Innsbruck (OTS) – After the election (Tyrol and Lower Austria) is before the election (Carinthia and Salzburg). In federal politics, there is very little to suggest a premature end to turquoise-green. It might still be turbulent at various party leaders.
The years of turquoise flights of fancy of the Kurz era are finally over since the supposed political messiah finally lost his office in 2021 following various chat and other affairs. To this day, the party and most of its grandees are finding it incredibly difficult to distance themselves accordingly.
The long-standing political and social state of emergency during Corona and most recently the wave of inflation did the rest that the chancellor party ÖVP was hit hard in the face. In the elections in Tyrol and most recently in Lower Austria, there were heavy losses. In Carinthia, according to polls, there is a risk of slipping to fourth place next Sunday, and in Salzburg the curve for the election in April is only pointing downwards.
Despite or even because of this series of defeats, there will probably be no early elections in the federal government. Especially since the polls for the Greens are by no means intoxicating, there is no one in the coalition who wants to pull the ripcord here. Where the prospects for both parties following the election are significantly worse than the status quo: the ÖVP is currently only in third place behind the leading Freedomists in polls or at most neck and neck with the SPÖ in the race for second place
only the FPÖ remained under Herbert Kickl with its hyper-aggressive course and sometimes completely otherworldly sayers as well as the SPÖ, which was also hardly popular with many VP officials – and then possibly with the ÖVP only as a junior partner. Or even the opposition, which also threatens the Greens, which currently has much more weight in the duo with the weakened Turquoises than initially under a powerful Sebastian Kurz.
Although the SPÖ has been calling for immediate new elections like a mantra for years, it actually has to hope that it won’t come to that because of its own constitution. Although gains should be inevitable in view of a weakening coalition and a top social issue such as record inflation, the Reds remain in crisis. The question of leadership is still completely unresolved, Pamela Rendi-Wagner continues to be sabotaged by her own people. Despite her staying power, it would be surprising if she were to vote as the top candidate for the SPÖ. And even with the ÖVP, if the polls do not signal at least second place at some point, it does not seem at all certain that Karl Nehammer will be the top candidate in 2024. When it comes to everything, even 100 percent at the last party congress would not help. With the FPÖ, which can only win in an election, Kickl is set. Finding a coalition partner will be very difficult for him.
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