The dimension of the caravans and their overcrowding as a strategy to reach the border with the United States was triggered in 2018 by the offer of humanitarian visas by the recently inaugurated government of López Obrador and has undeniably been the multilevel turning point in the relationship. bilateral. These caravans broke down the grammar with which both States dealt with the migratory issue, as well as the behavior of criminal organizations.
Four years later, going through a Republican US government and now a Democrat, the northern and southern borders are a red light of disorder, crowds and precarious conditions that are, among many factors, a breeding ground for organized crime.
A problem that grows pushed by the presidential hugs, an economic crisis and the escalation in violence and insecurity.
In this context, former US Attorney General William Barr gave a careful interview in which he assured that the López Obrador government has already “lost control of the country” and that organized crime has already surpassed the security institutions of the Mexican government and that it might come to share sovereignty with the cartels and reach a modus vivendi.
The poisoned cherry was to show that Mexico is becoming a narco-state.
What should be a political-diplomatic scandal for the issuer and the message in the midst of the quagmire of clean accounts settling between the former legal adviser, the attorney general and the former secretary of the Interior, frames a rarefied environment and no presidential control.
López Obrador, accustomed to dominating street fights, shows confusion and weakness in the face of the swineherd and the implosion of his select circle. The result of the leaks regarding the forms and the bottom of the well of the justice apparatus in the fourteenth has caused astonishment and concern despite the strident irrationality of the regime’s propaganda apparatus.
While the aim is sharpened once morest the INE and the next electoral reform, the American narrative that has been built around this government is lost sight of; Ovidio Guzmán —following being released by the president— went from being the son of “Chapo” to being on the list of one of the most wanted with a juicy reward. The signs from high-ranking officials and international organizations condemning the violence once morest journalists and beginning to realize that Mexican democracy is under threat are not minor matters, not to mention the harsh statements by Ambassador Salazar regarding the position that Mexico should take regarding Russia. There are no diplomatic sieves or half measures in this timing where the complaint by the head of the Northern Command regarding the number of Russian intelligence agents on Mexican soil is added.
The warnings are escalating when it is also pointed out that there is “a process of transformation” in the bilateral relationship.
Now, all of the above coupled with the economic crisis are already triggers of domestic conflicts, however, the national situation is on the path of decomposition and might pressure more migratory flows to the United States, increasing political pressure there in the face of the electoral process in November. next.
And this comprehensive scenario should worry and occupy the Mexican government, which will soon be the epicenter of the battle between Republicans and Democrats.
Mexico will be one of the central themes of the campaign in the face of unsatisfied political and social demands by the Biden administration and a discourse of securitization reinforced by the impunity of the presidential embraces and the stance towards the war-geopolitical conflict in Ukraine.
Worst impossible.
@GomezZalce
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