No. 0650-24
- On Friday afternoon-evening, it could impact Baja California Sur as a tropical storm and have a second impact on Sunday in Sonora and Sinaloa.
Due to the development of tropical storm Ileana in the Pacific Ocean and its possible effects on the Baja California Peninsula, the west and northwest of the country, the Government of Mexico called on the three orders and the general population to implement prevention protocols and follow the instructions of the Civil Protection authorities.
In a press video conference, where the Secretariat of the Navy (SEMAR), the National Water Commission (Conagua) and the National Civil Protection Coordination (CNPC) participated, the general coordinator of the National Meteorological Service (SMN), dependent on Conagua, Alejandra Margarita Méndez Girón, reported that, at 3:00 p.m. today, already as a tropical storm, the system was located southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Jalisco, and south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur.
Regarding its effects, he explained that its cloud bands generate rain in Colima, Jalisco and Nayarit, as well as clouds in Durango, Sinaloa, southern Sonora and Zacatecas.
Regarding the forecast, he said it is expected to continue as a tropical storm and to continue moving northwest, heading south of Baja California Sur.
On Friday morning, he said, the center of Ileana is expected to be located approximately 100 km south of Cabo San Lucas and to make landfall during the evening of the same day, in Los Cabos, municipality of San Jose del Cabo, to continue its movement to the north. During the night, its movement is expected to change to the northeast, heading towards La Paz and the Gulf of California.
On Saturday, he continued, Ileana could move over the Gulf of California, heading toward the northern coast of Sinaloa and southern Sonora. It is estimated that, on Sunday, it will have a second impact between Huatabampo and Hermosillo, Sonora, as well as between Novolato and Ahome, Sonora. On Monday, the system will continue its path as a tropical depression or remnant low pressure, over Sonora, where it is expected to dissipate.
In its path, he warned, the system will cause very heavy to intense rains in Baja California Sur, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa and Sonora, as well as strong to very heavy rains in Chihuahua, Durango and Zacatecas.
Due to the system’s forecast path, the most significant rainfall and strongest winds are expected in the municipalities of San José del Cabo and La Paz, Baja California Sur; in Huatabampo, Etchojoa, Benito Juárez, Cajeme and San Ignacio Río Muerto, in Sonora; as well as in Novolato, Guasave and Angostura, Sinaloa.
The head of the SMN emphasized that winds of up to 80 to 100 km/h, possible waterspouts and waves of 2 to 4 meters high are expected on the coasts of Baja California Sur, southern Sonora and northern Sinaloa, as well as winds of 50 to 70 km/h, waves of 2 to 4 meters and possible waterspouts on the coasts of Nayarit and Jalisco.
In total, he said, from September 12 to 16, rainfall accumulations of 200 to 250 millimeters (mm) are expected in Baja California Sur, southern Sonora and northern Sinaloa, and 100 to 150 mm in Nayarit, Jalisco and Colima.
At the time, the Head of the SEMAR Climatology Department, Lieutenant Commander Aníbal González Juárez, announced that, according to the forecast, for the next 24 hours, waves of 10 to 12 feet (3 to 3.6 meters) are expected. [m]) in the Revillagigedo Islands region and the Central Pacific; 8 to 10 feet (2.4 to 3.0 m) at the entrance to the Gulf of California and the southwestern coast of the Baja California Peninsula, as well as 5 to 8 feet (1.5 to 2.4 m) in the south-central Gulf of Baja California.
Within 48 hours, waves of 10 to 14 feet (3 to 4.2 m) are expected at the entrance to the Gulf of California and the southwestern coast of the Baja California Peninsula, as well as 8 to 10 feet (2.4 to 3.0 m) over the south-central region of the Gulf of Baja California.
Meanwhile, within 72 hours, waves of 10 to 12 feet (3 to 3.6 m) are expected in the south-central Gulf of Baja California; 5 to 8 feet (1.5 to 2.4 m) at the entrance to the Gulf of California, and the southwestern coast of the Baja California Peninsula.
The head of Maritime Safety Notices of SEMAR, Blanca Lúcido Toto, indicated that, given the weather forecasts described, the maritime-port community that carries out coastal fishing, sports, nautical, beach and tourist activities, among others, in Nayarit, Jalisco and Michoacán, must follow the recommendations issued by the Maritime-Port and Civil Protection authorities, in order to safeguard human life at sea, waterways, coasts and beaches.
