Tezanos acknowledges errors in estimating Vox’s vote and announces a new model

The president of Sociological Research Center (CIS), José Félix Tezanos, has recognized this Wednesday in Congress that Vox has been underestimated in some polls and has announced a change in the estimation models that opens in the barometer which will be released this Thursday.

Tezanos explained during an appearance at the Constitutional Commissionhe probably Vox’s downward errors were due to the “hidden vote”, since some respondents prefer not to recognize their option for that party, to add that “The job of a social scientist is to identify that.”

He then announced that in the survey to be published this Thursday they have already been “modulated” and “corrected” research models for improve estimates.







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Ignacio S. Calleja

The survey on the elections in Castilla y León fuels the discredit of the institution, questioned for its methodology and ideological bias, but now also for the apparent lack of professionalism

About that poll this month, Tezanos has advanced in several moments of his more than two hours of appearance that will come with significant changes regarding previous barometersdue to recent notable events, such as the war in Ukraine, the PP crisis and the post-election pact in Castilla y León between PP and Vox.

Likewise, he has defended the work of the CIS before the criticism of deputies of PP, Vox and Ciudadanos and has asked them not to create “expectations of discrediting” before “an institution that it’s transparent”.







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Ignacio S. Calleja

The IMOP-Insights survey for El Confidencial shows a technical tie between the two right-wing parties, with those of Abascal as the most voted force in the territories of four different communities

“Be humble, admit your mistakes and make way for someone else”has told him to ask him to resign the PP deputy José Antonio Bermúdez de Castro, following José María Sánchez, from Vox, told him that the appearance was “useless” because he only came with intention to justify and that José María Espejo-Saavedra, from Ciudadanos, underlined that “contumacy in the prediction error always to the same side, “no longer slips in”, towards the party in which he militates”the PSOE.

Tezanos has also assured that it was not he who leaked part of the Castile and León pre-election poll former Vice President of the Government Pablo Iglesias, since Bermúdez de Castro He has asked for explanations.







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Pilar Gomez

Last Monday they had lunch at a restaurant near the headquarters of the research center. The former vice president had access to the Castilla y León survey that was going to be published

He has admitted that he had lunch with him at the CIS headquarters on a Monday that was the day before the screenings closed of that survey, for which he explained that at that time he did not have final data, as well as asserting that they didn’t even talk regarding surveys.

Tezanos has highlighted that the electoral polls suppose less than 15% of the work of the CIS, even if it is his most visible face. The appearance, which has been both at his own request and that of the PP, has been the fourth of Tezanos before the Constitutional Commission.

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