“The limits of Tehran’s arsenal”… What did the analysis of Iranian missiles reveal?

A newspaper said,The Washington PostThe American newspaper said that the Iranian missile attack on Israel, last week, was distinguished by its wide range and limited impact. Some analysts say that it raises questions about the capabilities and capabilities of Iran’s arsenal.

Analysts told the newspaper that the Iranian missile attack on Israel in early October, which is only the second time that Iran has directly attacked Israel, was distinguished by its wide scope but limited impact.

According to the newspaper, Iran gave little warning before launching at least 200 fast-moving ballistic missiles at Israel. A Washington Post analysis shows that at least twenty missiles succeeded in penetrating Israeli defenses on Tuesday, a much larger number than the previous attack in April, with some of them causing damage to or near Israeli military and intelligence sites. But so far, reports of serious damage on the ground have been limited.

The evidence indicates, according to the newspaper, that Iran used the most powerful types of weapons in the attack, which are its fastest missiles ever and a greater number of launchers than experts are known to possess. Official media also reported that Iran used an advanced ballistic missile that had not been used before.

The newspaper believes that Tuesday’s attack and the attack that preceded it provide unprecedented information about the extent of Iran’s capabilities and Israel’s ability to intercept or withstand it. Some experts said these visions cast doubt on the value of Tehran’s massive missile arsenal, which American officials estimate is the largest in the Middle East.

The newspaper noted that this week’s attack was notable in how it differed from the first Iranian missile attack on Israel, which began on the evening of April 13. Iranian state media reported that the move was in response to a fatal Israeli strike on an Iranian diplomatic compound in Syria that occurred more than two weeks ago.

Iran used more than 300 missiles and drones in that attack, more specifically about 170 drones, according to US assessments, and 150 missiles, 30 of which were self-propelled cruise missiles throughout their flight and generally fly close to the ground. The rest of the attacks were ballistic missiles, which are propelled aloft by a missile and use gravity to descend at high speeds.

The Israeli military said that 99 percent of the missiles and drones were either intercepted or failed. It appears that only a number of them fell in Israel, causing minor damage, according to the newspaper.

Analysts told the newspaper that Iran spent days announcing its intentions, allowing Israel and its allies to prepare, used slow munitions that could be countered, and used old liquid-fueled missiles, some of which appear to have failed.

However, analysts said the attack carries real risks. “Anytime you launch 300 missiles at another country, you intend to do some real damage,” John Krzyzaniak, a researcher who studies Iran’s weapons programs at the Wisconsin Nuclear Control Project, told the newspaper.

The newspaper believes that if Iran’s first direct strike against Israel in April was designed to show force, the evidence indicates that this week it was aiming to deliver a more significant strike.

The Washington Post explained that Tehran’s position was damaged by the devastating Israeli attacks on its ally, the Lebanese Hezbollah, and the ongoing war in Gaza, which led to an attack on another Iranian partner, Hamas. Iran said Tuesday’s strike was in response to the killing of Hassan Nasrallah, Hezbollah leader, in Beirut late last September, and Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh, in Tehran, in July.

Some analysts told the newspaper that Iran may have used more modern missiles that rely on solid fuel, meaning they can be launched quickly, without having to refuel first.

During this week’s attack, the newspaper reported that Iran used long-range Qadr and Emad missiles, and also used for the first time its most advanced supersonic Fattah missiles, Mehr News Agency reported.

Footage of the launch published by state media and reviewed by three analysts showed the launch of a Qadr missile. Fabian Hinz, an Iran analyst at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in Berlin, said Iran has also used the Khaybar Sheikan 2 or Fattah 1, which look similar from a distance.

Iran unveiled its Fatah missile last year. Experts said it does not meet the same criteria as Western weapons described as hypersonic and the ability to maneuver within the atmosphere at supersonic speeds, five times the speed of sound, for long periods of time, but it has some maneuverability that can help evade defenses. The missile.

Iranian state media reported that 90 percent of the missiles reached their target. While analysts said this was an exaggeration, evidence suggests that far more arrived in Israel than in April. Some experts said that Israel’s air defense systems may have been exhausted.

A Washington Post analysis of satellite images and visuals found that at least two dozen missiles struck or approached two military sites and one intelligence site.

Separately, a team from the Middlebury Institute of International Studies published a preliminary analysis on Thursday that found at least 32 impact points on satellite images of Israel’s Nevatim air base in the Negev desert, indicating that 16 percent or more of the missiles fired hit this area. the goal.

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