He emphasized that SEMAR calls on people to stay informed and alert about the levels of rivers and streams and to respond quickly, which may cause flooding and landslides in low-lying areas, as well as blockages at the mouths of rivers with the sea, the dragging of palisades, an increase in the speed of river currents, and to heed the recommendations and guidelines issued by the National Maritime Authority.
He stressed that, as a preventive measure, the port of Lázaro Cárdenas, Michoacán, is closed to large and small navigation. Meanwhile, access to the ports of La Cruz de Huanacaxtle and Nuevo Vallarta, in Nayarit, and Puerto Vallarta, in Jalisco, is prohibited for small navigation.
He announced that the ports located in Cabo San Lucas and San José del Cabo, Baja California Sur, will be closed to all types of navigation starting at 9:00 p.m. today.
The manager of Surface Waters and River Engineering of the Technical General Subdirectorate of Conagua, Jesús Heriberto Montes Ortiz, stressed that, in accordance with the development of the system, Conagua maintains special surveillance of the rivers, dams and towns located in Nayarit, Sinaloa, Sonora and Baja California Sur.
The dams that are under special surveillance are those that are above 90% of their ordinary maximum water level, such as San Rafael in Nayarit; Picachos in Sinaloa; and San Lázaro in Baja California Sur.
As for rivers, he said that surveillance is being maintained throughout the area, although none are above their maximum level.
He emphasized that, in follow-up to the rainy season, in conjunction with river basin organizations, local directorates and the National Center for Disaster Prevention, the sites susceptible to flooding were located, which can be consulted on the site
On behalf of the head of the National Coordinator of Civil Protection, Laura Velázquez Alzúa, the Deputy Director of Communications of the General Directorate of Civil Protection, Óscar Cruces Rodríguez, stated that, in light of Ileana’s displacement, prevention, preparation and care actions are being strengthened by the three levels of government, with the aim of safeguarding the population, protecting their assets and ensuring the strategic infrastructure of the states.
Cruces Rodríguez reported that the Inter-Institutional Group for Analysis and Coordination of Tropical Cyclones, made up of specialists in meteorology, hydrology and slope stability, was convened to define alert levels and zones and issue recommendations to the population.
He explained that, as part of the Early Warning System for tropical cyclones, the CNPC maintains permanent communication with the authorities of all entities of the Mexican Republic, especially those located in the northeast, east and south of Mexico.
He announced that ten alert bulletins have been issued and that the Civil Protection Liaison and Coordination Missions are prepared for deployment in order to strengthen the tasks of preparation and response to the effects of Ileana.
He also indicated that tours of the sites identified as critical are continuing to inform the population and tourists about the risks, as well as the preparatory and preventive measures that must be implemented to mitigate risks. Evacuation routes were also verified and corresponding preparation actions were applied to safeguard the population, such as loudspeakers, precautionary evacuations and activation of temporary shelters.
He explained that there are a total of 2,370 temporary shelters in the area affected by the hydrometeorological phenomenon, activating those that are required. Of these, 169 are located in Baja California Sur, 236 in Colima, 1,243 in Jalisco, 149 in Nayarit, 126 in Sinaloa and 447 in Sonora.
He called on citizens to avoid leaving their homes during the passage of tropical systems. If you live in a risk zone, he stressed the importance of going to temporary shelters set up by the authorities or seeking shelter with family or friends. Once the event is over, it is crucial to make sure there are no risks before returning to the home and checking for damage.
The manager of Infrastructure Protection and Emergency Response (PIAE) of Conagua, Leonardo González Neri, explained that in the region where the effects of Ileana are expected, there are brigades and teams stationed in the regional emergency response centers of Guadalajara, Jalisco; Culiacán, Mazatlán and Los Mochis, Sinaloa; La Paz, Baja California Sur, and Ciudad Obregón, Sonora. If necessary, he said, equipment and personnel from the Brigades of Colima, Colima, and Tepic, Nayarit, are prepared to mobilize them and strengthen emergency actions.
He added that regional emergency response centers have specialized equipment to pump flooded water, purify and supply water, generate electricity, and even remove trees and large objects knocked down by any winds that may be recorded.
