The Impact of Mainland China’s Preparations on Taiwan’s 2024 Presidential Election: Insights from Zuo Zhengdong, Professor of Political Science at National Taiwan University

2023-08-30 05:41:05

Zuo Zhengdong, professor of political science at National Taiwan University

With more than four months to go until the 2024 presidential election, National Taiwan University political science professor Zuo Zhengdong told Yahoo TV “Wind direction Taiwan” said that the mainland has already prepared for the worst, that is, Lai Qingde may be elected, so economic and military means may be resorted to, which will have an impact on Taiwan.

Zuo Zhengdong, who went to mainland China to participate in a seminar a few days ago, observed that in the face of the changing situation in Taiwan, the mainland has already prepared for the worst, that is, preparing for the possible election of Lai Qingde. From Taiwan’s perspective, we should also prepare for the worst.

Zuo Zhengdong said that during the remaining four months of the campaign and at the beginning of the election, the mainland may start with the economy first, such as canceling the ECFA concession, and some military measures cannot be ruled out. Taiwan may face not only economic shocks, but also military shocks, and we must be psychologically prepared.

However, Zuo Zhengdong also said that no matter what the Taiwan rulers advocate, the mainland still hopes to continue to promote cross-strait exchanges. This is a broad consensus in the mainland, because the only way to promote peaceful reunification is cross-strait exchanges and exchanges.

Regarding the MAC’s opening up of 2,000 mainland tourist groups to Taiwan every day, Zuo Zhengdong pointed out that the MAC should directly and unconditionally open it up, otherwise it now looks like a discounted goodwill.

Zuo Zhengdong said that the summer vacation is almost over, and it will only be opened at this time. In fact, the tourism industry is quite disappointed. On the other hand, the Ministry of Communications originally set a target of 6 million tourists this year, including 1 million mainland tourists. Even if 2,000 tourists come every day from now on, it will only be 800,000 mainland tourists by the end of the year. None of the following goals can be achieved.

“Of course, I think any goodwill should be encouraged, even if it is discounted, as long as it is willing to take a step forward, it should still be encouraged.” Zuo Zhengdong pointed out that mainland tourists still play a very important role in the number of tourists in Taiwan , because of similar language, cultural similarity, and short distance, if you want to improve Taiwan’s tourism industry, of course you need mainland tourists.

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[Wind to Taiwan]is an opinion exchange platform for experts. The article only reflects the opinion of the author and does not represent the position of Yahoo.

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