2023-05-19 08:18:10
The draft lottery draw came to an end yesterday. The Spurs, who decided to be “tanned” before the start of the season, won the No. Perhaps it wasn’t them who were disappointed, but the wizard who once had a more than half chance of getting the first pick during the lottery process.
Known as the “Big Three” Bill (Bradley Beal), Porzingis (Kristaps Porzingis), Kuzma (Kyle Kuzma) Wizards, this season’s regular season only ranked 12th in the East with 35 wins and 47 losses. The unbeatable record makes them only have a 6.7% chance of winning the No. 1 lottery, and the most likely landing point is a 32.9% chance of being the eighth pick.
Statistically, the Wizards are a long way from top pick Victor Wembanyama, but they were actually pretty close at one point.according to《ESPN》Reveal the lottery process, which represents the number combination of the number one lottery. The first three numbers are drawn in sequence 14, 5, and 8, and the last number will be drawn from the remaining 11 numbers.
At this time, among the 67 combinations expected by the wizard who hit all the first three numbers, the smallest number is 5, which means that there are still six numbers 7, 9, 10, 11, 12, and 13 that can be completely hit, which is equivalent to having as high as With a 55% chance of being the No. 1 lottery, Brett Greenberg, the assistant superintendent who represented the attendees, thought, “Damn it, we have a chance!”
However, things did not go as Greenberg, who was wearing a lot of lucky charms, thought. The machine finally drew a number of 2, which eliminated almost all teams including the Wizards. Just as Spurs general manager Wright (Brain Wright) kept rummaging through the manual to make sure he had the number combination, Rockets representative Clay Allen patted him on the shoulder and said, “I think it’s you.” Then, the league The personnel also officially announced that the Spurs won the No. 1 lottery, or it can be said that Wenbanyama is regarding to go to the Holy City.
From 6.7% before the meeting to 55% in the middle, and then to the final bar turtle, the wizard’s lottery process can be described as “heaven fell to hell”. They were like waking up following a dream, and finally got the original estimate eighth overall.
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The probability of the NBA/No. 1 lottery from 55% to 0 heaven fell to hell
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