2023-06-05 23:14:54
Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor of the Department of Atmospheric Sciences of Central University, pointed out today that the weather this week should be careful of strong convection. The fifth wave front of the rainy season is approaching on the weekend; a tropical low pressure is formed, and there is a chance to develop into the No. 3 typhoon “Guchao” tonight or tomorrow morning .
Wu Derong pointed out in “San Li Zhun Meteorology. The Boss’s Secrets” pointed out that the latest European (ECMWF) model simulation shows that there are signs of tropical disturbance activities on the east and west sides of the Philippines this week; the east disturbance has strengthened into a “tropical depression” this morning. “, there is a chance to develop into this year’s No. 3 typhoon “Guchao” tonight or tomorrow morning, but its simulated track has already reversed in the far sea east of Taiwan, and there is no threat to Taiwan.
Wu Derong said that the latest European (ECMWF) model simulation shows that Taiwan will continue to be under “thermally unstable” conditions from today to Friday, with cloudy parts in sunny periods, local showers or thunderstorms developing in the mountainous areas in the afternoon, extending to some flat lands, and some The probability of continuing into the night has the probability of occurrence of small-scale “severe weather” (lightning strikes, strong winds, and instant heavy rainfall).
Everywhere is hot during the day and slightly cooler when it rains; the temperature on the flat land in various regions today: 23 to 34 degrees in the north, 22 to 35 degrees in the middle, 23 to 36 degrees in the south, and 23 to 37 degrees in the east.
He pointed out that the latest model simulation shows that the fifth front of the “Meiyu season” is gradually approaching from Saturday to next Monday, the southwest wind is gradually strengthening, the atmosphere is more unstable, and there are showers or thunderstorms in some areas. , where “severe weather” (lightning strikes, strong winds, and instantaneous heavy rainfall) occurs, you should always pay attention to the special reports from the Meteorological Bureau.
Wu Derong said that the model simulation at the end of the period (8 to 10 days) shows that the southwest airflow has strengthened, and with the original weak stagnant front, there is a tendency to gradually adjust to the rainy “plum rainy season”. However, since it is an end-of-term simulation, the model will continue to adjust and should be observed again.
further reading
1686017298
#Tropical #depression #generation #Derong #chance #develop #typhoon #Guchao #tonight #tomorrow #morning #Life #News #Life