The Academy Awards 2024 Predictions: Who Will Win Big? Check Out Our Forecasts!

2024-03-02 19:28:46

The Academy Awards will be particularly great in 2024. Just believe us.

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Does anyone remember the last Oscars? No? Okay, Lady Gaga appeared without makeup, Hugh Grant described himself as a “scrotum” and Tom Cruise wasn’t there, although “Top Gun: Maverick” won something because he was already racing over some cliff while filming “Mission Impossible 8.” had to.

A total of seven Oscars went to the completely crazy (the tax authority in the form of Jamie Lee Curtis was to blame!) family horror “Everything Everywhere All at Once” with Michelle Yeoh and a completely distraught Ke Huy Quan. “Nothing New in the West” won four more Oscars. Nothing went to the much-nominated “The Banshees of Inisherin”, “The Fabelmans” and “Tár”.

And this year? It’s getting big! Rarely have so many films with such a large audience been nominated at the same time. So both sides of the Barbenheimer phenomenon. And such extraordinary works as “The Zone of Interest”, “Poor Things” and “Anatomie d’une chute”. And interpersonally touching things like “Killers of the Flower Moon”, “Past Lives” and “The Holdovers”. A great vintage. The show itself is largely – if the trailer is to be believed – a love letter to “Everything Everywhere Barbieland”.

The trailer for Oscar night

And here are our forecasts. And your chance to play a bit of Academy too.

All rivets except «Oppi»?

“Oppenheimer” wins and wins and wins, there have been 305 awards so far, 381 more times it came away empty-handed, it was best film at the Golden Globes, the BAFTAs, the Critics Choice Awards and many more. A real bombshell success. With 518,000 admissions (200,000 behind “Barbie”) in Switzerland, it is also a big crowd favorite here. In the last 20 years, extremely popular films have won the most important category several times. In 2019 there was the “Green Book” (364,000 entries in Switzerland), in 2011 “The King’s Speech” (437,000 entries), in 2009 “Slumdog Millionaire” (467,000 entries) and in 2004 the third “The Lord of the Rings” part with an incredible 921,000 entries.

They are so kind to each other!

The Queen is missing

Assuming that the Academy agrees not to award the two biggest awards to “Oppenheimer” because he will bag one or two Oscars in the acting area, the field is completely open. Except for Scorsese – he made a good, historically important and touching film with a brilliant cast, but artistically he is far behind the others. If the Academy had real balls, it would have nominated Queen Greta Gerwig for “Barbie” in his place anyway. In fact, next to Nolan, the chances are probably best for the French Justine Triet; the American juries love her, her “Anatomie d’une chute” and her star Sandra Hülser.

Justine Triet wins a BAFTA

Emma, ​​Lily or Sandra?

Margot Robbie belongs on this list, and no goat manipulated by Emma Stone in “Poor Things” can lick that away. Basically, you would like to give the statuette to each of the five nominees, but of course Emma Stone or Lily Gladstone are most likely to receive it.

Stone plays Bella Baxter, a Frankensteinian creation in a Victorian steampunk vision, completely unleashed, devoid of any inhibition, convention or shame. Gladstone, on the other hand, gives her Mollie, a member of the Osage community in Oklahoma who became rich through oil, dignity, a calm sensuality and deep, melancholic resignation. She would also be the first indigenous actress to win an Oscar. Whether Stone or Glasstone, both are incredibly worth seeing. But that also applies to the German Sandra Hülser.

In any case, Paul Mescal is clearly in favor of Hülser, who, in addition to “Anatomie d’une chute”, can also be seen in “The Zone of Interest”, which was also nominated.

Gladstone wins, Stone is happy

Cillian kills it

In this category it is clearer than ever: there can be no one other than Cillian Murphy in the role of the atomic bomb inventor Robert Oppenheimer, that’s it. Some rumor that Paul Giamatti as the grumpy boarding school teacher, who others have to teach that he actually has a heart of gold and is a pleasant soul, also has a chance. But that would be downright unfair.

