Strategic Autonomy in the EU: Navigating Internal Divisions and External Threats in 2025
Table of Contents
- 1. Strategic Autonomy in the EU: Navigating Internal Divisions and External Threats in 2025
- 2. The Relevance of Strategic Autonomy in 2025
- 3. internal Divisions: A Growing Challenge
- 4. Economic Security and Strategic Autonomy
- 5. Unity as the Path Forward
- 6. Europe’s Strategic Autonomy: Navigating internal Divisions and External threats
- 7. Economic Resilience: A pillar of Strategic Autonomy
- 8. Internal Challenges: Far-Right Movements and Institutional Reform
- 9. External Threats: The Role of Private Actors
- 10. Conclusion: A Path Forward
- 11. reinvigorating European Unity: The Case for a Security-Focused EU
- 12. From Economic Integration to Security Imperatives
- 13. The Urgency of Delivering Results
- 14. Flexible cooperation and Leadership
- 15. Priorities for a European Defense strategy
- 16. Adapting Decision-Making for Modern Challenges
- 17. A New Chapter for European Unity
- 18. Strengthening EU-UK Ties: A Path Forward in Security and Defense
- 19. The Need for Agility in EU Decision-Making
- 20. Deepening EU-UK security Cooperation
- 21. Corporate Collaboration as a Catalyst
- 22. A Vision for the EU in 2025 and Beyond
- 23. Conclusion: A Time for Action
- 24. Almut Möller: Leading the Charge in European and Global Affairs
- 25. A Visionary in Global diplomacy
- 26. Europe in the World: A Programme with Purpose
- 27. Why Almut Möller’s Work Matters
- 28. Looking Ahead
- 29. How can the EU strengthen its defence capabilities while navigating the complexities of decision-making within a 27-member state bloc?
- 30. The Urgency of Action
- 31. Flexible Cooperation and Leadership
- 32. Priorities for a European Defense Strategy
- 33. Adapting Decision-Making for Modern Challenges
- 34. Strengthening EU-UK Ties
- 35. Corporate Collaboration as a Catalyst
- 36. A Vision for the EU in 2025 and beyond
- 37. Conclusion: A Time for Action
As the European Union steps into 2025, it faces a world marked by profound change, internal divisions, and mounting external threats. The concept of strategic autonomy has taken centre stage in discussions about Europe’s future.But what does it truly mean, and can the EU rise to the challenge?
The Relevance of Strategic Autonomy in 2025
Strategic autonomy, often perceived as an abstract idea, is deeply rooted in the real-world challenges confronting Europe today. Almut Möller, a leading expert on European foreign policy, describes it as a response to a global environment that no longer aligns with the EU’s interests. “The hope that the global setup naturally reflected the interests of the EU and its member states has been contested for quiet some time,” she explains.
In 2025, Europe faces existential threats. Russia’s ongoing aggression against Ukraine has exposed vulnerabilities, highlighting the urgent need for greater self-reliance. Adding to the complexity is the unpredictability of the United states under president Trump’s second management.“Europe must contend with an ally who will, at times, be openly malign, unpredictable, and fast-moving,” Möller notes.
This confluence of challenges has forced the EU to confront the task of achieving strategic autonomy for the first time as the early 1990s. It’s not just about military strength; it encompasses economic security, technological resilience, and the ability to act decisively in an unstable world.
internal Divisions: A Growing Challenge
Historically, the EU has responded to external pressures by deepening integration. However, internal divisions among member states now complicate this approach. “The sense of collective unity—the ‘we’ within the EU—is under meaningful strain,” Möller observes. Rising nationalism and illiberal policies in some countries have fragmented the Union, making consensus-building a formidable task.
Despite these divisions,security remains the EU’s top priority. Without a solid foundation of security, Europe’s future is unsustainable.While NATO continues to play a central role, the EU must enhance its own capabilities. Ursula von der Leyen’s Commission has made strides in this area, and the upcoming white paper on defense by European Commissioner Andrius Kubilius is expected to outline strategies for leveraging the single market to strengthen NATO commitments.
