California, facing a historically dry start to the year, is bracing for a series of atmospheric river storms expected to hit over the next week. while one storm may bring much-needed moisture to the Southland, bringing relief to drought-stricken areas, another is predicted to unleash a stronger, longer-lasting deluge further north.
Forecasts indicate rainfall totals across Los angeles County likely won’t exceed 1 inch, with some areas perhaps receiving considerably less. Despite this, even a moderate amount of rain could provide ample benefits, revitalizing vegetation parched by the dry spell and potentially putting an end to one of southern California’s most destructive wildfire seasons.
Adding to the hope, recent storms, including one last weekend, have brought between half an inch and 1 inch of rain across the Los Angeles Basin. Thes combined with the upcoming storms could push the season’s total rainfall close to 2 inches. Experts emphasize, however, that 2 to 4 inches are needed to confidently declare the wildfire season over.
“It could get us close to that,” says Bryan Lewis, a meteorologist with the national Weather Service office in Oxnard. “There’s still somewhat of a range of outcomes [for rain totals]. … It might not be widespread enough.”
While the recent rainfall offered some respite, easing immediate fire threats, it wasn’t enough to fully alleviate lingering wildfire concerns. Downtown los Angeles, for example, received only 0.54 inches of rain during the last storm.Furthermore, drought conditions across Southern California have worsened in recent weeks, according to the latest U.S. Drought Monitor report. While Southern California saw drought conditions emerge towards the end of December, marking a shift after years of relative abundance, the situation has escalated, with much of L.A. County now classified as experiencing “severe” or “extreme” drought.
Adding to the concern,the state’s latest snow survey,conducted on Friday,revealed that California’s snowpack remains significantly below average for this time of year,following a relatively dry January.
Despite these challenges, the current situation pales in comparison to the prolonged drought that gripped California in the early 2010s. In January 2015, nearly the entire state faced extreme or exceptional drought, whereas currently, only 11% of California falls under these categories.
Los Angeles and Ventura counties could see a reprieve from the ongoing drought as moderate to heavy rainfall is predicted throughout the week.
The National Weather Service anticipates a period of consistent rainfall, potentially lasting several hours each day, from Tuesday through Friday. The highest chance of precipitation is expected between Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday afternoon in Ventura County, and Thursday into Friday in los Angeles County.This rainfall is predicted to be fueled by two consecutive atmospheric rivers. One is currently moving in from the north, followed by another storm brewing off the coast, set to hit los Angeles County Thursday night.
“Rainfall will stem from one of the atmospheric rivers moving in from the north, followed by a second storm currently brewing off the coast, which is expected to hit Los Angeles County Thursday night,” explained Rose Schoenfeld, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service office in Oxnard.
While the rain brings hope for eased drought conditions, it also poses a potential risk for debris flows and mudslides in areas scarred by recent wildfires, particularly around the Palisades and Eaton fires in Los Angeles County.
Although the recent winter storm mitigated this concern to some extent, the risk remains.
“The wildfires have made soils repellent to water,” Schoenfeld noted, “and during heavy rains, water can easily flow across burn scars and pick up rocks, branches and”
But this potential threat is overshadowed by the urgent need for relief from the persistent drought, which has gripped much of central California.
According to the latest U.S.drought Monitor report released Thursday, drought conditions have intensified, covering a large swathe of Central California and the state’s major agricultural valleys.
“The water year has continued to be drier than normal,” the report stated.
Ventura Braces for heavy Rains, Potential Debris Flows
Ventura County, California, is facing the threat of torrential rainfall and potential debris flows as a storm system approaches. Residents and officials are on high alert, preparing for the potential impacts of the wet weather.
Forecasters predict a meaningful amount of rainfall, with some areas experiencing rates of half an inch per hour or more. This rate of precipitation can trigger debrie flows, a dangerous phenomenon where loose soil and rocks are carried downhill by rapidly flowing water.
“There is some risk … there is likely to be a good amount of areas that will see periods of [rain falling at a rate of] a half inch an hour, and that is the threshold for debris flows,” said Daniel Schoenfeld, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service. “so we may see some impacts with this storm.”
Debris flows can be incredibly destructive, sweeping away homes, vehicles, and infrastructure. They can also pose a significant threat to human life, causing injuries or fatalities.
Local authorities are urging residents to take precautions and stay informed about the storm’s progress. This includes being prepared to evacuate if necessary, securing loose objects around their property, and avoiding travel during periods of heavy rain.
The Ventura County sheriff’s Office is monitoring the situation closely and will provide updates as needed.Residents are encouraged to sign up for emergency alerts and stay tuned to local news channels for the latest data.
Southern California Braces for Midweek Storm with Potential for Heavy Rainfall
Southern California residents are preparing for a potential midweek storm that could bring significant rainfall to the region. While the most likely scenario predicts a quarter to an inch of rain from Tuesday to Thursday, potentially followed by another inch Thursday night into friday, forecasters are also considering a range of possibilities.
Though, forecasters have also identified a potential worst-case scenario where downtown L.A., Long Beach, and Redondo Beach could experience over 1.6 inches of rain. Santa Clarita could see over 1.8 inches,Santa Barbara over 3 inches,and Cambria nearly 4 inches.
On the other end of the spectrum, there’s a chance the rainfall will be less than anticipated, with downtown L.A. possibly receiving only one-third of an inch. both the worst-case and underperforming scenarios have a 10% to 20% chance of occurring, according to forecasters.
