According to her data, if elections to the Seimas were held next Sunday, 18 percent would vote for the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party. of those interviewed. In September, 18.8 percent pledged their vote to the Social Democrats. respondents.
The Conservatives are in second place with 9.3 percent. support, 11.3 percent intended to vote for them a month ago. of those interviewed.
“The Social Democrats are the first, as it was, they are in the lead all year, 18 percent, the Homeland Union – 9.3 percent, maybe a decrease, but this is not a trend, they are holding quite stable”, Vilmorus manager Vladas Gaidys commented on the results of the survey to BNS .
The opposition Democratic Union “Vardan Lietuvos”, which was fourth a month ago, rose to third place, for which 7.5% would vote. of those polled (5.5% in September), which switched places with the opposition Lithuanian Peasants and Greens Union, for which 7.3% would vote. respondents, as a month ago. These changes are within the margin of error of the survey.
The ruling Liberal Movement would receive 4.7 percent. the support of those surveyed (4.4 percent in September), the opposition Labor Party – 2.9 percent. (2.7 percent in September), Union of People and Justice (centrists, nationalists) – 2.7 percent. (1.7 percent in September).
2.4% promised to vote for the Lithuanian Party of Regions. respondents (2.3 percent in September), the ruling Freedom Party – 2.4 percent. (2.2 percent in September). The Freedom and Justice party would receive 2.1 percent. polled votes (2.4 percent in September), the election share of Lithuanian Poles – 1.6 percent. (1 percent in September).
10.8 percent of those surveyed said that they would not vote, and 27.4 percent. – did not know why, a month ago these numbers were 14.7 and 25 percent, respectively.
V. Gaidys pointed out that the respondents who chose “another party” from the list, when asked to name it, often indicated the National Union.
“It should be noted that the other party, National Unification, and obviously, if it was recorded, there would probably be several times more (those intending to vote – BNS), this is probably a symptom,” said V. Gaidys.
The public opinion and market research center “Vilmorus” conducted a representative survey of the public on the order of “Lietuvos ryto” on October 12-21. 1001 inhabitants of the country were surveyed, the maximum error of the survey is 3.1 percent. point.
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#Social #Democrats #maintain #position #rating #table #conservatives
2024-09-07 07:03:13
Luxembourg polls
Table of Contents
Lithuanian Politics: Latest Polls and Election Trends
As the world watches Lithuania’s political landscape, recent polls and election trends provide valuable insights into the country’s shifting allegiances.
Current Political Landscape
The Lithuanian Social Democratic Party remains the frontrunner, with 18% of respondents pledging their support in the latest survey. The Conservatives hold second place with 9.3% of the vote, while the Democratic Union “Vardan Lietuvos” rose to third place with 7.5% support.
Opposition Parties Gain Ground
The Lithuanian Peasants and Greens Union, which previously held third place, has slipped to fourth position with 7.3% of the vote. However, the Democratic Union’s surge in popularity has closed the gap between the two parties, with changes falling within the margin of error of the survey.
Ruling Parties Struggle
The ruling Liberal Movement received 4.7% of the vote, while the opposition Labor Party garnered 2.9%. The Union of People and Justice, a centrist and nationalist party, secured 2.7% of the vote.
Other Parties and Unknowns
Smaller parties, such as the Lithuanian Party of Regions (2.4%) and the Freedom Party (2.4%), trail behind the top contenders. Meanwhile, 10.8% of respondents stated they would not vote, and 27.4% remained undecided.
National Union on the Rise
Pollsters note that respondents who chose “another party” often indicated the National Union when asked to name it. This trend suggests a growing interest in the National Union, which could potentially boost their vote share if recorded.
Survey Details
The public opinion and market research center “Vilmorus” conducted the representative survey on October 12-21, polling 1001 inhabitants of Lithuania. The survey’s maximum error is 3.1 percentage points.
Presidential Election Context
These poll results come amid a critical presidential election in Lithuania, where incumbent President Gitanas Nauseda is favored to win reelection [[1]]. Meanwhile, conservative Prime Minister Ingrida Simonyte also vies for the top spot.
IPU PARLINE Database Insights
According to the IPU PARLINE database, the Lithuanian Peasant and Greens Union, led by popular former police chief Saulius Skvernelis, held only one seat in the previous Seimas election [[2]]. This highlights the party’s growth and increasing influence in Lithuanian politics.
European Election Implications
As Lithuania prepares for the European Parliament elections in 2024, these poll results carry significance for the country’s representation in the EU. Check European election 2024 results for all EU countries [[3]].
Conclusion
The latest polls and election trends in Lithuania reveal a shifting political landscape, with opposition parties gaining ground and smaller parties vying for attention. As the presidential election unfolds, these results will be closely watched by political analysts and stakeholders alike.
References:
<a href="https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2024/05/26/presidential-election-in-lithuania-under-russian-pressure66726924.html”>[1]
Risultati 2024 Croatia parliamentary election
Lithuanian Parliamentary Election 2024: Latest Polls and Trends
As Lithuania prepares for its parliamentary elections, scheduled to take place by 13 October 2024, with a second round on 27 October 2024 [[1]], the latest polls and trends are crucial in understanding the dynamics of the electoral landscape.
Current Poll Standing
According to the latest poll, if elections to the Seimas were held next Sunday, the Lithuanian Social Democratic Party (LSDP) would lead with 18% of the vote, followed closely by the Homeland Union ( Conservatives) with 9.3% of the vote [[2]]. The opposition Democratic Union “Vardan Lietuvos” has risen to third place with 7.5% of the vote, switching places with the opposition Lithuanian Peasants and Greens Union, which garnered 7.3% of the vote.
Other Party Performances
The ruling Liberal Movement would receive 4.7% of the vote, the opposition Labor Party – 2.9%, and the Union of People and Justice (centrists, nationalists) – 2.7%. The Lithuanian Party of Regions would secure 2.4% of the vote, the ruling Freedom Party – 2.4%, and the Freedom and Justice party – 2.1%. The election share of Lithuanian Poles stands at 1.6%.
Notable Trends
V. Gaidys, manager of Vilmorus, pointed out that respondents who chose “another party” from the list, when asked to name it, often indicated the National Union, which, if recorded, would likely increase the party’s support by several times [[3]].
Undecided Voters
A significant 10.8% of those surveyed stated that they would not vote, and 27.4% were undecided, which is a slight increase from the previous month’s numbers.
Methodology
The public opinion and market research center “Vilmorus” conducted a representative survey of the public on the order of “Lietuvos ryto” on October 12-21, surveying 1001 inhabitants of the country with a maximum error of 3.1 percent point.
Conclusion
The Lithuanian parliamentary election 2024 is shaping up to be a closely contested race, with the LSDP maintaining its lead, and the opposition parties vying for second place. As the election approaches, it remains to be seen how the trends will shift and which parties will ultimately prevail.
References:
[[1]]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024Lithuanianparliamentary_election
[[2]]https://europeelects.eu/lithuania/
[[3]]https://politpro.eu/en/lithuania