Economic Security and Strategic Autonomy
Economic security is another critical pillar of strategic autonomy. Trade wars and geopolitical tensions,particularly with the US and China,are reshaping the global economic order. The EU must safeguard its Single Market, ensure supply chain resilience, and maintain competitiveness in key sectors. As Möller emphasizes, “Economic security and strategic autonomy are deeply interconnected.”
Unity as the Path Forward
Navigating internal divisions while addressing external threats is no small feat. Unity, though challenging, is essential. “Unity is indeed both the challenge and the solution,” Möller asserts. The EU must find ways to bridge its divides, prioritize collective action, and strengthen its role on the global stage.
As Europe moves forward in 2025, the pursuit of strategic autonomy will define its ability to adapt and led in an era of profound change. The stakes are high, but with concerted effort and collaboration, the EU can rise to the occasion.
Europe’s Strategic Autonomy: Navigating internal Divisions and External threats
In a rapidly changing global landscape, the European Union faces a dual challenge: addressing internal divisions while countering external threats. For some member states, particularly those in Eastern Europe, the sense of urgency is palpable. Countries like Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, and Finland perceive Russia’s aggression as an immediate and existential threat. In contrast,other parts of Europe view these risks with less intensity,creating a fragmented response to shared challenges.
To bridge this gap, the EU must adopt pragmatic strategies. One such approach is enhanced cooperation, a mechanism that allows groups of member states to pursue specific initiatives without requiring unanimous agreement. This method not only fosters progress but also leaves room for broader participation in the future.As one expert aptly noted, “The risk of a fragmented EU is less high than an EU that is unable to act at this point in time.”
Economic Resilience: A pillar of Strategic Autonomy
Beyond security,economic resilience is a cornerstone of the EU’s strategic autonomy.The Single Market stands as one of the Union’s greatest achievements, and recent years have seen the development of robust tools to safeguard it. However,the interconnected nature of the global economy means that even the strongest systems are vulnerable to external shocks. as Almut Möller explains, “the EU must focus on strengthening supply chains and fostering resilience in critical industries, such as technology and energy.”
Evolving relations with global powers like the US and china add another layer of complexity. While the EU seeks to avoid trade wars, it must also prepare for scenarios where multilateralism breaks down further. The disdain of former US President Donald Trump for institutions like the WTO and the EU itself underscores the need for Europe to lead efforts in reforming global frameworks while forging new partnerships.
Internal Challenges: Far-Right Movements and Institutional Reform
internally, the rise of far-right and nationalist movements poses a significant threat to the EU’s cohesion. These movements often undermine liberal democratic values, creating a challenging environment for policymaking. To maintain its legitimacy, the EU must demonstrate its ability to deliver tangible benefits to its citizens—whether through security, economic stability, or social progress.
At the same time, the Union must reform its institutions to better respond to crises. Decision-making structures that rely on unanimity among 27 member states are increasingly unsustainable. Adapting to a faster, more flexible mode of operation will be crucial in the years ahead.
External Threats: The Role of Private Actors
Along with customary geopolitical challenges, the EU now faces a new vector of attack from private actors like Elon musk. His influence has already manifested in europe, from dealings with the Italian goverment to his support for Germany’s far-right AfD party, which advocates for the country’s withdrawal from the EU. Musk’s media platform has also been used to stir political turbulence, such as his attacks on UK Labour leader Keir Starmer.
This type of threat is unprecedented. If Musk were to target the EU directly, rather than indirectly through right-wing populist parties, the Union’s ability to withstand such an attack remains uncertain. As Almut Möller warns, “This is a very real and concerning threat.” However, the EU has tools at its disposal, particularly its regulatory frameworks for tech, and has shown in the past that it can confront challenges in this area.
Conclusion: A Path Forward
The road ahead for the EU is fraught with challenges, both internal and external. From addressing divisions among member states to countering the influence of private actors, the Union must navigate a complex landscape. By fostering economic resilience, reforming institutions, and leveraging its regulatory frameworks, the EU can strengthen its strategic autonomy and ensure its continued relevance in an increasingly uncertain world.
reinvigorating European Unity: The Case for a Security-Focused EU
In an era marked by geopolitical instability and rising threats, the European Union faces a pivotal moment. The original promise of the EU—to prevent war on the continent—has been tested by the resurgence of conflict, particularly with an aggressive Russia. This new reality presents both a challenge and an opportunity: to redefine European unity around the pressing need for collective security and foreign policy.
