With last night’s ‘limited’ attack once morest Iran, Israel sent the message that it was “not interested in escalation”, as for a possible retaliation from Tehran, the options “are different”, because the voices are different in the Islamic Republic, which “is not a monolithic state”. This is the interpretation that Meir Litvak, professor of Middle Eastern history at Tel Aviv University, gives of last night’s operation, launched in response to the Iranian attack on April 13 once morest Israel.
«I believe that Israel wanted to send the message to Tehran that it is not deterred by the recent Iranian attack, that Iran is vulnerable and that Israel has good intelligence, and that it will therefore continue its efforts to try to interrupt the supply of advanced weapons to Hezbollah”, explains Litvak to Adnkronos. For whom the scale and manner in which the attack was conducted is “equally important”, because in this way Israel “also sent the message that it was not interested in an escalation, giving Iran the way to minimize the attack and its meaning, so that Tehran does not have to respond once more,” claims the expert.
Litvak then says that he “has no idea whether there will be an escalation or not: a lot depends on what the Iranian reaction will be”. «Iran is not a monolithic state – underlines the professor from Tel Aviv University -. A source might deny the need to respond, while the Pasdaran might try to push Supreme Leader Khamenei to take revenge in some way.” «I don’t know how Iran will react if Israel were to attack another convoy of weapons delivered to Hezbollah in Syria», the statement by an anonymous source in Tehran according to which «there will be no retaliation might be authentic, but it might also be disinformation deliberate – concludes Litvak -. I really don’t know, and there are a lot of different options.”
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2024-04-20 01:09:37