Finally, the participants agreed to call on the population not to expose themselves unnecessarily and to stay informed about the weather conditions and indications of Civil Protection through official sources of information, such as the social networks of Conagua (@conagua_clima, @conagua_mx and www.facebook.com/conaguamx) and the CNPC (@CNPC_MX).
No. 0650-24
Table of Contents
Tropical Storm Ileana: Mexico Braces for Impact on Baja California Peninsula and Northwest Regions
As Tropical Storm Ileana continues to intensify in the Pacific Ocean, the Mexican government has issued a warning to its citizens and foreigners residing in the country to take necessary precautions and follow the instructions of Civil Protection authorities. The storm is expected to make landfall on Friday evening in Baja California Sur, affecting the northwest regions of Sonora and Sinaloa on Sunday.
Current Status and Forecast
According to the National Meteorological Service (SMN), as of 3:00 p.m. on Thursday, Tropical Storm Ileana was located southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Jalisco, and south-southeast of Cabo San Lucas, Baja California Sur. The storm is expected to continue moving northwest, heading towards the southern part of Baja California Sur, where it will make landfall on Friday evening.
On Saturday, Ileana is expected to move over the Gulf of California, heading towards the northern coast of Sinaloa and southern Sonora. A second impact is expected on Sunday between Huatabampo and Hermosillo, Sonora, as well as between Novolato and Ahome, Sinaloa. The system is expected to dissipate on Monday as a tropical depression or remnant low pressure over Sonora.
Rainfall and Wind Expectations
Heavy to intense rains are expected in Baja California Sur, Colima, Jalisco, Nayarit, Sinaloa, and Sonora, with strong to very heavy rains expected in Chihuahua, Durango, and Zacatecas. The municipalities of San José del Cabo and La Paz, Baja California Sur; Huatabampo, Etchojoa, Benito Juárez, Cajeme, and San Ignacio Río Muerto in Sonora; and Novolato, Guasave, and Angostura in Sinaloa will be most affected.
Winds of up to 80 to 100 km/h, possible waterspouts, and waves of 2 to 4 meters high are expected on the coasts of Baja California Sur, southern Sonora, and northern Sinaloa. Winds of 50 to 70 km/h, waves of 2 to 4 meters, and possible waterspouts are expected on the coasts of Nayarit and Jalisco.
Wave Heights and Maritime Safety
The Head of the SEMAR Climatology Department, Lieutenant Commander Aníbal González Juárez, announced that waves of 10 to 12 feet (3 to 3.6 meters) are expected in the Revillagigedo Islands region and the Central Pacific for the next 24 hours. Waves of 8 to 10 feet (2.4 to 3.0 meters) are expected at the entrance to the Gulf of California and the southwestern coast of the Baja California Peninsula, as well as 5 to 8 feet (1.5 to 2.4 meters) in the south-central Gulf of Baja California.
The maritime-port community is advised to follow the recommendations issued by the Maritime-Port and Civil Protection authorities to ensure their safety.
Precautions and Recommendations
In light of the forecast, the Mexican government has called on its citizens and foreigners residing in the country to take necessary precautions and follow the instructions of Civil Protection authorities. Residents in the affected areas are advised to:
Stay informed about the storm’s progress and follow the instructions of local authorities
Stock up on food, water, and medicines
Avoid traveling to the affected areas
Stay away from the coast and avoid water activities
* Follow the recommendations issued by the Maritime-Port and Civil Protection authorities
By taking these necessary precautions, Mexico can minimize the impact of Tropical Storm Ileana and
– What is the current status of Tropical Storm Ileana and its expected path?
Tropical Storm Ileana to Impact Baja California Sur, Sonora, and Sinaloa: Government Urges Prevention Protocols
The Mexican government has issued a warning for the development of Tropical Storm Ileana in the Pacific Ocean, which is expected to impact Baja California Sur as a tropical storm on Friday afternoon and evening, and then make a second landfall in Sonora and Sinaloa on Sunday. As a precautionary measure, the government has called on the three orders and the general population to implement prevention protocols and follow the instructions of the Civil Protection authorities.
According to Alejandra Margarita Méndez Girón, general coordinator of the National Meteorological Service (SMN), Tropical Storm Ileana is currently located
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