2024-01-19 09:08:57
Robert Gallucci, former U.S. State Department special envoy for North Korean nuclear weapons. /Chosun Ilbo db
Recently, a series of claims have emerged from some circles in the United States warning of North Korea’s threat of war. “That is why South Korea and the United States must yield to their existing position of ‘denuclearization of North Korea’ and bring North Korea to the dialogue table.” However, diplomatic and security sources in Washington said, “This claim is difficult to accept in that it justifies North Korea’s nuclear development and subsequent provocations, and is far from the mainstream position of the United States.”
Robert Gallucci, former U.S. State Department special envoy for North Korean nuclear weapons, argued in a recent article, “We must at least keep in mind the idea that a nuclear war might break out in Northeast Asia in 2024,” and “The U.S. and North Korea must focus on normalizing relations.” At the same time, he said, “Denuclearization should be considered a longer-term goal, not a first step.” He visited the Blue House in the early days of the Moon Jae-in administration, met with President Moon, and said, “South Korea must dialogue with North Korea without conditions.”
Researcher Robert Carlin and Professor Siegfried Hacker of the Middlebury Institute for International Studies also said on the 11th, “The situation on the Korean Peninsula is as dangerous as before the Korean War, and Kim Jong-un’s frequent mention of ‘war’ is not a bluster.”
Those classified as the ‘North Korea dialogue group’ in the United States argue that the goal of negotiations between the United States and North Korea should be lowered from ‘CVID’ (complete, verifiable, and irreversible denuclearization) to a nuclear freeze. However, a U.S. government source told this newspaper, “The call for a nuclear freeze ultimately means recognizing North Korea as a nuclear state. We can talk with North Korea at any time, but we cannot compromise the principle of North Korea’s denuclearization under any circumstances.” A foreign policy and security expert in Washington said that the dialogue faction’s argument might be interpreted as an attempt to block only North Korea’s means of attack targeting the U.S. mainland, such as intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), and that “this is strictly from the U.S. perspective.” . There is a risk that only South Korea will become a ‘nuclear hostage’ to North Korea.
Their claims are evaluated as being in line with former U.S. President Donald Trump’s ‘view on North Korea’. If Trump is re-elected, it is highly likely that North Korea will try to negotiate once once more and obtain the lifting of sanctions once morest North Korea and the suspension of joint military exercises between South Korea and the United States and between South Korea, the United States, and Japan in exchange for a “nuclear freeze.”
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