2023-07-29 16:29:00
As of July 28, 2023, the National Hurricane Center is tracking three disturbances, including a new system near Florida that has almost no chance of development but is bringing rain to the state. National Hurricane Center
The tropics exploded during the early morning with two new systems that appeared on the map of the National Hurricane Center (NHC).
The first system in the central Atlantic area has the greatest chance of becoming a tropical depression. A new one off the Florida coast east of Jacksonville is bringing rain to an already waterlogged state. And, as if that were not enough, a third system is forming in the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
As of July 28, 2023, the National Hurricane Center is tracking three disturbances, including a new system near Florida that has almost no chance of development but is bringing rain to the state. National Hurricane Center
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Here’s what the bulletin the NHC issued at 8am Friday says regarding the three.
SOUTHWEST ATLANTIC WAVE
The new wave, classified as Disturbance 2, which formed as a weak area of low pressure east of Jacksonville, near the northeastern coasts of Florida and Georgia, was bringing disorganized showers and storms, according to the weather forecast. The system has been verified to move to the north-northwest and is forecast to move towards the mainland over northeast Florida and eastern Georgia on Friday. No further development is anticipated.
▪ The chances of formation in the next 48 hours for both systems are close to 0 percent.
WILL DISTURBANCE 2 AFFECT FLORIDA?
Disturbance 2, in the southwestern Atlantic, formed as a weak area of low pressure east of Jacksonville on July 28, 2023. National Hurricane Center
This system is likely to drop a lot of water in parts of the state. Despite the almost certain lack of development, “heavy downpours are possible in northeast Florida, eastern Georgia, and parts of eastern South Carolina over the next two days or so,” the hurricane specialist said. Daniel Brown in the warning.
DISTURBANCE 1 IN THE TROPICAL CENTER OF THE ATLANTIC
This tropical wave that is located between the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles and emerged on the coast of Africa has been circling for several days. Rainfall activity has increased since Thursday.
“Favorable conditions are forecast for gradual further development of this system in the coming days, and a tropical depression might form early next week as the system moves generally west-northwest across the tropical Atlantic.”
▪ The chances of formation in the next 48 hours are less than 20 percent.
▪ The chances of formation in the next seven days are around 60 percent.
WILL DISTURBANCE 1 AFFECT FLORIDA?
Although it is too early to say if this tropical wave will have any kind of impact on Florida or the US, some experts suggest that it might not.
The wave is forecast to pass northeast of the Leeward Islands in the Caribbean over the weekend and then turn north into the west or mid-Atlantic next week,” said AccuWeather meteorologist Adam Douty, in the Naples Daily News.
DISTURBANCE 3 IN THE SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA
The second new system, Disturbance 3, is a broad area of disorganized showers and storms found in the southwestern Caribbean Sea and is associated with a tropical wave and a broad area of low pressure.
According to the bulletin, this system is forecast to move west over Central America on Friday night. No further development is anticipated. However, locally, heavy downpours are possible in parts of Nicaragua and Honduras this weekend.
▪ The chances of formation in the next 48 hours and in the next seven days are both less than 10 percent.
WILL DISTURBANCE 3 AFFECT FLORIDA?
At this time, this disturbance in the Caribbean is not expected to make landfall in Florida or the country.
RAINS IN FLORIDA
Floodwaters inundated the streets of Broward County Thursday night. CBS NewsMiami
The tropics are causing high humidity throughout the state, including the Miami and Fort Lauderdale area. The NWS in Miami issued a flood warning Friday at noon and storms are in the near forecast.
Translation by Jorge Posada
This story was originally published on Jul 28, 2023 1:38 PM.
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