14.10.2022
Since 2011, the probability of death among Germans aged 50 to 95 has been higher than forecast. This reports the English Bayes Business School without going into detail regarding the methodology of their study. The college examined death rates from 21 countries. It should be checked whether developments since 2010 are in line with forecasts.
According to this, the probability of death for women in this country did not improve by 2.4 percent between 2011 and 2017, but only by one percent. For men, it might not be optimized by 2.2 percent, but only by 1.2. This puts Germany, together with the United Kingdom and Taiwan, at the bottom on this point.
With regard to the gap between the actual and the projected improvement in the mortality rate for 2011 to 2017, Germany is also in the lower places, together with Great Britain and Spain. In contrast, among other things, the speed at which mortality rates are improving is significantly faster in Denmark than in the rest of Europe.
The scientists cite higher death rates from diabetes, obesity, circulatory diseases due to smoking and high cholesterol levels as well as dementia and Alzheimer’s diseases as reasons why life expectancy in some countries has not increased as forecast.
In addition, the disparity in mortality rates between the different socioeconomic groups is widening, so that the unfavorable trends in the socially disadvantaged groups affect the overall mortality trend, it said.
