2023-04-28 14:52:00
As the date to define candidacies approaches and with the proximity of the Elections 2023, the consultants begin to refine the reading of the electoral scenario with measurements that can delineate some trend in voting intentions. A survey A recent report confirms that more than half of those consulted will vote for an opposition candidate, in line with various polls, and also maintains that Horacio Rodriguez Larreta would prevail in the inmate of Together for Change in the PASO of August 13.
This is how it emerges from a study by the consulting firm Synopsis, which surveyed 1,679 cases (78.9% non-home in-person survey and 21.1% by telephone) between April 7 and 15. In this synthetic score, the survey yielded the following data regarding the internship of Together for Change.
- Rodríguez Larreta prevails in the JxC presidential internship, in the two scenarios that were evaluated for the PASO.
- In the first scenario, Rodríguez Larreta wins with 12.4% over Patricia Bullrich (8.2%), María Eugenia Vidal (3.0%), Facundo Manes (2.6%), Gerardo Morales (2.1% ) and José Luis Espert (1.5%).
- In the second scenario, Rodríguez Larreta gets 15.9% and wins one-on-one with Bullrich (10.7%).
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Regarding how you would vote if today were the elections, the consultation yielded the following results
- 53.2% of those consulted assured that they will vote for the “opposition” in the presidential elections, while 27.4% said that they will do so for the ruling party. 19.4% are “undecided”.
- JxC is the coalition with the highest vote intention (28.1%) towards the presidential elections.
What would happen if the Peronist candidate was Sergio Massa in a second round scenario
- Without the non-Kirchnerist Peronism, JxC prevails with the greatest advantage (29%) in the presidential elections, followed by the FdT (25.6%), Liberales (17.7%) and left-wing parties (7.2%).
- With Rodríguez Larreta as a candidate for President, JxC extends its victory over the FDT in an eventual second round: it wins 45.6% of the votes and wins once morest Massa (36.6%)
- JxC has a slight advantage with Patricia Bullrich as a candidate for President: it prevails with 45.4% over Massa (43.4%).
What regarding Javier Miley
Libertarians rank third with 16.6 percent voting intention, but 11.4 percent undecided. However, Javier Milei appears with a voting intention of 24.9.
In front of everyone
Inside the Frente de Todos, Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner continues to lead the space with a voting intention of 17.5 percent once morest 5.8 percent of Sergio Massa.
But in the event that the vice president does not appear as a candidate in the FdT Steps, Massa obtains 14.1 percent over Scioli’s 9.6
Non-Kirchnerist Peronism and the Left
Lastly, the survey reveals that non-Kirchnerist Peronism reaches 10.9 percent of voting intentions, while the left reaches 4.9 where Mirian Bregman appears as the most voted candidate with 3.8%.
FL/ff
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