2024-01-03 01:01:07
There is a lot of talk regarding the start of the countdown to transform Benjamin Netanyahu into a former prime minister, in other words, his ouster (peacefully, of course), by Israeli society, and his replacement, most likely, with opposition leader Yair Lapid. While the issue is still just talk, day following day, the chances of this scenario occurring are increasing, and what accelerates its possibility in particular are two basic factors: the United States of America and its reserve soldiers.
No one disagrees that Washington is the most important sponsor of Israel, its primary defender in the world, and one of the most important pillars of its survival in the Middle East. However, the current American administration has become in clear disagreement with Netanyahu over the war on Gaza, as it wants to get rid of its repercussions while giving Israel a “cleaning certificate” for everything it has done so far (more than 22,000 dead, thousands wounded, and a huge amount of destruction). With the need to get rid of Netanyahu as well. America has expressed its willingness to continue funding the Israeli army with ammunition and weapons without limits, and to contribute effectively to reducing the severity of the huge losses on the economic and financial levels, certainly not out of love for the Palestinians or the Arabs, but to avoid slipping into field participation in a broader war and mobilizing American public opinion to Political management as preparations for the presidential elections accelerate. It has become known that Netanyahu is the main obstacle to these American goals, so there is no longer any chemistry between the two parties, and one of them must leave the picture. It is likely that the current Prime Minister will lose his battle, as he is subjected to almost daily criticism from the opposition and from Lapid in particular, and the Israeli street clearly holds him responsible for what happened and the failure to guarantee the safety of Israeli prisoners held by the Palestinian factions, which is a very important matter whose effects cannot be ignored. Not to mention the recent judicial blow it received, which was represented by the Israeli Supreme Court invalidating the main clause in the law approved by the Netanyahu government, which stipulates that the judiciary is deprived of the right to judge the “reasonableness” of the decisions of the government, or the Knesset, which allowed for greater freedom for the government. This step is important evidence that the Prime Minister’s “consideration” is no longer up for discussion, even in the midst of the ongoing war, and the Americans’ fingerprints cannot be ignored in such small steps that have a big impact.
In addition to the political and diplomatic efforts exerted by America to oust Netanyahu, there is a field problem that has worked in their favor, which is the lack of preparedness and ability of reserve soldiers to deal with this type of war, whether in the Gaza Strip or on the southern border of Lebanon, where Hezbollah members are located. What the Israeli officials did not say, the Israeli media is abuzz with, following the casualties suffered by the main combat units of the army, including, but not limited to, the Golani Brigade and the Givati Brigade, and the disasters caused by the reserves who joined their units from civilian life, most of whom are from outside Israel. They were living a life away from security problems and military requirements, and they were eager to restore their normal way of life once more. The process of redeployment and withdrawal from some lands in Gaza constitutes conclusive evidence of the depth of the problems that the Israeli army is suffering from, which prevent the achievement of important gains that would be placed in Netanyahu’s hands to benefit from. Were it not for Israeli control over the airspace (which the United States secured for it as part of the so-called balance of power in the region), it would have taken years, not months, to achieve the set goals. The picture is clearly visible that all the strikes that Hamas received did not nullify its military movements and activities, following they used Israel has all kinds of weapons (except nuclear weapons), and this in itself is a great disappointment for Netanyahu and for Israelis in general.
Some believe that a number of ministers became concerned regarding the seriousness of the moves to ensure that the prime minister would not remain in his position, so they deliberately distanced themselves from him, or suggested a lack of harmony with him, especially with regard to the stage that will follow the war on Gaza, which Netanyahu wants to be gray and ambiguous to justify his remaining in his position. While the Americans insist that it be crystal clear because it is not possible to continue at this pace following today, and we must know what the Israelis are preparing for following the war. All of this indicates that the countdown to Netanyahu’s departure has begun, so when will it end?
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