Oil prices are down! On June 28, the official website of the National Development and Reform Commission announced that according to the recent changes in oil prices in the international market, according to the currentRefined oil priceForming a mechanism, starting from 24:00 on June 28, 2022, the domestic gasoline and diesel prices will be reduced by 320 yuan and 310 yuan per ton, respectively, and the discounted price of No. 92 gasoline will be reduced by 0.25 yuan per liter; No. 95 gasoline will be reduced by 0.27 yuan per liter; No. 0 diesel is reduced by 0.26 yuan per liter.
This round of downward adjustment window is the second time during the year. After the confirmation of this round of price adjustment window, domestic No. 92 gasoline is on the verge of “Nine Yuan Era”.
After the price reduction of refined oil this round, the short-term consumer oil cost will drop. According to the estimated capacity of the 50L fuel tank of a general household car, filling a tank of No. 92 gasoline will cost 12.5 yuan less.Institutional analysis said that the next cycleinternational oil priceThe focus of volatility may further move down, and the new round of retail price adjustment cycle is initially expected to be lowered, which means that the domestic retail price limit of refined oil may continue to fall.
Consumer fuel costs have fallen
According to the monitoring by the Price Monitoring Center of the National Development and Reform Commission, international oil prices fluctuated downward during the current round of refined oil price adjustment cycle (June 14 to June 27). That is to say, during this round of pricing cycle, the international crude oil showed a downward trend of wide fluctuations, and the domestic crude oil change rate was running in a negative range.
After the current round of refined oil price cuts, the cost of oil for short-term residential consumers has dropped. Xu Lei, a refined oil analyst at Zhuochuang Information, said that taking a family car with a fuel tank capacity of 50L as an example, filling a tank of 92-# gasoline will be less than before. It costs regarding 12.5 yuan. In terms of fuel consumption, taking a small private car that runs 2,000 kilometers per month and consumes 8 liters of fuel per 100 kilometers as an example, before the next price adjustment window opens (at 24:00 on July 12, 2022), the cost of fuel consumption for consumers will be reduced by 18.66 Yuan or so. In the logistics industry, take a Steyr heavy-duty truck that runs 10,000 kilometers a month and consumes 38L of fuel per 100 kilometers as an example. Before the next price adjustment window opens, the fuel cost of a single vehicle will drop by regarding 461 yuan.
Gasoline and diesel prices are still likely to fall
“With the implementation of this round of retail price reductions, the direction of a new round of retail price adjustments may remain negative, and it is difficult to find strong support in the news.” Luo Meijuan, an analyst of Jinlianchuang refined oil products, believes that on the whole, domesticGasoline and diesel pricesThere is still a possibility of downside, and the performance differentiation of gasoline and diesel is becoming more and more obvious.
According to the analysis of the refined oil research team of Zhuochuang Information, the focus of international oil price fluctuations may further move down in the next cycle, and the new round of retail price price adjustment cycle is initially expected to be lowered, which means that the domestic retail price limit of refined oil may continue to decline, and the price adjustment The window opens at 24:00 on July 12.
