Recently, it was mentioned that the situation in Russia and Ukraine is treacherous, global risk aversion is heating up, and international stock markets are generally weakening. With the signing of an order by Russian President Vladimir Putin to recognize the two separate republics in eastern Ukraine as independent entities, tensions in the region are currently rising. The market is worried that once Western countries impose economic sanctions on Russia in the future, it may further impact energy and raw material prices, and will also affect global economic growth in the future. The negative results were reacted in advance, allowing the global stock market to test the previous low point once more, while Taiwan stocks also tested the low point of 17633 points on the 1/26th. (The low of the day fell below the low of the previous day and was confirmed by the close). In the short term, the impact of geopolitical risks on the market has exceeded the strength of the US interest rate hike. The current wave index failed to surpass the downward counter pressure linked by the 1/18-day high of 18575 and the 2/10-day high of 18338 points, indicating upward pressure. If it is not light, the finishing period will be extended, and the selling pressure brought by the negative will be digested before the attack.
The key point of the operation mentioned earlier is “operability”, that is, the buy and sell signals should not appear frequently, and then following the buy signal appears, it must be able to pull out a wave of offensive, rather than immediately encounter short resistance and then fall into tidy. At present, due to many international variables, a daily-level sunrise signal appeared on February 16 (the high of the day crossed the high of the previous day, and the closing was confirmed). Soon, a sunset signal appeared on February 22, indicating that the operability is still Continuing to decline, the original strong stocks have made up for the losses one following another under the loosening of their chips. The focus of this week’s observation is whether the low point of 17942 last week can be held steady when the weekly line is closed on Friday.
There is a saying in the stock market regarding wars, “The sound of a cannon is a thousand taels of gold!”, which describes that every time the situation is turbulent, funds will be withdrawn from the stock market and transferred to safe-haven commodities such as gold, thereby pushing up their prices. Going higher; this has a deeper meaning that, with the withdrawal of funds, the stock market will fall, and those who can bravely enter the market following the fall, due to the advantage of low cost, following a period of time, the market sentiment recovers and the stock market rises once more Afterwards, there is often a good return, and now it is in the stage of withdrawal of funds and the decline of the stock market. Since the index is the sum of individual stocks, different stocks have different rhythms, so pay attention to the sequence of individual stocks’ counterattacks.
Which stocks have the opportunity to prioritize counterattacks? One of the logics is the previous strong stocks. The reason is that the stocks that can maintain their strength and hit new highs are often the direction of this year’s bright prospects and the continuous flow of funds. One of them is the concept of unblocking stocks, including airlines, hotels, travel agencies, etc. Such as China Airlines, EVA Air, Jinghua, Lion, Phoenix, etc. are worth noting. In addition, the memory supply chain with recent bullish product quotations, such as Winbond, Macronix, Phison, ADATA, etc., the electric vehicle supply chain accelerated by various countries, such as Yilidian, Wanxu, Hongzhi, Dingying, etc. , Since there was a wave of gains in mid-February, the current pullback belongs to a bullish order, and the bullish structure is still there, which are all worthy of further tracking. For a trader, following locking up the stock, the next step is to formulate a response strategy, how to adjust the holdings in the hand during the downward process, and at the same time, it becomes important to deploy new stocks, which will be related to the subsequent market counterattack. Multiple disk opportunities can lock the Line@fan group.
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