This Thursday and Friday, sometimes violent thunderstorms fell on our heads. If the intensity could vary from one place to another, there was still damage. And we can expect new episodes in the coming weeks. Because the models indicate that we should have a rather hot summer, often beautiful, but with fairly regular storms all the same. This is the opinion of meteorologist Régis Crepet, on the specialized site lachainemeteo.com. “In the continuity of the first 5 months of the year, the global meteorological configuration of the summer should present centers of action always reversed on a European scale, with a recurrence of high pressures (anticyclones) positioned in Northern Europe and low pressures (depressions) over the Mediterranean. This reversed situation is responsible for a persistent drought, in particular in the northern half of France, with temperatures generally at +1.5°C above average since winter. This trend should continue this summer. In this configuration, the return of storms from June would make a difference and could limit the severity of the drought in our country. This trend was already mentioned in the previous bulletin of April 10, which makes it possible to express good overall reliability. However, we note a change of weather envisaged for the month of August. On a global scale, we observe that the La Nina phenomenon is strengthening in the Pacific Ocean and should continue until next fall. This factor is, statistically, conducive to stormy summers here. “
But beware, thunderstorms are never good news, even in the event of drought, as Pascal Mormal, from the IRM, reminds us. “ Not the best rains to help soils. The water arrives in large quantities and we speak rather of flow than of absorption. It may help in some places, but it won’t fix everything “he warns.