2023-12-03 21:05:44
The rains that fell in the last few hours gave a boost to wheat nationwide and the Rosario Stock Exchange (BCR) projected that there will be 300,000 extra tons of this crop, that is, 10% more than expected ago. one month.
The analysis carried out by Marina Barletta, Florencia Poeta and Cristian Russo, from the BCR, specified that “the 60% raised consolidates the pleasant surprises that come out of the harvesters,” and highlighted that “the wheat yield goes from 27 to 30 quintals per hectare ”.
“The big news in the core region this week comes from the wheat harvest, which is exceeding producers’ expectations. Initially, a yield of around 27 quintals per hectare (qq/ha) was expected, but 60% of the harvested wheat area has reported higher yields, raising the production estimate to 2.7 million tons,” the report highlighted. .
He noted that “this unexpected improvement, which, translated into numbers, represents 300,000 more tons, is attributed, in part, to the rains recorded at the end of October, although the influence of genetic, environmental and technological factors is also recognized.”
“What is good news in a part of the core region has its opposite in the north and northwest of Buenos Aires, where uncertainty reigns due to the possibility of frost and drought, which might negatively affect yields,” the analysts warned.
In Carlos Pellegrini (central-south Santa Fe) they say that “it was a year in which there were no water reserves in the profile and it did not rain enough; “We continue to be surprised and very happy with what has happened.”
There, they finished harvesting with an average yield of 20 qq/ha, which is between 5 and 10 quintals more than projected, but 5% of the wheat might not be harvested due to lack of water.
Other sectors with superior yields are the surroundings of San Pedro and Baradero, in the province of Buenos Aires.
The harvested yields even exceed the local potential with ceilings of 55 to 60 qq/ha and floors of 43 qq/ha.
This also happens in Bigand (extreme southern Santa Fe), which ends the harvest with an average of 48 qq/ha.
Lack of inputs
On the other hand, the analysis indicated that “one of the worrying aspects is the reduction in the technological level applied during the campaign,” and stressed that “the lack of key inputs, such as fertilizers, has generated uncertainty among agricultural advisors.”
In that sense, they specified that “shortages of super simple and triple superphosphate are reported, especially in the soybean area,” and pointed out that “although some advisors suggest that this went unnoticed due to poor fertilization in soybeans due to financial problems of producers, concern persists.”
“In addition to fertilizers, shortages of agrochemicals such as paraquat, 2,4-D and glyphosate are also reported, although it is considered that these are potholes and should not significantly limit agricultural work. The greatest impact is expected in the potential of late corn, which might be affected by the lack of fertilization,” the BCR stated.
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