From Economic Integration to Security Imperatives
For decades, the European Union’s primary appeal lay in its economic integration. The creation of the single Market in the 1990s was a groundbreaking achievement, fostering prosperity and interdependence among member states. However,as geopolitical tensions rise,the focus has shifted. Today, the most compelling argument for European unity is no longer economic but rooted in security and defense.
“The original promise of the EU—to prevent war on the European continent—was profoundly compelling,” says Almut Möller,a leading expert on European affairs.“Today, that promise feels distant, but the reality of war has returned to Europe. This provides an opportunity to revisit and reinvigorate the European idea.”
The Urgency of Delivering Results
While the need for a unified European approach to security is clear, the challenge lies in execution. Citizens across the continent need tangible proof that the EU can address existential threats effectively. The current European Commission, under the leadership of Ursula von der Leyen, has recognized this urgency. Key figures like Kaja Kallas, Estonia’s Prime minister, have also emphasized the importance of decisive action in defense and security.
“Delivering results is critical,” Möller emphasizes. “If the EU fails to prove its relevance in the daily lives of its citizens, the populist critique will only grow louder. Security is the most obvious area where the Union must deliver, but it’s also one of the most difficult.”
Flexible cooperation and Leadership
One potential path forward lies in flexible cooperation among groups of member states. This approach allows for tailored solutions that address specific security challenges without requiring unanimous agreement from all 27 member states. The leadership of figures like Donald Tusk, Poland’s Prime Minister and former European Council President, offers hope in this regard.
“Donald Tusk’s leadership,with Poland holding the EU Council Presidency now,brings hope,” Möller notes. “He’s experienced, deeply committed to European security, and understands coalition-building. His ability to align willing member states could be a turning point.”
Priorities for a European Defense strategy
As the EU works on its White Paper on defense, several key priorities emerge. first and foremost is the need for enduring financing mechanisms. The Next Generation EU fund, which played a transformative role during the COVID-19 pandemic, could serve as a model for joint borrowing to fund defense initiatives.
“Europe needs a sustainable mechanism for financing defense,” Möller explains. “joint borrowing could provide the necesary resources, though it remains politically sensitive.”
Collaboration with non-EU partners is another critical component. The United Kingdom, despite its departure from the EU, remains a vital player in European defense. finding ways to integrate the UK and other allies like norway into European security frameworks will be essential.
“The UK, in particular, brings significant weight to European defense,” Möller adds. “the White paper should show a path towards re-energized cooperation.”
Adapting Decision-Making for Modern Challenges
the White Paper must address the need for streamlined decision-making processes. In a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape, the EU’s ability to act decisively is paramount. This requires not only financial and strategic planning but also political mechanisms that enable swift and effective responses.
“Europe’s decision-making processes need to adapt to the pace of modern challenges,” Möller concludes. “The White Paper should outline clear steps to ensure the EU can act decisively when it matters most.”
A New Chapter for European Unity
As the European Union navigates this critical juncture, the stakes could not be higher. The return of war to Europe has underscored the importance of collective security, offering a chance to redefine the EU’s purpose for a new generation. By prioritizing defense,fostering flexible cooperation,and delivering tangible results,the EU can reinvigorate its mission and secure its future in an increasingly uncertain world.
Strengthening EU-UK Ties: A Path Forward in Security and Defense
In an era of escalating global tensions, the European Union faces a critical juncture. The old frameworks of cooperation are no longer sufficient to address the rapid pace of modern conflicts. as Almut Möller, a prominent analyst, aptly puts it, “The EU has been operating within a framework designed for less conflictual times.” This reality demands a fundamental shift in how the EU approaches security and defence, particularly in its relationship with the United Kingdom.
