Salzburg can lose by a maximum of one goal difference

2023-12-11 23:04:02

At the end of the group phase of the Champions League, Salzburg can save themselves the math games in today’s home game (9 p.m.) once morest Benfica. One thing is certain: every point win and every defeat with a one-goal difference is enough to defend third place from the Portuguese and thus continue playing in the round of 16 of the Europa League in the spring. With every defeat by a two-goal difference, Salzburg is gone. Things only get complicated when you look closely at why this is the case. Only in the fourth comparison is there a difference:

Points: Both teams would have four points if they win in Lisbon.

Direct duel: Both teams got three points from the two duels once morest each other. The goal difference would also always be the same if Lisbon won with a two-goal difference following Salzburg won 2-0 in the first leg. The away goals rule no longer exists.

Goal difference from all games: Even this would be the same if Benfica won with a two-goal difference for both teams, minus four each.

Goals scored from all games: However, the Portuguese would have the advantage of having a goal difference of 6:10 in a 2-0 win in Salzburg, while Salzburg would have a goal difference of 3:7. In this case, the number of six goals scored (Salzburg would only have three) would be the decisive factor in Lisbon’s promotion.

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