2023-08-30 17:15:49
Should the Quarterbacks play in their first year?
August 30, 2023 Quarterback selected in the first round, should he play? // Photos – Joe Burrow: Jim McIsaac/Getty Images – Trevor Lawrence: All-Pro Reels / Joe Glorioso – Bryce Young: AP Photo/Erik Verduzco – Kyler Murray: Pro Football Network.
The question that many ask themselves – both Coaches, General Managers, fans and why not, the players themselves – Should the Quarterbacks take their first year in the NFL apprenticeship? Has there been any trend in recent years that indicates that starting them off is useful to the player and the team? What can happen if the player is “green”? Many questions, few answers. In this note we will tell you what the teams that have selected a QB in the first round and how those players are doing today.
With it being so difficult to find your franchise player, teams are desperate to select the talents that come out of College and present themselves to the Draft every year. How to forget when 49ers they gave in exchange 3 first round selections and a third round to rise to the third overall position in the 2021 Draft. It is also worth saying that in these situations many teams take advantage of those most in need and know that even asking for a lot in terms of picks or players, the trade is going to end up giving. Another example is the Panthers rising to the first position of this latest Draft, giving DJ Moore in exchange, plus 2 first-round picks and 2 second-round picks..
We all know what a QB means to the team. It is the soul, the heart, the one that makes the most complex decisions within the field, and on which almost everything depends (on the offensive side). This position being the most demanding in terms of demonstrating talent (always speaking of those chosen in the first round) and the one that pays the most, Does it make sense for Coaches to rest Rookies in their first year so they can learn?
➡️ Frank Reich, Carolina head coach #Panthersconfirmed that Bryce Young, the first overall pick of the #NFLDraftwill be the team’s starting QB.#NFL #KeepPounding pic.twitter.com/NOfbBNJmmx
— No Huddle (@nflnohuddle) July 26, 2023
Should the Quarterbacks play in their first year?
Let’s see, in the last 5 Drafts (counting the one in 2023), 16 QBs have been chosen in the first round: 3 in 2023, 1 in 2022, 5 in 2021, 4 in 2020 and 3 in 2019. Let’s go on to develop each of the picks:
2019:
Kyler Murray: The graduate of Oklahoma was chosen by the Arizona Cardinals with the first overall pick of said Draft. He played every game in his Rookie season, finishing with a 5-10-1 record. His 20 TDs led to him being chosen as the Offensive Rookie of the Year (OROY). In 2022 he signed a very important contract that keeps him in the team until 2029. But, looking at the stats he kept post-signing, with only one postseason appearance (with a loss), and there being a possibility that the Cardinals take a path without him in the future It would not be surprising if they look for a new team for “K1”. The problem will be finding a team that is willing to pay him such a contract.
Daniel Jones: As the sixth overall pick, the New York Giants they chose the successor of the historic Eli Manning. The Duke rookie started the season as QB2 but took the starting job in Week 3 and didn’t release it for the remainder of the season (except for two games in which he was inactive). Jones finished with a 3-9 record throwing 24 TDs and 12 INTs. After a rocky 3 years, DJ led the team to a divisional playoff game and was given credit for not having any top-caliber receivers. He is also worth noting as the team’s best offensive weapon, Saquon BarkleyHe was injured for a long time during these years. Jones signed a major contract extension this offseason, making him one of the highest paying players in the entire league and keeping him on the team through 2027.
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Dwayne Haskins: Los Washington Commanders (at the time, Redskins) chose the QB from Ohio State with his pick #16. In his first year he only played 9 games, starting as Case Keenum’s back-up. After playing game #4, he definitively took ownership in game #8 until the end of the season. Your performance? Pretty bad, with 7 TDs and 7 INTs. In 2020 he started as QB1 but was “benched” due to poor performance following 4 games played. He returned to the starting lineup for 3 more games at the end of the season, but a series of misbehaviors with the COVID-19 protocols meant that, following week 16, he was cut by the team. He then signed a one-year deal with the Steelers, but didn’t snap a single one. His life ended tragically in a car accident in April of last year.
