SKA vs Torpedo: Gagarin Cup Playoff Match Analysis and Expert Forecasts

2024-02-29 07:00:00

The main stage of the season starts in the KHL – the Gagarin Cup. One of the most intriguing pairings of the first round of the KHL playoffs starts on May 1. SKA Rotenberg will host Larionov’s Torpedo at home. The Sport24 editors analyze the chances of St. Petersburg and Nizhny Novgorod residents and also offer a forecast with a high coefficient. We also tell you where the game will take place, when it will start and where to watch the broadcast.

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When does the SKA – Torpedo match start?

The opening match of the first round of the KHL playoffs SKA – Torpedo will take place on Friday, March 1, at the SKA Arena in St. Petersburg. The game will start at 19:30 Moscow time. The match will be shown live on Match TV.

Bookmakers’ odds for the match SKA – Torpedo

For League of Betting experts, the favorite in this pair is obvious. The victory of the “army team” within regular time is valued for 1.58, the probability of which is 60%. You can bet on the success of Torpedo with odds 4.60 (20% chance). Quotation 4.80 and 20% probability is given for a draw.

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SKA’s victory in the match is estimated by the coefficient 1.34 (70% probability). On “Torpedo” with possible overtime and a shootout series, it is proposed to bet with odds 3.20 (30% chance).

The confrontation is expected to be productive. You can bet on a total over 5.5 goals with odds 1.61and for a total less than 5.5 – for 2.24.

SKA’s passage to the quarterfinals of the Gagarin Cup is beyond doubt among experts – odds 1.18 (79% probability). If Torpedo wins the series, the odds will be immodest 4.50 (21% probability).

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Before the match

SKA and Torpedo meet in the Gagarin Cup for the second time in a row. True, last spring it was not in the first round, but in the second. The Nizhny Novgorod team finished higher in the regular season and sensationally eliminated Dynamo Moscow, while SKA won the Continental Cup. This time, the Nizhny Novgorod team failed at the end of the regular season, showing many problems in their game, and the St. Petersburg team, at the last moment and rather annoyingly, missed out on the trophy that was already familiar to them. That the other team can be called attacking. True, Larionov’s team this time did not reach the mark of 200 goals for the season, but this happened largely due to the low conversion of chances. At the same time, Torpedo did not deviate from its principles. As for the St. Petersburgers, in the off-season they were powerfully strengthened by Tolchinsky, Gritsyuk and Galchenyuk, which ultimately made them the second most productive team in the KHL. Only the sensational “Spartak” by Zhamnov is higher.

How did SKA and Torpedo play among themselves? In the last playoffs, all four matches went to the favorites. Although the first game in the series ended in overtime with a score of 2:1. Without options, Torpedo lost only one match, and at home. How were things going in the current championship? At the very start of the regular season, the Nizhny Novgorod team defeated SKA at home, although the guests opened the scoring. Between them they scored seven goals. The same number, but including shootouts, was scored in the return match in St. Petersburg. SKA took symmetrical revenge, and the main hero turned out to be Valentin Zykov. The next time the teams met was in December, and then the hero of Nizhny Novgorod was Belarusian Belevich, who scored a double. Well, the last meeting between SKA and Torpedo in the regular season took place recently, when Larionov’s team was already going through a crisis. The Nizhny Novgorod team managed to lose, leading 3:1.

What resources do teams have for the first match? Torpedo has one defender on the injured list – Kirill Kirsanov. Maxim Letunov and Alexey Kruchinin were absent from the open training before the start of the playoffs. And if the first one was given rest for medical reasons, and the center forward had to play once morest SKA in the first match, then there is a strange situation with one of Torpedo’s most experienced players. First, Larionov removed one ex-captain of the team, Anton Sizov, from the team. The reason was allegedly the defender’s inappropriate communication with young Torpedo players, as well as with the son of the head coach. Kruchinin also recently served as captain, but he also fell into disgrace. Despite the fact that Alexey himself denies any conflict and urges fans not to stir up a scandal, the situation with his removal from the games of the first round of the Gagarin Cup is more than strange. SKA, in turn, cannot count on the injured Vladimir Alistrov and Ivan Zinchenko.

Forecast for the match SKA – Torpedo

“Torpedo” lost its last seven matches in the regular season, and so far there are no signs that Larionov’s team will rise from the ashes. At least not with 20+ thousand SKA fans. The St. Petersburg team missed out on the Continental Cup, but in the context of the playoffs this might even work to the advantage of the Army team. At least in terms of extra motivation. And don’t forget that in the regular season, matches between these rivals were won exclusively by the home team.

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Our forecast for the match SKA – Torpedo: SKA win with a handicap (-1.5) with odds 2.04.

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