“Do I have lipstick on my nose?” Cillian Murphy wins his Golden Globe

America … )-:

“Barbie” will not win the Oscar for Best Picture. But definitely one for the best song – either “I’m Just Ken” by Mark Ronson or “What Was I Made For” by Billie Eilish. But since Eilish has already won an Oscar for her Bond song “No Time to Die,” the chances for the Ronson/Ryan Gosling duo are more than intact. There probably won’t be more Oscars for the most successful and beloved film of 2023.

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America Ferrera would have deserved it a thousand times over just for her captivating monologue. Or – even if we don’t want to shovel more awards at “Oppenheimer” – the magnificently mature Emily Blunt as Mrs. Oppenheimer. The Oscar in this category, like all other awards this season, will go to Da’Vine Joy Randolph – which is true, she is by far the best thing about “The Holdovers” and gives the feel-good movie with a lot of emphasis on “feel” and ” good” the necessary laconic grounding. But America Ferrera would be really great…

America Ferreras «Barbie»-Monolog

Ryan vs. Robert

Okay, Mark Ruffalo would also be a viable alternative. But the bets are of course on Robert Downey Jr., who Nolan finally trusts in “Oppenheimer” to be able to do something more serious and reserved than the intelligent slapstick that the actor usually delivers routinely. For Nolan, he plays Oppenheimer’s toughest enemy, the head of the Atomic Energy Agency, Lewis Strauss, who inflicts all the chicanery of the McCarthy era on Oppenheimer. A dream of an acting performance. But that also applies to Ryan Gosling as Ken. What a comedic delight.

Ryan Gosling: «I’m Just Ken»

Past vs. present

Jonathan Glazer’s glacial Auschwitz horror “The Zone of Interest” is perhaps the most important film currently in theaters. Actually, only he can win the “International Film” category. If it were up to our Patrick Toggweiler (well, he hasn’t seen Glazer yet, but thinks his film “Under the Skin” with Scarlett Johansson as a man-murdering alien in Scotland is great), the winner would be Wim Wenders’ meditation on a Japanese toilet. Cleaner in “Perfect Days”. Quote Toggi: “Oh, just all the beautiful toilet models!”

Trailer zu «Perfect Days»

Men with eyes

It is quite possible that alongside “Barbie” “Poor Things” will also be one of the big losers at this year’s Oscars. Robbie Ryan does a fantastic and imaginative job in “Poor Things”, but there is only one Hoyte van Hoytema. The Dutchman, who was born in Horgen of all places in 1971, first came to our attention in 2008 with the unusual Swedish vampire film “Låt den rätte komma in” by Tomas Alfredson. And since “Interstellar” he has been the man who has the right eye for Christopher Nolan’s epic visions.

Mr. van Hoytema filming “Oppenheimer”

Bild: keystone

29 vs. 92

The 39-year-old Swede Ludwig Göransson won an Oscar in 2019 for the music of “Black Panther”. He has also produced hits for Alicia Keys and Rihanna and has been working with Christopher Nolan since “Tenet”. He is also one of the unstoppable “Oppenheimer” prize winners.

Of course, John Williams (92) always goes, Spielberg’s house composer has been nominated almost every year since 1968, he has won an Oscar five times, but not another 49 times, he is the lone record holder among film composers. Unfortunately, “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” is a complete disaster that even Williams won’t save.

The question is whether the Academy isn’t switching to the 29-year-old Brit Jerskin Fendrix and his interestingly caustic “Poor Things” score – Fendrix immediately landed a nomination with his film music debut and will soon be one of the big names in the business.

Bellas Motiv aus «Poor Things»

The 96th Oscars will take place on the night of March 10th to 11th. The award show with host Jimmy Kimmel will now start an hour earlier than usual, namely at 1 a.m. Can be seen on SRF 2 or Pro7. Of course we are there for you.

Attention hip-hop fans: Openair Frauenfeld has announced the first acts that will be performing on the two big stages this year. You can find out which tickets are still available in the online shop and all the information about the line-up and arrival here.


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