The Need for Agility in EU Decision-Making
One of the most pressing challenges for the EU is its consensus-driven decision-making process. With 27 member states, reaching unanimous agreement is often time-consuming—a luxury the bloc can no longer afford. Recent high-level meetings, such as those in Helsinki, and reports by figures like mario Draghi and Enrico Letta, highlight the growing recognition of this issue. However, as Möller notes, “The pace of EU decision-making must change fundamentally.”
To adapt, the EU must embrace more agile structures that allow for swift action in times of crisis. While consensus remains an ideal, the current environment necessitates alternative approaches, such as coalitions of the willing, to address urgent security threats.
Deepening EU-UK security Cooperation
Amid these challenges, the relationship between the EU and the UK presents a unique opportunity. Prime Minister Starmer, with his focus on european security, has more flexibility in this area compared to broader EU matters. As Möller observes, “In Britain, European security is viewed as a shared concern with ‘the Continent.'” This shared outlook opens the door for closer collaboration without reigniting the contentious debates of Brexit.
However, navigating this partnership requires careful diplomacy. Crafting agreements that involve defence cooperation, joint procurement, and shared resources must be done in a way that respects the outcomes of Brexit. If the EU and NATO can align corporate and public strategic interests, the potential for meaningful collaboration is significant.
Corporate Collaboration as a Catalyst
Corporate interests play a pivotal role in fostering EU-UK ties. the recent German-British Treaty, for instance, led to Rheinmetall announcing new investments in the UK. This example underscores the power of political incentives in driving industrial collaboration. Scaling such initiatives to a European level could involve programs that encourage joint ventures, particularly in the defence sector. These efforts would not only enhance security capabilities but also strengthen economic ties across the continent.
A Vision for the EU in 2025 and Beyond
Looking ahead, Möller envisions an EU that has risen to the challenges of the modern world.”The old European security order is gone,” she states,”and Europe must claim its place at the table in shaping what comes next.” This requires demonstrating resolve and effectiveness both at home and abroad.
Despite the obstacles, Möller remains optimistic. “Europe still has the political and material resources to succeed,” she asserts. The year 2025 represents a critical window of opportunity for the EU to redefine its role on the global stage. by focusing on actionable strategies and fostering collaboration, the bloc can navigate the complexities of the current landscape and emerge stronger.
Conclusion: A Time for Action
As the EU confronts the realities of a more conflict-driven world, the need for decisive action has never been greater. Strengthening ties with the UK, streamlining decision-making processes, and leveraging corporate collaboration are essential steps in this journey. By embracing these opportunities, the EU can not only address immediate security challenges but also lay the foundation for a more resilient and unified future.
Almut Möller: Leading the Charge in European and Global Affairs
By Archys | January 18, 2025
In the ever-evolving landscape of international relations, few names stand out as prominently as Almut Möller. As the Director for European and Global Affairs and the head of the Europe in the World program, Möller has carved out a reputation as a visionary leader dedicated to shaping the future of global diplomacy.
A Visionary in Global diplomacy
Almut Möller’s role in European and global affairs is nothing short of transformative. Her leadership in the Europe in the World programme underscores her commitment to fostering collaboration and understanding across borders. With a career marked by strategic insight and a deep understanding of international dynamics, Möller continues to influence policies that resonate on a global scale.
Europe in the World: A Programme with Purpose
The Europe in the World programme, under Möller’s guidance, has become a cornerstone of European diplomacy. This initiative focuses on strengthening Europe’s role in global affairs,ensuring that the continent remains a key player in addressing international challenges. from climate change to economic stability, the programme addresses critical issues with a forward-thinking approach.
Why Almut Möller’s Work Matters
In a world where geopolitical tensions are on the rise, Möller’s work is more important than ever. Her ability to navigate complex international landscapes and her dedication to fostering dialog make her a pivotal figure in global affairs. As she continues to lead the Europe in the World programme, her efforts are shaping a more interconnected and cooperative world.
Looking Ahead
As we move further into 2025, the importance of strong leadership in global affairs cannot be overstated. Almut Möller’s contributions to European and global diplomacy serve as a reminder of the power of visionary leadership. Her work not only addresses today’s challenges but also lays the groundwork for a more collaborative and sustainable future.
