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The 2024 model competition for the White House has become one of the most complex, strange and atypical campaigns with an unusual replacement, an untimely change of topic, an extreme event that did not move the needle to its fullest and a close fight to mention, according to the balance of 1,078 surveys carried out daily by the Washington Post trying to collect opinion trends that are not votes and even less a decision made, keeping in mind the political system in force in this union of states.
It has been several decades since there was a late replacement in full competition in the elections, but this time, as expected due to the natural wear and tear of leading a Global police country, these 4 years took their toll on Joe Biden and in the month of August , very late for the purposes of consolidating sympathies within a party and for the times of the citizen vote and identification of his replacement, a historical change occurred announced by means of a letter, perhaps to hide the physical weakness that weakened the necessary solidity in the aspect that is so decisive for the support of the Democratic delegates and by an American citizen eager for responses with authority and forcefulness to the public policy issues that have failed in this Democratic quadrennium.
Before the resignation of the sitting president, former presidential candidate Donald Trump suffered an attack in Pennsylvania from which he also managed to emerge unscathed, with his image with his bloodied face, his fist raised and the flag flying, quickly making his way from coast to coast to the United States and the rest of the planet, where very few questioned that all the paths to victory would make the billionaire who runs for the Republicans repeat the presidency in November.
However, President Biden’s resignation arrived and this coincides with the entry into the arena of a daughter of immigrants, Vice President Kamala Harris, who in addition to having hidden a lot in terms of political-electoral visibility, took on a draining issue such as migration. without much success and with plenty of criticism. The campaign changed the subject and the competition resurfaced because even the most neophyte of analysts did not give much chance of victory to the Democrats’ baton in the hands of Biden.
Harris took on the Democratic convention with the challenge of convincing the delegates, the real judges who nominate, support and seek the resources to mobilize the votes that provide victory in the world’s main power. After an emotional and very tearful convention of the blue party, Kamala is proclaimed and the foam effect in the polls is immediate. Weeks go by and as a predictable effect, Kamala stops uploading.
In the Philadelphia debate, the audiences expected a clash with signs of a tie, however, Vice President Harris reflected powerful training in spokesperson and media that contrasted with other moments in which she did not shine with such confidence in verbal and non-verbal language in front of to a Donald Trump whose own statements days before were noted when he stated that he did not need to train because he already knew the issues and was the most suitable to lead the United States again.
In every political campaign there are 3 key issues that must be defined and measured from beginning to end: The topic, the timing and the contrast. Without these three factors it is very difficult to be able to reach such a narrow gap and be able to dream of victory. Regarding the first issue, we started the first semester with a president-candidate in weak health compared to a former president investigated and with judicial proceedings for various issues before the justice system. The first was punished by opinion and his own party and the second, the action of justice earlier validated and empowered him much more. Credibility of the Trumpist American citizen against the justice of his own country or simple foolproof love with Donald? We will have to go deeper into the qualitative thinking of those who today raise the red flag for Trump and are willing to vote for him and even with those who are ashamed of their possible vote, but are going to do it secretly. Regarding the times, there is a clear disadvantage in the margin of action of Donald Trump, who apart from having wide visibility all these years including January 2021, the processes against him, his exclusion from the old Twitter and who has not stopped giving his opinion about the government of her nation, she has a more solid political brand with the multiplication of loves, hates or the combination of both compared to a Kamala Harris who knew how to remain in the shadows and only came out in August to relieve Biden and has had to run a marathon with the support of the Obamas, the Clintons and other congressmen and opinion leaders including artists like Tylor Swift.
The third issue is the definitive one and is that despite the numbers in a clear tie towards November, we are faced with two candidates who represent radically different political products, although Trump has tried to be more centrist and has moderated some positions regarding migrants and Kamala has. has done in relation to certain issues that hurt the conservative and traditional vote in the swing states and some more protectionist orange populations.
A few days after this decision was known, the issues of insecurity and inflation are the two great sensitivities of the North American public and the expectations regarding the debate that in the midst of the political transition is sometimes not deepened with due rigor, certain figures and the issue of speaking the truth despite the Damocles sword of fast check that many media outlets, universities and some specialized portals continue to sharpen, although AI fueled by political opinions will always be biased.
The post Theme, Times and Contrast: The three challenges that will define the new tenant of the White House appeared first on Minuto30.
2024-10-19 06:02:00
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