2023-05-06 00:37:00
In the run-up to the Constitutional Council election this Sunday, the political analyst and director of TuInfluyes.com, Axel CallísI affirm that If the ruling party fails -at least- to match the 38% support that the Approval reached in the exit plebiscite on September 4, 2022, “the presidential election will start in two months”leaving Gabriel Boric before the so-called lame duck syndrome ahead of the 2025 elections.
“I think La Moneda is worried and for a reason that does not necessarily have to do with the new Constitution. I think you are worried because of going badly for the two blocks that support the Government – that is, that (the ruling party) drops from the (result of) I Approve and reaches a figure close to a third (of the votes) -, to govern with a third in the next two and a half years is complex and the Government is politically committedbecause, what is the back that a government of one third has to continue with the original mandate that brought it to power in the year 2021?”, raised the sociologist in what remains of the day of Cooperative.
According to Callís, “that a few more directors leave or a few less directors can happen, but That the political bloc breaks down in the face of the end-of-year plebiscite and the municipal elections is complex”.
“Said in short: If the government collapses on Sunday, we will have the presidential election in two more months”he assured.
“THERE IS DISINFORMATION AND IT IS A COLD ELECTION; THAT ALREADY HAPPENED IN 2021, WHEN THE PEOPLE’S LIST CAME OUT”
More than 15.1 million people are called to the polls this Sunday to elect the 50 councilors -25 men and 25 women- who will draft a new Constitution proposalwhich will be put to a referendum in December for its entry into force.
According to surveys, citizen interest in this electoral process –with mandatory vote– is completely different from the fervor of two years ago, when the citizens selected the 155 Convention members who wrote the first Magna Carta proposal, rejected in the referendum last September.
“If we are around 12 million (of voters on Sunday) it will be a great triumph, especially for an election in which nobody is very motivated”indicated Callís.
The expert emphasized that “there is misinformation and it is a cold choice, because many people are not clear regarding what those who win are going to. Be careful: This already happened in 2021, when 6.5 million voted and the People’s List came out.”
“When we analyzed everything, we thought that people had not arrived because of the pandemic, but no: doing some studies, we realized that many people were left out of the process because they did not understand it. I now believe that many people are not clear regarding it either and there is no information from the candidates that is genuine regarding what they think regarding the country, in terms of vision for the next 30 years, and what we have is a campaign that is more similar to a municipal election,” said the analyst.
In this sense, Callís pointed out that the candidates “are giving local responses that have nothing to do with designing a new Constitution and, basically, what they are doing is trying to capture that wave, that need that the population has to connect with security, migration and everything that has to do with public order”.
“It always happens in campaigns that candidates try to connect with the climate of public opinion, but this time it was in extreme. Practically very few candidates spoke regarding their ideas for the next 30 years or how they see Chile in the next 40 years,” he said.
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