How can the EU strengthen its defence capabilities while navigating the complexities of decision-making within a 27-member state bloc?
The European Union (EU) is at a pivotal moment in its history, facing existential threats that demand decisive action and tangible results.The return of war to Europe,particularly with Russia’s aggression against ukraine,has underscored the urgent need for the EU to prove its relevance in addressing security challenges. Citizens across the continent are looking for proof that the EU can effectively protect them and deliver on its promises.
The Urgency of Action
The current European Commission, led by Ursula von der Leyen, has recognized the urgency of the situation. Key figures like Kaja Kallas, Estonia’s Prime Minister, have emphasized the importance of decisive action in defense and security. As Almut Möller, a prominent analyst, notes, “Delivering results is critical. If the EU fails to prove its relevance in the daily lives of its citizens, the populist critique will only grow louder.” Security is the most obvious area where the EU must deliver, but it is also one of the most difficult.
Flexible Cooperation and Leadership
one potential path forward lies in flexible cooperation among groups of member states. This approach allows for tailored solutions that address specific security challenges without requiring unanimous agreement from all 27 member states.The leadership of figures like Donald Tusk, Poland’s prime Minister and former European Council President, offers hope in this regard. Tusk’s experience, commitment to European security, and ability to build coalitions could be a turning point for the EU.
Priorities for a European Defense Strategy
As the EU works on its White Paper on defense, several key priorities emerge. First and foremost is the need for enduring financing mechanisms. The Next Generation EU fund, which played a transformative role during the COVID-19 pandemic, could serve as a model for joint borrowing to fund defense initiatives. Collaboration with non-EU partners, particularly the United Kingdom, is another critical component. Despite Brexit, the UK remains a vital player in European defense, and finding ways to integrate the UK and other allies like Norway into European security frameworks will be essential.
Adapting Decision-Making for Modern Challenges
The white Paper must also address the need for streamlined decision-making processes. In a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape, the EU’s ability to act decisively is paramount. This requires not only financial and strategic planning but also political mechanisms that enable swift and effective responses. As Möller concludes, “Europe’s decision-making processes need to adapt to the pace of modern challenges. The White Paper should outline clear steps to ensure the EU can act decisively when it matters most.”
Strengthening EU-UK Ties
In an era of escalating global tensions,the relationship between the EU and the UK presents a unique opportunity. Prime Minister Keir Starmer, with his focus on European security, has more adaptability in this area compared to broader EU matters. As Möller observes, “In Britain, European security is viewed as a shared concern with ‘the Continent.'” This shared outlook opens the door for closer collaboration without reigniting the contentious debates of Brexit.
Corporate Collaboration as a Catalyst
Corporate interests play a pivotal role in fostering EU-UK ties. The recent German-British Treaty, for instance, led to Rheinmetall announcing new investments in the UK. This example underscores the power of political incentives in driving industrial collaboration. Scaling such initiatives to a European level could involve programs that encourage joint ventures, particularly in the defense sector. These efforts would not only enhance security capabilities but also strengthen economic ties across the continent.
A Vision for the EU in 2025 and beyond
Looking ahead, Möller envisions an EU that has risen to the challenges of the modern world. “The old European security order is gone,” she states, “and europe must claim its place at the table in shaping what comes next.” This requires demonstrating resolve and effectiveness both at home and abroad. Despite the obstacles,Möller remains optimistic. “Europe still has the political and material resources to succeed,” she asserts. The year 2025 represents a critical window of opportunity for the EU to redefine its role on the global stage. By focusing on actionable strategies and fostering collaboration, the bloc can navigate the complexities of the current landscape and emerge stronger.
Conclusion: A Time for Action
As the EU confronts the realities of a more conflictual world,the stakes could not be higher. The return of war to Europe has underscored the importance of collective security, offering a chance to redefine the EU’s purpose for a new generation. By prioritizing defense, fostering flexible cooperation, and delivering tangible results, the EU can reinvigorate its mission and secure its future in an increasingly uncertain world. The time for action is now.