2020:
Joe Burrow: Coming as a surprise to no one, the Bengals they chose the best prospect with the first overall pick to the QB of LSU. champion of NATTY and of the Heisman, Burrow loomed as one of the best college prospects in the history of the Draft. His first year with the Bengals was very difficult. He suffered 32 sacks in 10 games played (for an average of 3.2 sacks per game, which is crazy), in a season ended early by his ACL tear. 2021 began with the debate of Chase o Sewell, but those of Cincinnati were inclined to give him the best offensive weapon that Burrow might have, to what protection. And they paid for it with 51 sacks in the regular season and another 19 in the postseason. Already by 2022 they decided to bring him new OLs which “helped” to lower that number -but equally high- to 41 sacks. His tremendous level is often overshadowed by disasters on his offensive line, but Burrow still managed to make it to the Super Bowl and put on the NBA crown. AFC North After many years. His first year when we all saw him – as they say in football lingo – “running for his life” scared us since we mightn’t see all the potential he had to give. His talent playing this sport showed us that you can come back from a serious injury and go far without having the best OL in the league.
Back Tags: With the #5 overall pick, the Dolphins they chose the prospect of Alabama. In his first year he started as a starter, but only played the first 9 games due to injuries sustained mid-season. Until then, Tua had thrown 11 TDs and 5 INTs. 2021 and 2022 were not the best for his health either. In both he suffered sideline injuries, including a nasty concussion in a game once morest the Bengals. The biggest concern is that Tua will not be able to take the heavy blows of this sport and it is anyone’s guess how his body will respond to the next one.
Justin Herbert: Los Chargers were made with the services of the ex-Oregon with the next draft pick (from Tua). His debut in the NFL was unforeseen, since he was a starter since a team doctor punctured one of QB1’s lungs, Tyrod Taylor. Once he grabbed the title, he didn’t let go of it anymore. His excellent individual numbers led him to win the you say. His great level led him to earn a fairly high contract that ties him to the Los Angeles franchise until 2030. Beyond the numbers, which we know he can have thanks to his talent, the discussion now is regarding winning a game in the postseason.
Jordan Love: With Rodgers still in the groove, Love’s choice raised many questions, and no one had answers. What many were saying Green Bay era: there is no better time to pick up QB than when you don’t need him. It is a phrase that makes a lot of sense, but it must also be put into context that the Packers had just lost a game to access the Super Bowl and the choice of a QB was not going to get them any closer to the goal of raising the Lombardi once more. Love practically did not play in these 3 years of career and he only had 1 start, which would not have happened if Rodgers did not get COVID-19. His other appearances were due to the fact that the team was not fighting for anything, junk weather and some sporadic injury to Rodgers. This year we’ll see if the Utah State graduate has been learning from his mentor and if the Packers have been doing the right thing by laying off their next QB for not one, not 2, but 3 years. Time will speak in this case.
What a duo this!#GoPackGopic.twitter.com/RB8Xa2W3xH
— No Huddle (@nflnohuddle) August 26, 2023
2021:
Trevor Lawrence: If there was a prospect with more hype than Burrow last year, it was Lawrence in 2021. Jaguars they were already excited regarding him since the season ended and knew they were taking first in the Draft. His first year was bad, if not very bad. Many were encouraged to classify it as bust with 3 wins and 14 losses, but even more worrying, 12 TDs and 17 INTs. Already in his second year, he completely turned the page. Record of 9-8 and first in his division (without forgetting that it was one of the worst divisions in the league), but improving a lot individually with 25 TDs and only 8 INTs. Their first playoff game was the closest thing to a roller coaster. From 4 INTs to turning the tables on the last play and later putting some serious Chiefs in trouble. If Lawrence goes on to win this win, probably no one will remember his freshman year for years to come.
Zach Wilson: All the comparisons that were made pre-Draft with Wilson and great QBs in the league, disappeared as the games went by. Zach didn’t have the best of teams to welcome him into the league, but his numbers in his first year border on unfortunate. In 13 games played, he’s thrown 9 TDs and 11 INTs. In his sophomore year, he also failed to settle and alternated starts with Joe Flacco and Mike White. On, the Jets decided to bring Rodgers in a trade, so one sees it as impossible for Wilson to play for the next 2 years. Maybe all that time that he needed to learn, he now has behind A-Rod. But for now, it is listed as one of the great busts that this sport has had.
Trey Lance: After offering a ton of picks, the 49ers they chose the victim of North Dakota St. in third place overall in the Draft. In his first year he was a substitute behind Jimmy Garoppolo and entered for surprise plays on some occasions. In his second year he took ownership but in his second game he suffered a severe injury that sidelined him for the whole year. Purdy’s good level, plus the arrival of Sam Darnold, maybe they placed Lance as QB3. Given this news, it is very possible that the 49ers have begun to listen to offers for the QB as a result of their dissatisfaction with the decision made by the HC. Lance was traded to the Dallas Cowboys for a fourth round of the next Draft.
????TRADE ALERT????
