Survey: Milei climbs while Patricia Bullrich and Massa fight to enter the runoff

2023-09-29 04:23:00

The consulting firms are advancing with their political polls less than a month before the general elections. Jacob & Associates published a public opinion report that analyzes voting intention, the image of the main Argentine politicians, the position regarding the ruling party and perspectives on the monetary scheme. There, a high anti-Kirchnerist inclination was evident and that Javier Milei climbs with respect to the PASO while Patricia Bullrich and Sergio Massa fight to enter the runoff.

The national survey was carried out from September 9 to 18 among 2,500 Argentines and its first axis was the economic one, consulting specifically regarding the monetary scheme. The majority, the 31.7% of those surveyed, leaned towards a “model free of pesos and dollars”proposed by both Patricia Bullrich’s candidate for Economy Minister, Carlos Melconian, and the possible head of Javier Milei’s Central Bank, Emilio Ocampo.

He 26.4%on the other hand, postulated that “we must maintain the peso as currency, prohibiting the dollar“, while Total dollarization ranked third, with 25.3% of the participants. Only the 14.4% responded that he did not have a position taken on the matter and only the 2.1% He refrained from responding. These numbers show a scenario similar to the PASO where the vote was divided into thirds.

Dollarize, bimonetarize the peso. | Giacobbe & Asociados

General Elections 2023

The second axis of the survey Jacob & Associates It is the position regarding Kirchnerism. He 62.2% voted “I want Kirchnerism to lose the presidential elections”In front of a 26.5% who leaned towards the triumph of the ruling party. 9.7% chose the option “I don’t care” and only 1.7% chose “does not know/does not answer”.

On the axis voting intention, Javier Milei led the survey, with 33.9%, almost four points more than what he got in the PASO. Second place was occupied by Patricia Bullrich, with 27.8% and very little difference with Sergio Massa, who was chosen by 27.4% of those surveyed. Both results are similar to those obtained by their parties together in the primaries. Juan Schiaretti was chosen by 3%, Myriam Bregman by 2.5%, 4.2% identified themselves as “undecided” and 1.2% assured that they would vote blank or contest.

survey Giacobbe & Asociados 1 g_20230928
Survey for the general elections. | Giacobbe & Associates

The image of politicians

Regarding the image of the main political leaders, Javier Milei leads with a positive image of 34.9%although surpassed by its own negative rating, of the 46.2%. Milei’s regular image is 14.4% and 4.5% abstained from commenting on the La Libertad Avanza candidate.

20230924_milei_cedoc_g
Milei leads with a positive image of 34.9%, although it is surpassed by its own negative rating of 46.2%

The second candidate with the highest percentage of positive image is the candidate from Together for Change, Patricia Bullrich. About her, the 27.6% of those surveyed selected a positive image, 18.2% a regular one, a 49% a negative and 5.2% abstained from commenting on the former Minister of Security.

Even if you’re not running for office this year, The third place for positive image is occupied by former president Cristina Kirchner. The percentage in your favor is 26.5%the regular is 8.9% and his negative image is the highest in the entire survey: and 62.3%. Only 2.2% of those surveyed chose not to give their opinion on the main reference of the ruling party.

survey Giacobbe & Asociados 1 g_20230928
The image of politicians. | Giacobbe & Associates

Sergio Massa takes fourth place in the Giacobbe & Asociados report. His positive image is 24.7%the regular is 10.3%, the refusal reaches 62.2% —similar to Cristina Kirchner— and 2.8% did not give an opinion regarding the Minister of Economy.

Cristina Kirchner
The third place for positive image is occupied by former president Cristina Kirchner, although she also leads in negative image

The ex-president Mauricio Macri obtained a positive image of 20.4%a very high regular, 28.4%, and a 47.2% negative. 4% of those surveyed did not give an opinion regarding the former leader of Together for Change.

Juan Schiaretti received a positive image of just 8.1% of those surveyed, a regular image of 28.3%, a negative image of the 34.5% and 29.2% selected the “don’t know/don’t answer/don’t know” option.

Finally, the candidate Myriam Bregman obtained a positive image of 7.2%regular opinions of 16.4% of respondents, a very high negative image, 44.9% and 31.5% abstained from commenting on the leader of the Left Front.

ML / ED

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