[Tenno Sho / Spring / Hole Rise]Planet with assumed odds of “2-digit” “There is a possibility of a louver change” | SPREAD

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2022.04.30

Keiichi Obata

the past 10 years,Emperor’s Award, SpringThe most popular horse is[3-2-0-5]. In the last five years, the most popular horses have always been in a row, such as Deep Bond, which finished second last year, and Fierement, who won consecutive championships in 2019 and 20. However, looking before 2016, Tsushima had to go back to the winning horse Deep Impact in 2006, and even within the third place, it was Asakusa Kings in 2008. In this way, the reliability of the most popular horse is not so high.

Looking for the commonalities of good-running horses, the counterattack of the previous Nikkei Sho defeated group stands out. Last year’s world premiere won the Nikkei Sho 3rd place, Stiffelio also won the 3rd to 11th most popular 2nd place in 20 years, and Fenomeno in 2014 succeeded in regaining the Emperor’s Award and the spring consecutive championship from the 5th place.

◆[Tenno Sho / Spring 2022 Forecast / Anoma Analyze Vol.2]The delicacy of “declining popularity” in the previous race defeat “Expectations for stamina inherited from my father”

In addition, there are many revival of long-distance performance horses that had been sluggish in the short run. Curren Mirotic in 2016, who was the 13th most popular but rushed to 2nd place, ran well in 3rd place in the previous year’s Tenno Sho Spring, and the 14th most popular and turbulent 12th year winner Beat Black was also 3rd. At the age of three, he had a track record of wearing three at the Kikuka Award.

This year’s Tenno Sho, Spring, has become a popular deep bond, but the ambush team is also multi-talented. I would like to aim for a long-distance gun from a long-distance track record horse that was a defeated group in the previous Nikkei Sho or a poor short-distance run.

■ Heat on beat

In the previous Nikkei Sho, which was advanced from a good position, although he stretched his legs in a straight line, he couldn’t catch the title holder and Bockerini, and he was up to 3rd place. Both of the two horses that allowed the first-come-first-served basis were running around the innermost part without any trouble, and it can be said that the content was equivalent to winning considering the loss on the way of the horse. There is no big prize title yet, but in GII / GIII, you can evaluate[0-2-2-1]and the sense of stability that does not collapse regardless of the opponent’s relationship or Baba.

For the first time, I will run in a race over 3000m, but don’t worry because I have a lot of stamina since I haven’t raced so far. Also, looking at the members who participated this time, it seems that it will be a tough flow, and since it is a type that can use good legs for a long time, I saw that the development will fit.

I didn’t have the ability to concentrate until the end, which is one of the reasons why I was slow to win, but this time I wore a caps in the race. It seems that there will be a complete change, and the Nikkei Sho defeated group will produce a turbulence this year as well.

◆[Tenno Sho / Spring 2022 Forecast / Anoma Analyze Vol.3]Ambush soldiers around the assumed “10 popularity” “This horse is the driving force behind the turbulence”

◆[Tenno Sho / Spring 2022 Forecast / Overtake Diagnosis]Deep Bond is evaluated as “A” for “achievement of long-cherished wishes”

◆[Tenno Sho / Spring 2022 / Popularity Trend]2 Popularity is “4th place” for 3 consecutive years 1 Popularity is also dangerous data with winning odds “1x level”

▼ UMAJIN Channel “Winning! Okai Juku-Tenno Sho / Spring Edition”

Author profile

Tsuyoshi Yamada ● Editor-in-chief of “SPREAD”
Former editor-in-chief of horse racing monthly magazine, and now editor-in-chief of media “SPREAD” that reads the future of sports. He has been pursuing the Anoma conjecture ever since he was shocked by the runaway of the 16th most popular 2nd place Meisho Tesoro in the 1995 Mile CS. “Uma Musume” is recommended by Gold Ship.