Midweek Storm Threat
California is bracing for a potential midweek storm, bringing a chance of rain and cooler temperatures. Forecasters predict that the storm system,moving in from the Pacific Ocean,will bring a period of unsettled weather starting Tuesday. While the exact track and intensity of the storm remain uncertain, its expected to impact most of the state.
“We’re expecting a fairly widespread rain event,” said a meteorologist. “The heaviest rainfall is likely to occur in the coastal areas and mountains, but some rain is possible even in inland valleys.”
The storm could bring much-needed relief to drought-stricken regions, but it also has the potential to cause flooding and mudslides in areas with steep terrain. Residents are advised to be prepared for the possibility of power outages and hazardous road conditions.
Temperatures are expected to drop several degrees during the storm, bringing a welcome respite from the recent heat wave. However, drivers should be cautious, as wet roads can become slippery. Stay tuned to local weather forecasts for updates and advisories.
California’s Water Woes: A Look at the State’s Dwindling Rain
California is facing a persistent drought, with many areas experiencing just one significant rainstorm in over eight months. This lack of precipitation has led to a record dry start to the water year, which began on October 1st, raising concerns about water supply and wildfire risks.
While southern California has seen minimal rainfall, Northern California encountered a wetter start to the rainy season. However, January brought a dry spell, bringing an end to the robust rainfall experienced in November and December.The Sierra Nevada, a crucial source of water for the state, has seen precipitation fall to merely average levels.
“The northern Sierra, as an example, has had 26.5 inches of cumulative precipitation. That’s 98% of the average for this date,but it’s the first time in months the region has dipped below 100%,”
explained a source.
The southern parts of the state are experiencing a particularly dire situation.Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo counties are expected to see light rain from Friday night through monday, with a higher chance of moderate to heavy rainfall from Tuesday through Thursday. The National Weather Service has also indicated a slight chance of rain for the Inland Empire, San diego, and Orange counties on Tuesday and Wednesday.
The dry conditions have contributed to wildfire risks.In fact,the intense dryness preceding the recent Palisades and Eaton fires intensified the threat,as vegetation dried to a tinderbox,making the situation explosive with the added danger of strong Santa Ana winds.
Downtown San Francisco is enduring its third-driest January on record, with only 0.19 of an inch of rain so far this month. According to Nicole Sarment, a meteorologist with the weather service’s office in Monterey, this is just 4% of the city’s average January rainfall of 4.4 inches.
California Braces for Double Storm Threat
California residents are preparing for a potentially powerful one-two punch from winter storms,with forecasts predicting heavy rain,snow,and gusty winds.
Two distinct storm systems are converging, bringing the threat of widespread flooding, mudslides, and hazardous travel conditions.Meteorologists warn that the storms could bring record-breaking rainfall to some areas,exacerbating existing drought conditions.
“These storms have the potential to be significant,bringing widespread impacts across the state,” said a meteorologist. “Residents should take precautions and stay informed about weather updates.”
Authorities are urging residents to prepare for potential power outages, road closures, and evacuations. Emergency shelters are being opened in anticipation of the storms.
California’s recent drought conditions have heightened concerns about flooding. The saturated ground, coupled with heavy rainfall, increases the risk of landslides and mudslides, particularly in mountainous areas.
Officials are urging residents to stay safe and heed all warnings.
California Braces for a Trio of Atmospheric Rivers
California’s dry spell, a stark contrast to the state’s usual rainy season, is about to be dramatically broken. Northern California is gearing up to be hit by three consecutive atmospheric river storms,each packing a formidable punch.
Meteorologist Courtney Carpenter, from the National Weather Service’s Sacramento office, explained that these atmospheric rivers, long stretches of water vapor flowing from the Pacific Ocean, can deliver a staggering amount of precipitation.”Just a few atmospheric river events can bring California from one-third to one-half of its annual precipitation,” she said.
The first of these storms arrived Friday and could persist through Sunday, with another one anticipated on Monday and a third not far behind on Wednesday. ”The first storm will probably bring accumulating snowfall to just the higher Sierra peaks,” Carpenter stated,adding that the second storm is expected to be colder,potentially bringing heavier snow to the mountains and impacting travel.
For the Sacramento Valley, Carpenter anticipates extended periods of moderate to heavy rain. “We’re not expecting widespread major flooding impacts across our area, but do look for significant rises on area waterways,” she cautioned. “There’s also the potential for localized flooding in our usual trouble spots, and mud and rockslides in the mountains and foothills below the snow line.”
Sacramento residents can expect 2 to 3 inches of rain during the weekend storm, with Donner Peak potentially receiving 6 to 8 inches of snow. Another 2 to 3 inches of rain is predicted for Sacramento during the following week’s storm, along with a possible 30 to 36 inches of snow at Donner Peak.
Even though the 429,603-acre Park fire area, which scorched Butte and Tehama counties north of Chico, is unlikely to experience debris flow due to the intensity of the rainfall, carpenter warned of increased muddy and woody runoff.This,she noted,was a similar event witnessed in northern Chico neighborhoods in November.
The San Francisco Bay Area and surrounding regions are bracing for at least six days of rainfall,with moderate effects anticipated in San Francisco,the North Bay,and San mateo County. Santa Cruz and San Benito counties are also in the path of this storm system.
“The main question is timing and extent of moderate-to-heavy rainfall,” the weather service office in Monterey said.This could led to elevated levels of water.
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