2023-09-30 00:40:00
The state of alert for El Niño Costero will remain in Peru until summer 2024, which will reach a magnitude between weak and moderate. (Andean)
The state of alert for the El Niño Coastal phenomenon will be maintained because this climatological event is expected to continue until the summer of 2024. This was reported by the Multisectoral Commission in charge of the National Study of the “El Niño” Phenomenon.
This prediction is because there is a high possibility of El Niño occurring in the central Pacific.
Regarding the current climate in Peru, experts clarified that sea surface temperature anomalies have decreased. However, strong warm conditions are likely to persist until November 2023.
The Coastal El Niño phenomenon during the summer of 2024 would be expressed moderately and strongly. But its maximum intensity would be evident at the end of 2023.
In the remaining months of this year, air temperatures are expected to be above normal.
It is also possible that there will be more rainfall than normal on the north and central coast, as well as in the northern mountains.
“For the summer of 2024, under the coastal El Niño scenario, the occurrence of above-normal rains is likely on the north coast and the northern mountains, without ruling out intense rains, especially in the northwestern region of the country,” warned the team of specialists in charge of monitoring the occurrence of the El Niño Costero phenomenon.
Statement on the extension of the alert due to the El Niño Costero phenomenon.
Regarding the impact in the Andean region, in the first months of next year, rains are expected to occur as normally observed, especially in the mountains of southern Peru.
During this same period, the flow level of the main rivers of Peru will be above normal, especially in the northwestern part of Peru.
While between October and November, the level will be normal and below normal. Only in the northwest will flow levels be above normal until December.
“The level of Lake Titicaca would continue to show a downward trend; Likewise, the flows of the main rivers tributaries to the lake would present a behavior below normal,” the statement said.
Meanwhile, hydrological conditions will be below normal in the southern part of the country, specifically in the Titicaca hydrographic region.
With the changes in the temperature of the Peruvian sea, it is worth asking the impact of the El Niño Costero phenomenon on fishing.
Hania Pérez de Cuellar indicated that bonuses will be delivered as a prevention once morest the worst effects of El Niño. Video: RPP News
The Multisector Commission in charge of the National Study of the “El Niño” Phenomenon explained that the anchovy is expected to have its greatest reproductive activity in the following months; while the bonito would remain available along the entire Peruvian coast.
In the coming weeks, it is possible that the behavior of hake will persist as seen in August 2023. That is, its industrial and artisanal sales might continue to be low; as well as its specimens smaller than 28 centimeters would remain during spring 2023.
Regarding the giant squid, the authorities commented that it is possible that they will continue to be available if the anomalous warm conditions persist.
“It is recommended that decision makers take into account possible risk scenarios, in accordance with the current seasonal forecast and projections for the summer of 2024, with the purpose of adopting the corresponding actions to reduce risk and preparation for the response,” they suggested.
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