2024-03-20 01:15:18
Published on March 19, 2024 at 9:37 p.m.
This long-term preview of spring should meet your expectations. Forecast.
And bref:
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The soft trend continues this spring;
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Above normal temperatures expected;
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Sporadic temperature drops possible;
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The heat would arrive earlier this year.
Signs of weakness
For a large part of Quebec, spring would be like winter: marked by mildness. However, it would not be without flaws since signs of decline are already being felt. Colder temperatures and snow in March are not unusual, but simply represent a very common trough early in the season. Patience may be required over the next few weeks since the long-awaited ridge should take a little longer before reaching La Belle Province.
“Spring, which has shown warning signs, seems to want to catch its breath following the equinox,” explains Réjean Ouimet, meteorologist. The start of astronomical spring becomes a little more hesitant. The heat will be less spectacular, if not more fleeting. This scenario will be at the heart of the season. It is the repositioning of heat to the west of our regions for a more or less long period in April towards May. The blockade in Greenland will then act as a buffer to prevent warm temperatures from taking hold.
Drier spring
While precipitation picks up once more in March following a fairly poor winter in Quebec, the spring as a whole will be drier than normal. Remember that the snow has not said its last word. Indeed, the coming weeks might give rise to late appearances, especially in the east of the province. However, even Montreal risks accumulating a few centimeters by the end of April. The good news: this snow never stays on the ground for long this time of year.
“Drier weather than normal is more on the cards at the end of the season,” says Réjean Ouimet. The next few weeks are likely to be more active and as the temperatures are more changeable the possibility of snow is there. Normally in Montreal, 20 cm of snow falls between the spring equinox and the end of April. It will probably be less this year. For Gaspé, the bet is riskier. Coastal storms remain a strong possibility for eastern Quebec. »
The real beginning
The high expectations compared to spring obviously concern the arrival of warm weather. This march towards summer takes place in stages. The first of these is that of sustainable 10°C. It is not far away in time and should not be long in coming this year. Subsequently, the mercury reaches 20°C around the third week of May in southern Quebec. According to experts, this step would come earlier this season. Finally, what we describe as “summer heat” represents maximums of 23°C to 25°C which would also arrive a little earlier.
“The season will shift towards warmer conditions in May, earlier than normal,” says Réjean Ouimet. In April, the sustainable 10 degrees will probably occur on time this year. For the 20 degrees that systematically occur during the 4th week of May, the chances are that it will happen a little earlier this year. Summer conditions with 23 to 25 degrees will occur before the 2nd week of June. »
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