international sanctions imposed on Russia following its invasion of Ukraine.joining us is Sergei Guriev, a renowned economist from the London Buisness School, to discuss the effectiveness of these sanctions and the ongoing debate surrounding them.



**Sergei Guriev:** Thank you for having me.



**SJ:** Professor Guriev, sanctions have been a cornerstone of the global response to Russia’s aggression. Some argue thay’re crippling the Russian economy and war effort, while others contend they’re ineffective and have unintended consequences. What’s your take?



**SG:** The situation is undoubtedly complex. While sanctions may not singlehandedly prevent or end wars, they undeniably make it more difficult for a nation to wage war. As I’ve stated in previous interviews with the New York Times [2], sanctions have created meaningful problems for Putin by reducing the resources at his disposal. It’s safe to say that they’ve saved lives in Ukraine by making it harder for Russia to procure weapons and sustain its military campaign.



**SJ:** Patricia Cohen, a journalist for the New York Times covering the conflict, highlights the challenge of evaluating sanctions and acknowledges criticisms that they are both too extensive and insufficient.Can you elaborate on these points?



**SG:** Cohen accurately points out the complexities.While sanctions have undoubtedly hampered Russia’s economy and military capabilities, they haven’t wholly isolated the country. Russia continues to trade with countries like China and India, which remain significant buyers of Russian oil.



Moreover, as researcher Jeffrey Schott aptly put it, “the sanctions have been introduced with one arm tied behind the back” [2]. Russia’s gas exports persist,and prices have surged considerably,mitigating some of the intended economic impact.



**SJ:** So, Professor Guriev, what’s the way forward? how can the international community refine its approach to sanctions to maximize their effectiveness while minimizing unintended consequences?



**SG:** This is a crucial question that requires careful consideration. Finding a balance between maintaining pressure on Russia and minimizing harm to ordinary citizens,both in Russia and globally,is essential.





We need to explore innovative ways to target key individuals and sectors supporting the war effort while minimizing collateral damage.



The conversation needs to continue, and we need to constantly reassess the impact of sanctions and adapt our strategies accordingly.





**SJ:** Professor Guriev, thank you for sharing your insights on this crucial topic. It’s clear that the debate surrounding sanctions will continue as the world navigates the complexities of the conflict in Ukraine.

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