➡️The San Francisco #49ers send QB Trey Lance to the #DallasCowboys in exchange for a fourth-round pick in 2024.#NFL | #NFLTwitter pic.twitter.com/xlsQcSQUuh
— No Huddle (@nflnohuddle) August 25, 2023
Justin Fields: After suffering so much Mitch Trubisky, the Bears hit the table and went up in the Draft to pick the Ohio State prospect. By an agreed process of adaptation, Justin Fields began as back-up of Andy Dalton. The disastrous numbers of the ex-Cincinnati opened the door for Fields. His first year was not good. He threw 7 TDs and 10 INTs, made a lot of unforced errors, and you might tell he didn’t have a team to back him up. In his second year, the team was even worse (finishing with the worst record in the league), but Fields noted an increase in his running game prowess and his ability to read plays to launch himself on the run. His passing has improved a bit, but it’s still a matter of INTs thrown. With many more picks and a new friend in DJ Moore, Fields is expected to make the leap this season.
Mac Jones: After Brady, everything is difficult. Mac Jones arrived at a team emotionally damaged and with huge boots to wear. With a fairly well-built team and behind one of the best Head Coaches in the history of the sport, Jones had a very decent first year. For many he has been the best QB rookie of the season with 22 TDs and 13 INTs and winning 10 games. His second year was not so good. With a defensive coach as an offensive coach, it’s hard to ask too much of Mac, and he lost the starting job for a few games to Zappe. Looking ahead to this year, and with an offensive coach like O’Brien, Mac is expected to continue growing and establish himself as QB1 for the Patriots.
2022:
Kenny Pickett: In one of the most pitiful classes of QBs in living memory, the only first-round pick was the graduate of Pitt with pick #20. The Steelers They were looking for a replacement Ben Roethlisberger (as well as Mac Jones, very difficult to replace) and decided to go for Pickett, thus choosing the only QB in the first round. Pickett started out as back-up to Mason Rudoph and Mitch Trubisky. Neither of them produced much in the first few games, so they decided to start Pickett starting in week 5. In his 12 starts, he finished with 7 wins and 5 losses, but his ratio of TDs and INTs was not the same. better with 7 and 9 respectively. It is expected that this year he can perform better with his WRs and TEs and the leap that is needed to compete in a very, very complicated division.
2023:
Bryce Young, CJ Stroud y Anthony Richardson: With no games played yet, I decided to group them in the same paragraph since they are all in a similar position. Much is expected of the 3, but we only have a confirmation that the 3 will start as QB1 in Carolina, Houston and Indianapolis respectively.
Anthony Richardson, the escapist.
???? | #ForTheShoe
pic.twitter.com/wIjJHcahck— No Huddle (@nflnohuddle) August 25, 2023
Conclusions:
In these last 5 years, there has only been one case of a first-round QB who has rested his first year, and that is Jordan Love. Logically the context is not the same for all teams, and I want to put a point on this topic. It is not the same to arrive at a team with a starting QB HOFer and who always go far in the postseason, than to arrive at a team in which from day 1 you are the face of the team and the work of the Head Coach and General Manager (who deposited all your confidence in picking him) depend on how many wins the rookie produces.
The context is a crucial part of this analysis and we cannot ignore it. Even so, in all the cases seen and analyzed, an imprint of almost all the players from their second year is seen. The only ones who performed well in his rookie year were: Kyler Murray, Justin Herbert and Mac Jones. 3 QBs of 16. Are you ok with it? It seems reasonable to me, neither good nor bad. We can’t expect people who are used to college to come into the NFL with a ton of pressure that isn’t theirs and be able to play the way they want or the public wants them to play.
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The Jordan Love case will show us at a certain point (and I mention at a certain point because it is impossible to draw conclusions from a single case) if resting the QB can help him, or if at the end of the day, it’s just a matter of games and snaps played. Confidence in a losing streak might prove to be crucial for a young, inexperienced QB. Knowing that you can mess up sometimes and your work isn’t on the line might give them enough support to try once more. Of course, the problem occurs when one is wrong over and over once more.
Therefore, If you ask me if the 3 QBs chosen this year should play, I (from my humble position) would say no. There’s no reason to pitch to a youngster who isn’t used to the slash and especially the speed of the NFL. Also, for the vast majority of teams, this wouldn’t change long-term projections unless they think they’re going to make the postseason, which I highly doubt.
Manuel Lichtenstein
I have a theory that people who say they don’t like Football have never seen a game. A fan of the small markets, but a fan of the Packers. #CheeseHead.
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#Quarterbacks #play #year
